Count on the Bucs-Eagles game being televised locally Sunday.

The game should mark the second time fans in the Tampa and Orlando markets will get to see a 2012 Bucs home game live on television without connecting computers to their TVs for unlawful game feeds loaded with European cyber-viruses.

Unless the Bucs have been having ongoing major issues with TicketMaster (and there’s no reason to think they are) the Bucs are approaching a sell out of Sunday’s game right now. And that would mean the Bucs comfortably would break the 85 percent threshold of “non-premium” tickets sold to avoid the NFL blacking out the game from local TV.

According to TicketMaster.com, only one section at Raymond James Stadium has anything better than “only single seats available,” and numerous sections are sold out.

There are three major factors at play: the 10-year reunion ceremony of the 2002 Super Bowl champs, a preseason fan poll on Buccaneers.com showed this game to be the most anticipated by Bucs fans, and too many stinkin’ Eagles fans have gobbled up tickets.

Lesser variables would include the Bucs’ playoff hunt and extra millions of sports entertainment dollars in the Tampa Bay market thanks to the ongoing NHL lockout.

Joe’s happy for Bucs fans, and pleased that the Super Bowl champs will get their just applause, minus Keyshawn Johnson.

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Joe’s not a big stats guy, and Joe’s idea of fantasy football only involves Rachel Watson and assorted other cheerleading icons. However, Joe does consume statistical data is always happy to share something interesting.

Today, Joe learned that the Bucs lead the NFL this season in field goal attempts from 40 yards or longer. They’ve attempted 19 and kicker Connor Barth has nailed a stunning 90 percent from 40-49 yards, and a strong 67 percent (6-of-9) from 50+ yards.

So what the hell does this say about the Bucs’ offense and playcalling?

Well, that’s what makes the stat rather interesting. There is no clear answer and opinions can vary widly. The only sure take is that Barth is worth the fat contract the Bucs dropped on him this offseason.

“Oh, God, yes. I bet you any amount of money the stadium erupts in boos when my name is called,” Keyshawn Johnson said last night.

The Bucs’ big 10-year Super Bowl anniversary celebration Sunday seems to be attracting all the big names, and the unexpected ones.

Chucky’s return was announced last week, and Chucky’s old pal, Keyshawn Johnson, has gotten a hall pass from his BSPN NFL analyst duties for the weekend to join the fun in Tampa.

In typical Meshawn fashion last night on the Buccaneers Radio Network, Johnson explained that “a lot of the guys are looking forward to me being there.”

However, Johnson knows Bucs fans will be against him when his name and number is called at halftime of the Bucs-Eagles game. “I’m expecting to get really loud boos,” Johnson said. “So I’m looking forward to it. I think it’ll be fun.”

Host TJ Rives followed up, “You think the Bucs fans are going to boo you?” And Johnson was clear the negative response to him will rock the house.

“Oh, God, yes. I bet you any amount of money the stadium erupts in boos when my name is called,” Johnson said. “And that’s ok, though. I had fun down there. Everybody has their own opinion about the way the marriage ended, but at the same time, hey,  I won a Super Bowl down there. I still have really good friends down there and I’m excited to go.”

Joe agrees that Keyshawn will get his share of jeers, but it won’t be as significant as he thinks. It’s not like Johnson was a bust on the field, and Joe knows fans appreciate what he meant to the title run before Chucky sent him home with pay halfway through the 2003 season.

“Hoofs on the line!”

Greg Schiano probably wanted to scream that at the ridiculous horse running around the chewed up field at Mile High on Sunday. Actually, it probably would have been “hoofs behind the line.”

The leader of the New Schiano Order explained on The Greg Schiano Show on WDAE-AM 620 last night.

TJ Rives: The lady riding the horse around throughout the game, it’s unique to Denver. Did you give that a second thought? She was on the field pregame riding the horse around. She’s on the field in between plays riding the horse around. It’s not every day you have a horse running around on the field in the field.

Greg Schiano: I don’t mind the horse. What I do mind though is the horseshoe prints all up and down the field. The field had two high school football games played on it the night before, and certainly the last thing that field needed was a horse runnin’ up and down it. So, did I say anything? No. That’s their home field; that’s part of the home field advantage. But probably not the best thing for field conditions. 

Schiano showed great restraint in not pushing game officials to corral the famed Broncos horse lady. The backlash from corralling the Broncos mascot might have rivaled the hype from kneelgate at the Meadowlands. Schiano is well aware of how the pesky media operates.

Broncos defensive back Champ Bailey was a nightmare for Bucs receivers Sunday.

Yes, Joe angered some Bucs fans when he suggested a more consistent performance from Josh Freeman could have been enough to beat the Broncos.

A number of Bucs fans attacked Joe, claiming the pass rush of the Broncos was too much, despite the fact Freeman was sacked but once.

Perhaps a better foil for Freeman’s ugly third quarter was Broncos stud defensive back Champ Bailey who, per Jeff Legwold of the Denver Post, locked up Bucs receiver and Freeman’s favorite target Vincent Jackson and wreaked havoc on both Mike Williams and Tiquan Underwood.

When Bailey was matched up on Jackson in one-on-one situations, which was for most of the game, Jackson had one reception for 12 yards Sunday. And that catch didn’t come until the third quarter was drawing to a close.

Jackson had another catch in zone coverage, away from Bailey, and his third and final catch of the game came with Bailey having already been taken out of the game because the Broncos were protecting a two-touchdown lead facing a three-day turnaround to play in Oakland on Thursday night.

“Vincent’s one of the toughest matchups because he plays hard all the time,” Bailey said. “He’s not one of those guys where if he’s not getting the ball, he’s out there running slower or anything. He’s a beast.”

Bailey went on say he sensed Freeman was flustered and frustrated, which also led to his subpar afternoon.

There will be days like that when Jackson is taken out of a game because of solid play by a defense. Hey, those guys collect checks as well and Bailey is one of the best around. When that happens, it is imperative other receivers get open, and for Freeman to remain calm, collected and above all, patient.

Yes, some will blame the Broncos’ pass rush for getting to Freeman. Perhaps Bailey is as much to blame, or in better words, deserves the credit?

Damn, the Bucs took a punch in the gut this weekend — and with the Redskins’ Monday night victory — as it relates to their playoff hopes and dreams.

At 6-6, the Bucs are a game back of Seattle in the hunt for the final NFC Wild Card spot, except now the Bucs are tied with the Vikings, Redskins and Cowboys. Sadly, the Bucs lose the usually critical head-to-head tiebreaker with Washington and Dallas.

Also, the Bucs now have one more loss in NFC conference play than Seattle and Washington. Conference record is one of the secondary tiebreakers after head-to-head results.

It’s safe to assume the Bucs will need to win their final four and go 10-6 to get into the postseason. Except for Minnesota, their competition doesn’t exactly have brutal schedules, and Seattle has three of its final four at home, where the Seahawks are always tough to beat.

SEAHAWKS (7-5) SCHEDULE
ARIZONA
@Buffalo
49ers
RAMS

VIKINGS (6-6) SCHEDULE
BEARS
@ Rams
@ Houston
PACKERS

DALLAS (6-6) SCHEDULE
@Cincy
PITTSBURGH
NEW ORLEANS
@Washington

REDSKINS (6-6) SCHEDULE
BALTIMORE
@Browns
@Eagles
DALLAS

It’s one week at a time, and it’s a good thing that the Skins and Dallas still must face each other. But the odds are flimsy that the Bucs land in the postseason with a 9-7 record.

From Day 1, Greg Schiano has made it clear that he treats every game as its own season and nothing else matters. It’s the Eagles season this week, and the only goal in the organization is to go 1-0 in that season.

Good luck even trying to get the leader of the New Schiano Order to acknowledge that future games, past games or bigger topics exist.

Tonight, a caller into The Greg Schiano Show on WDAE-AM 620, heaped loads of praise on the leader of the New Schiano Order for his unwavering focused mentality. And Schiano explained that the monstrous media scrutiny in the NFL almost forces him to take a hard line approach to an extreme single-game focus.

“It’s so hard in the National Football League. There’s so much media coverage,” Schiano said. “And the media, you know, has a thousand different angles that they want to portray things, which is great. It’s great for the game. It gives fans something to do all week long since we only play once a week. But it’s not good for the players. And, you know, if you just follow the National Football League, one week they have a team dead for rites, and the next week they’re back in the playoff hunt. And that’s what sells air time, that’s what sells Internet sites, that’s what sells newspapers. But as a football player and a football coach, the only thing you can affect is that one game that week.”

Joe’s not sure he buys into the coach’s philosophy. Joe’s confident players can handle practice responsibilities, film study, and engage media, and keep all the hype in perspective and perform on Sundays. In fact, there have been numerous examples of that through the years from teams under far more scrutiny than the 2012 Bucs in relatively small-market Tampa.

But Joe understands Schiano’s mindset and respects why he keeps a leash on his team’s interaction with the media.

Sadly, Joe expects this means that when the Bucs do make the Super Bowl one day, Donald Penn and Carl Nicks won’t be leading a modern day version of the Super Bowl Shuffle on MTV. That’s a damn shame.

Chicago Bears – Superbowl Shuffle by jpdc11

The Bucs, with the NFL’s worst pass defense and a beleaguered cornerback group, got a little bit of good news today when Bucs coach Greg Schiano announced Anthony Gaitor will return to the active roster.

Gaitor, who was placed on the injured reserve list earlier this year after being nagged by a nasty hamstring injury, has been working out with the club the past few weeks and, per NFL rules, recently was allowed to practice with the team in advance of being reactived.

The earliest Gaitor could have been reactivated would have been after the Bucs’ 12th game, which was Sunday against the Broncos.

Though Gaitor has yet to be named a starter but was a valuable reserve cornerback on a team that has had to turn to backups in the wake of the Adderall-fueled suspensions of Aqib Talib and Eric Wright, and Talib’s subsequent trade.

As Joe stated earlier, the Bucs corners are so thin, any news like this is good news and is as close to a magic bullet as the Bucs are going to find to help the secondary the remainder of the season.

Yesterday, many of Joe’s readers were angered when Joe wrote how Josh Freeman’s vanishing act in the third quarter led to the Bucs losing a lead, and losing a game to the Broncos.

“But he was pressured by the pass rush” was the convenient cry/excuse Joe read from those angry with Joe’s commentary.

Joe believes this is nonsense. Here’s why:

Does a good pass rush help a team? Clearly. This is not debatable. Joe’s only belief is that an elite quarterback — which Freeman very well may still be one day — adapts to problems and overcomes obstacles in order to lead his team.

This did not happen yesterday.

First, yes, there was a pass rush. This is understandable. The Broncos, after yesterday’s games, are third in the NFL in sacks. Did any sane, sober person believe Freeman would have all the time in the world to throw the ball? If there is such a person, said person is awfully naive.

Besides, the Bucs’ offensive line gave up one sack yesterday. One! Does that sound like the Broncos had a complete jailbreak against the Bucs?

Guess which team has one of the best pass blocking offensive lines in the NFL? That would be the Bucs. After yesterday’s games, only the Broncos, Texans and Giants have allowed fewer sacks than the Bucs.

Joe also wrote yesterday that Jay Cutler and Aaron Rodgers, two quarterbacks on teams that, unless they totally collaspe, will be playoff-bound, would pick up a bar tab the rest of the year to have an offensive line like the Bucs’, even with all the injuries to starters.

The Packers have given up the second-most sacks in the NFL this year; the Bears are nearly as bad at No. 5.

(FYI, Matty Ice has been sacked more than Freeman.)

Yet, Rodgers and Cutler, faced with adversity, find ways to adjust and overcome obstacles to lead their teams to critical wins.

Please do not get the wrongheaded notion that Joe is somehow anti-Freeman. Joe spent the better part of the first month of the season dispelling illogical premises from readers that the Bucs should draft Geno Smith — or worse — bench Freeman for Dan Orlovsky, which is simply beyond the pale.

Freeman is not yet an NFL elite quarterback. A good quarterback yes, a young quarterback, yes, a quarterback who can still be among the NFL’s top clutch players, yes.

He’s just not there yet. But the Bucs may need him to be if they are to run the table the rest of the season to have a shot at a postseason game.

The only thing keeping Freeman from being among those elite players in Joe’s eyes is for him to be consistent. Nothing more.

Props to Josh and the Bucs for making a late comeback in Denver. Too bad that didn’t need to happen.

Joe’s at a bit of a crossroads with Josh Freeman. Joe looks at Freeman’s entire body of work, all 52 starts (23-29), and Joe’s not sure if Freeman can lead the Bucs to the promised land of the playoffs.

The jury is still out on Freeman, and for Joe, these next four games will speak very loud volumes as to the kind of quarterback Freeman is. Can he personally lead his team to victory in key December games? Freeman did that in 2010 (Seattle and New Orleans), and he’ll get four more shots this year after yesterday’s ugly performance.

Joe’s less concerned with the numbers, and more concerned with the leadership, clutch throws, consistency, moving the chains and the “W.”

But at BSPN, they love the numbers. And BSPN’s stats gremlins have their own fancy quarterback rankings, which show Freeman ranked 15th in the league. Matt Ryan is third. Drew Brees is 12th, and Cam Newton is 21st.

Sadly, those numbers sound about right. Freeman’s a solid quarterback with great talent, but he hasn’t yet shown he can consistently be the man Bucs fans need.

The “money down” is failing the Bucs.

Whether it’s Josh Freeman falling short of being an upper-tier quarterback, or stunts like running D.J. Ware on 3rd-and-20 in the second half yesterday, the Bucs are statistically worse on third-down conversions than they were in 2011.

This is a key stat because it’s darn difficult to find a good football team among the cellar-dweller offenses in the stat of converting on third-down. Of the 10 lowest ranked teams in 2012, only Cincinnati (35 percent conversion) has a winning record.

Unfortunately, the Bucs are ranked 26th in the NFL at earning a first down when it’s third down. The Bucs get it done 34 percent of the time. During the heinous 2011 season, they were better, at 36.89 percent. In 2010, they were among the cream of the NFL (42.18 percent). Yesterday, the Bucs were 3-of-12 on third down and in their last four games, they’re a combined 17-for-49. 

Consistent offense is about moving the chains. The explosive plays, which the Bucs deliver in a big way, are wonderful, but strong teams, playoff teams, convert on third down.

Searching for something uplifting to help get through this day, Joe’s going to give Lavonte David a virtual pat on the back for putting a big notch on his rookie superhero belt yesterday.

David cleanly picked off Peyton Manning in the second half, the first aerial snatch of his career. That’ll be a nice tale to tell his kids one day when his hopefully Pro Bowl Bucs career is over.

David is Joe’s Bucs rookie of the year to date — even ahead of Doug Martin. David broke 100 tackles yesterday, is fifth in the NFL in tackles and has been the Bucs’ most consistent — and possibly most talented — defensive player.

Throw in that David handles the defensive playcalling duties and is among the league leaders in tackles for loss, and Joe can find a grin on this gloomy Monday.

Joe scribbled down notes from Bucs quarterback Josh Freeman’s postgame news conference in which Freeman was visibly agitated by the outcome of yesterday’s loss to the Broncos.

On his pick-six:
Vincent was running a go-route, I thought I had a window to stick it in there. That’s the type of swing, those pick-sixes, from a momentum standpoint, from a points standpoint, it is tough to overcome.

Bottom line is executing and there was a span there where we were not executing and the guys on the other side, they were rolling. We have to find a way to maintain a level of consistency to go down the field and score points throughout the game. I thought our defense did a great job today. It was tough there for a stretch. We found a way to beat ourselves.

There was no question they were aware of us taking shots down the field. That said, you are going to face that. We have to execute better.

On the rest of the season:
We have a lot of football left to be played. We are just a game out but we are focused on the next game and getting ready for the Eagles. [Monday], everyone can’t wait to get to get back in the building, watch this game, evaluate, try to learn, try to grow from it and focus our attention, everything on beating the Eagles.

On offensive penalties:
Anytime you convert on a big play on third down, or whatever it is, and you have a penalty and it backs you up, it’s tough. At the same time, if that happens, we have to find a way to convert on third down.

Joe was Tiquan Underwood’s biggest cheerleader during training camp; everything stuck to the guy’s hands in practice and in preseason games, yet the Bucs ditched him with the final September roster cuts.

Luckily, the Bucs pulled him back off the street and he’s got 20 receptions, but it’s two games in a row now that Underwood has dropped passes. Joe’s got to go back to today’s game film, but it might have been two drops today in Denver.

Joe knows this can’t continue. The New Schiano Order is obsessive about ball security and won’t tolerate it. For the sake of the team and his career, Underwood needs to solve the dropsies fast over the Bucs’ final four games.

Joe also senses that Underwood’s strength is not as a slot receiver. Obviously, the Bucs can be very creative with him in that role, but he’s hardly the prototype. His production and usage is definitely something to monitor the rest of the way.

Mike Williams believed the Broncos’ ability to shut down the Bucs’ rush attack in the third quarter changed the game.

Bucs wide receiver Mike Williams paused for a few brief moments after the Bucs loss to the Broncos to talk on the Bucs radio network.

In short, Williams stated the suffocating Broncos’ rush defense in the third quarter turned the Bucs into a one-dimensional team, which turned out to be a trap.

“We didn’t run the ball well” in the third quarter, “and we got into a situation where we couldn’t run well but we ran into a good defense,” Williams said. “I’m not making any excuses.”

On Williams’ play to set up his touchdown in the fourth-quarter:

“On the touchdown, it was an under-route,” Williams said. “Vincent was the first read and they doubled him and if they doubled him, I had “to get open.”

On the team’s character:

“That is what it is with this team. We fight, we fight, we fight to the final whistle. That is what Coach Schiano has brought to us.”

As Joe expected, the leader of the New Schiano Order was tight-lipped and non-committal when asked this evening about the ESPN report that has Mike Sullivan expressing interest in the Boston College head coaching job.

Here’s what Greg Schiano had to say when asked about the validity of the report:

“You know that kind of stuff I keep private with my assistant coaches and with our organization, and if there’s anything to that it will come out the appropriate way,” Schiano said. “I don’t think this is the place to talk about that.”

Joe sure would have preferred a denial from Schiano.

It would be potentially devastating for Josh Freeman and the Bucs offense to lose Sullivan. Not that Sullivan is living legend, but Freeman doesn’t need the upset of learning another offense and adjusting to another coordinator.

By next season, the Bucs should be humming as an elite offense, not starting fresh.

Greg Schiano give a congratulatory head slap and kind words to Peyton Manning on the field today after Manning completed a pass to a receiver on the ground. Frankly, Joe didn’t like the head coach’s smiley reaction.

Not that it was so awful, but Joe doesn’t see Schiano as a guy who’s wired like that. Joe prefers to believe Schiano is a guy that would rather invest those precious two seconds on his own team, especially since Schiano preaches maximizing every second of practice time.

Joe just didn’t like it, just as Joe didn’t like it when Raheem Morris was on the field during a break in play in Green Bay last year whooping it up with Aaron Rodgers.

Joe can’t recall such friendly, in-game gestures sent the Bucs way.

Just a few weeks ago when Bucs rookie undrafted free agent cornerback was pressed into duty, Johnson seemed to shine. His pick-six, game-winning touchdown against Philip Rivers being Exhibit-A, and he should have officially had three picks in two games.

But with injuries and Adderall infractions rising among the ranks of the Bucs cornerbacks, Johnson has been asked to play more, and to start, and it appears opponents have decided to target him.

It all began with a bomb he gave up against San Diego. Then, in the words of former Bucs defensive lineman Steve White, Julio Jones “baptized” Johnson last week for Johnson’s second 80-yard touchdown given up in as many games.

Today it was clear that Peyton Manning and Demaryius Thomas were targeting the pride of Largo High School. And it worked. Two egregious plays were a pass interference Johnson gave up against Thomas (Joe would prefer a pass interference as opposed to six points) and then, when Joe thought surely Johnson was in position for an interception, Manning threaded the needle to Thomas for a key touchdown.

Now don’t get Joe wrong. Joe likes Johnson and thinks he has promise and will be around these parts for a while. But he’s a rookie. He’s learning… in some cases the hard way.

And the NFL is a copycat league. Until Johnson begins stopping some of these passes and doesn’t get whistled for interference or holding, teams are going to continue to target him.

Joe sees the burst in Doug Martin, the leg drive, the explosion, the improved vision since early in the season, but his production has fallen off.

Maybe it’s the patchwork offensive line? Joe routinely sees Martin turning rushes that look like sure losses into positive — and almost positive — plays. But more likely it’s the reality of being a running back in the NFL. There are plenty of rough days unless you’re a Hall of Fame back.

Martin has an ugly 39 carries for 106 yards over his past two games. He’s got 82 rushes for 312 yards over his last four games, following his historic effort in Oakland.

The Bucs are mixing up Martin’s runs, but the yardage isn’t coming.

Perhaps using multiple running backs would help. Joe’s not getting on a LeGarrette Blount soapbox tonight, but it shouldn’t be such a foreign concept to use two backs for an NFL offense.

And no, running D.J. Ware on 3rd-and-20 today doesn’t count. Joe hated that call.