Warren Sharp: Bucs Draft Ranked Strong For Value

April 26th, 2026

Bucs GM Jason Licht.

If one is going to try to apply math to draft picks, the Bucs just had a fairly strong draft.

And who else would try to inject math into projections than a handicapper? In this instance, it is noted handicapper Warren Sharp.

Before the draft, Sharp, on his website Sharp Football Analysis, rated the top 250 prospects, ranking them Nos 1-250. So say Sharp had a player ranked No. 40. If a team took that player at No. 41, the team got +1 grade for the pick. If the No. 40-rated player was drafted at No. 39 it would be a -1.

Using this system, the Bucs came out with the seventh-best value score this weekend., meaning Bucs AC/DC-loving general manager Jason Licht took advantage of several players slipping in the draft.

Interestingly, the 49ers, per Sharp, reached on way too many players and have been for a few years now. Sharp raked 49ers general manager John Lynch over the coals as a result.

10 Responses to “Warren Sharp: Bucs Draft Ranked Strong For Value”

  1. adam from ny Says:

    i’m still a bit irked about not jumping up into the higher 30’s to land jrod

  2. 3.28.Evans Says:

    Value.

    As in they’ll never cost much.

    Brilliant. Gotta love Groundhog Day.

  3. adam from ny Says:

    also looking forward to landing a UFA gem or two…

    the front office is good – so they might be maneuvering

  4. Ash Says:

    Bain was an amazing situation didn’t see that one coming. But overall, you can gripe about the linebacker they took if you want, it’s fine. They needed one, they got someone physical, which is the direction they want to go with the defense, and I’m all for that.They signed Alex for the coverage issue, and oh wait the improved pass rush is going to make coverage a lot easier for this secondary. I liked this draft.

  5. HopeIn1Hand… Says:

    I’ve come all the way around to the the importance of this consideration of positional value. It translates to four years of extra cap dollars/contract money to retain valuable players on the roster and make moves in free agency to fill holes and offset injury impacts. A team is drafting a player for a term of a contract and with that player comes spending power over that term. Draft picks are assets beyond a player and his performance.

    Top left has secured the most projected spending power over the term of these contracts and the lower right traded that projected spending power away for whatever reasons. Some cases are a fitting use of assets- scheme fit, glaring need but then there is whatever the Jaguars did. Their draft mystifies me.

    This is all projection. These prospects still need to outperform their slotted rookie deals so by no means are the Comanches the next bully anymore than the Jags are doomed.

    I like how the Bucs retain so many players and drafting like they do for positional value frees up money to do it. Good job Licht.

  6. #1bucsfan Says:

    Ash. That’s what I’ve bin saying. Trotter wasn’t drafted to go cover he’s here to help in the run game. Alex his good at both and trotter will get to learn from him. Bucs got a lot more physical this offseason but only time will tell if it pays off. I for 1 am excited about what the Bucs did and can’t wait for the season to start

  7. FL born n grown Says:

    Hopein1Hand- by far one of the most astute and PROFOUND posts I’ve read on here!!! The performance or expectation is inconsequential….. IF they added that matrix into their dialogue when discussing said impact on ANY draft pick…….. Wow………
    So little we know, yet so much we pontificate on here on what we THINK we know……
    Still, what galvanizes us all on here is “go bucs”. So let us bask in that consensus that if nothing else, we all seek the same, just not privy to how we get there.
    With that said, my inner cave man says I want a Lombardi trophy more often than on average once a quarter century…..

  8. LynchMob50 Says:

    3-14 coming. Bowels sucks.

  9. FortMyersDave Says:

    Lynchmob, I agree on Bowles but he is Mr Mediocrity so 3 wins will not happen, especially in the NFC South. I think that Bowles has a 10 win ceiling and a 7 win floor, Mr Mediocreity and while that could beat out Carolina or maybe not for the chance to lose to the #1 wildcard at home,, the Bucs will not be in tge Arch Manning race, I think the ATL is the NFC South team that could be a 3 or 4 win team with their QBs even more fragile than egg shells and a head coach which will bring the Cleveland Brown flush it down losing mentality with him.

  10. kgh4life Says:

    49ers will still be in the playoffs, lol

 

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