Bucs Playoff Chances Long, But Not Impossible

September 21st, 2026

Challenge but not impossible.

This happens every year because the numbers don’t lie.

Joe knows a large segment of NFL fans hit the ceiling when people like Joe start typing about playoff chances after just two games.

But Joe, and others, do so because the numbers don’t lie. So here goes:

Since the Bucs handed a win to the hapless Browns yesterday, the worst team in the league with the worst quarterback, they’ve really gut themselves a hole in trying to get to the playoffs by opening the season losing their first two games.

Per Andrew Greif of NBC News, who ran the numbers, since the playoff format was expanded in 2020 to include 14 teams, only 16 percent of teams that started out 0-2 made the playoffs.

That doesn’t mean the Bucs cannot make the playoffs. It just means they better get their s(p)it together quickly.

But when it comes to numbers and reality, Joe thinks the Bucs have better odds than that. The Bucs reside in the NFC South landfill. It would not shock Joe one iota if the eventual division winner has a losing record. It’s already happened twice the past four seasons: the Bucs and the Stinking Panthers.

So let’s say eight wins capture the NFC South. The Bucs would only need to win 8 of the next 15 games, or barely play above .500 ball.

KitKat-eating Bucs coach Todd Bowles can do that. He has a .500 as Bucs coach, 35-35.

Joe is not ready to throw in the towel on the 2026 season. But bending over for the Browns? Let’s just say Joe’s confidence in the Bucs is greatly shaken this morning.

36 Responses to “Bucs Playoff Chances Long, But Not Impossible”

  1. LVMYBUCS Says:

    All these years of Bowles being the head coach and this team still looks like this , for shame for shame

  2. Louis Says:

    What about a 0-3 start which is more possible since they’re playing the Vikings next?

  3. LVMYBUCS Says:

    If I saw a team that looked good on the field but just had some fixable hic ups then I would be more confident of a swift turn around, but this team just looks like they are done playing for Bowles and they know what Mike Evans and Rashad White already knew.

  4. Bucscoott Says:

    Are you drunk?

  5. JViet Says:

    Well said LMB. The issue is though this team hasn’t looked consistent and focused during any considerable stretch over the last 4+ years under todd. This isn’t an anomoly.

  6. Knothead71 Says:

    “PLAYOFFS!? PLAYOFFS!?”
    I don’t know gentlemen. How about they, oh I dont know, PROVE THEY CAN WIN ONE STINKIN GAME FIRST!

  7. Redzone Says:

    This must be the kool aid drinking Joe that thought the Bucs would surely not lose to the falcons, dolphins, saints, panthers etc

    It’s over man – 0-5 incoming – Wentz is the 2nd coming of Cousins and Love, Dak, even the Steelers will be smelling blood – Bowles has been figured out as a DC and he has little interest or ability to stand back and be a HC – soon the blame on Zac will start (rightly so) and the implosion will be in full bloom

  8. Dan the Bucs Fan Says:

    Joe here is a guy to watch as interim coach Bryan McClendon our wide receivers coach. He has served as interim head coach a few times in his career has offensive coordinator experience and has done a pretty good job as our wide receiver coach developing young wide receivers.

    Give him a long look as head coach rest of this season. Time to make a change if he doesn’t do great you go hire somebody else.

    Love to hear your thoughts on him.

    Two more things why would you stop running the ball down their throat on that final possession? Bucky was hot and had momentum you had second and 3 and just stopped running it. Stupid

    Also for what it’s worth I thought the girl singing the anthem pregame was absolutely incredible. Not sure if you guys watched her or not but the anthem with the jets flying over was highlight of the day.

  9. Warrenfb12 Says:

    It seems to me the bucs are the worst team in the league rn.

  10. Steven #55 Says:

    We are 0-2 therefore one of the worst Teams
    Saints look decent and will be favourites for the division now

  11. birdie Says:

    5-12

  12. BucsFan Says:

    Joe Wrote playoffs and Bucs in the same sentence

    😂😂😂

    Better write Win A GAME

    WE CANT BEAT THS BROWNS

    So we will be lucky to win A Game

    WHERE IS THE BOWLES HAS TO GO ARTICLE?
    Or is Joe on the “ITS NOT BOLWES FAULT” train

  13. buc4evr Says:

    With receivers like Hunter and LBs like Anzalone , this team will be lucky to win 5.

    EE and Hunter both suck.

    That’s why I wanted Shep signed as an insurance policy. You know a WR that can get open and that can catch the ball. Both of these guys are clowns.

    Barton needs to move to guard.

    Zyon was caught napping again.

    Bain really does have short arms. lol.

    D line gets worn down by the third Quarter.

    Zac is worse than Grizz, is that even possible? Play calling was bizarre.

    Todd is classic Todd.

    Jason filled this team with more duds in the off season.

  14. Billybob1 Says:

    Can some.1.call 911

  15. Stpetematt Says:

    Bucs chances with Alex Anzalone on the field are zero. He’s missing more tackles than he’s making by a WIDE margin. I wonder if Fordham might be better? He looked really good in the preseason. Voss is more of the same.

  16. JZ Reel Says:

    Joe you’re about to lose a following if you keep positing s(p)it like this

  17. Lefty_R Says:

    “Playoffs?! Don’t talk about—playoffs?! You kidding me? Playoffs?! I just hope we can win a game, another game!”

    Give me a break

    1. ) With Vita Vea’s brinks job (his new contract)
    2.) Zac Robinson’s awful offense
    3.) Baker Mayfield’s poor play
    4.) Todd Bowles’ incompetence

    We are talking about Playoffs?

    Great Googly Moogly!!!

  18. Scotty in Fat Antonio Says:

    So….the question is, when the Power Ranking come out, who will NOW be the worst team in the league? Bucs, Chargers, Redskins, Falcons?

  19. Stpetematt Says:

    Or Rozeboom? I’m grasping at straws here the guy is playing so badly. Week 1 was the worst LB game I’ve ever seen, week 2 was the second worst. That’s bad enough to drag down the ENTIRE DEFENSE. Browns sure learned to target him often. I’d be targeting him the entire game!

  20. buc4evr Says:

    Bucs power ranking is 32. Total disaster of a team.

  21. Billybob1 Says:

    S.O.S.

  22. Marine Buc Says:

    With a fully healthy roster this team can’t beat the Browns?

    If they can’t beat the Browns who CAN they beat?

    Wow – just wait until the injuries start to pile up again – it gonna be ugly ya’ll.

    You thought I was trolling with my 7-10 prediction… Turns out I was being too generous to the Bucs.

    LOL!

    Go Bucs!

  23. BigBucJoe Says:

    Playoffs?

  24. JA Says:

    Joe——

    Couldn’t disagree more with your “losing record” division winner take.
    Both New Orleans, who came from behind to stun the Ravens, and Carolina, who blew out Atlanta, are improving while the Bucs are clearly regressing.
    Bryce Young has thrown for 6 TD’s — 0 picks and 648 yards in the first two weeks.
    Tyler Shough has 4 TD’s — 2 picks and 662 yards through the air.
    Our 167 Million Dollar Boy has 1 TD — 1 pick — 3 lost fumbles and 398 yards in the air.
    Shough and Young are both still cheap, young and upcoming. Baker is … well … the opposite.
    The Bucs and Atlanta will now be cellar dwellers in a cellar division.
    Do you watch the other games?
    Baker runs down field to block to cover his numerous other mistakes. “Man, what a team player,” say his followers.
    Really? What else ya got? Sure as heck ain’t wins. Your team player is 2-9 in his last 11 games.

  25. bud liked tht bucs Says:

    garbage watched a little of chiefs colts both teams looked a 1000 better than yucs

  26. Fishhawkbuc Says:

    They are impossible with Bowles at the helm.

  27. Fishhawkbuc Says:

    DEI killed Nike s well

  28. Joaquim Valente Says:

    After yesterday my bow or 308 and a tree stand take priority over this team until TB is fired.

  29. Baker MayFumble Says:

    Mike Evans knew!

  30. Bucs are Cooked Says:

    Playoffs? Joe, maybe write about another team if you need the content. The Bucs aren’t making sh!t. We are a squad of losers led by a blimp with a single digit IQ. Total trash.

    We won’t make .500 and you type this after we crap down our leg against the Browns? lol. We are back. Like basement dweller back.

  31. Bucmike Says:

    I do not believe the NFC South is as bad as you make it out to be this season. Carolina or probably N.O. will have a 10 win season winning the division. Life long Buc fan, truly have no hope for this season. Hope i’m wrong….

  32. ChattBucsFan Says:

    No way in hell. Hard to believe but this team is actually worse than last year. Kicking myself for re-upping the Ticket should have spent that money on bourbon.

  33. Leopold Stotch Says:

    Yeah it’s going to take a miracle. It’s the same thing the past 3 years with Todd at the helm. The only difference is that we can see it coming. Vita Vea and the other players can say it’s not his fault all they want. Todd can say what he wants about motivation and whatnot. This is an underachieving team. When it’s the same crap defense year after year, when it’s going for field goals instead of tuddies. When it’s zero adjustments. When there’s no pass rush, players regressing or failing to develop. It falls on the Head Coach.

    I will say the play of Vea and Baker are not necessarily Todd’s fault. Those guys were relatively speaking, under paid, that being said, Baker talked the most trash about the team and he gets paid and for what? 5 turnovers? Vea looks awful. Bain is a rookie, so I’ll temper expectations, but to have absolutely 0 impact? Come on.

    This isn’t just a new thing either we’ve been losing since last year, and honestly shouldn’t have won the Arizona game or Panthers game. Only difference is the mid-season slide is at the beginning. Todd should have been let go last year, you can make an argument for 24 to keep Coen, but that’s a very bold move. Todd is too conservative as a HC, I just don’t get how he can fundamentally change from being a DC and HC and have such a different philosophy. Is it because he wouldn’t be the fall guy since he’s listening to his HC? I’m sick of hearing “exotic Todd Bowles defense”, “Defensive Guru” or any other malarkey by anyone especially an announcer and then have some scrub qb throw for 350 and 4 tuddies. I’m done

    Todd Bowles needs to go end of story.

  34. Stpetematt Says:

    I just had an interesting conversation with Google’s AI. I suggested converting Ayden Garnes to a true free safety and moving Winfield and Smith up as hybrid LB/strong safeties. Pairing them with Trotter and playing solid constant nickel defense. Those guys are stout enough against the run and would help a lot in intermediate and center field coverage. Garnes and his speed and coverage ability could stop a lot of deep passes. And the difference in the middle of the field could be huge. We need to do something and these slow linebackers are killing us.

  35. Sam Says:

    Dude let’s win a game. Let’s look prepared and play defense and offense and look good. This team does look good at all. They need a real HC. Playoffs. ???? lol

  36. Todd Says:

    R.I.P. Todd and Jason

 

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