How Tom Brady Got Gamblers Mad At Him
October 18th, 2021
No Tom, 1 1/2 yards, not four.
This was funny and the wagering element of the Bucs’ win may not be what you think.
Depending where you dropped cash, the line for the Bucs-Eagles game last week was Bucs -7 or perhaps Bucs -6.5.
(Joe took the Eagles +7, for full disclosure.)
When the Bucs marched deep into Eagles territory on the game’s final drive leading 28-22, it appeared the Bucs would cover. Then, Super Bowl-winning coach Bucco Bruce Arians and Tom Brady threw cold water on the fire and went into the beautiful Victory Formation.
And many gamblers lost their damn minds.
(Joe only wishes to have been inside the Mirage book or the Westgate Superbook just to see people go completely unhinged.)
Noted gambler Jimmy Traina of SI.com claims that was not the bad beat of the game. He explained how when the Bucs got their final first down of that drive, a three-yard plunge by Brady, it put Brady over his wagering line of 1.5 total rushing yards for the future Hall of Famer.
And then that bet vanished before the very eyes of gamblers and Traina couldn’t shake himself for minutes.
Can’t stop staring at this insane carnage. pic.twitter.com/tR6yW0RLUW
— Jimmy Traina (@JimmyTraina) October 15, 2021
That damn near would have been worth a roundtrip flight to Vegas just to see how people went mental when the clock ran down.
(And by the way, we need to go back to football games ending with a referee firing off a Smith & Wesson M&P Bodyguard .38 like the good ol’ days).
Hopefully, entertainment like this mixed in with your football viewing comes quickly.
October 18th, 2021 at 10:20 am
In the “good ol’ days”, Grantland Rice’s comment was applicable to most –
“When the great scorer comes to write against your name
He asks not whether you won or lost
But how you played the game.”
Now – in this heavy gambling era –
“Listen to what the wise man said
It’s not whether you won or lost
But if you beat the spread.”
Sad times.
October 18th, 2021 at 10:30 am
I care not about anyone losing money. That’s why it’s called gambling.
October 18th, 2021 at 10:37 am
Can’t help but think the NFL is oppening Pandora’s box by getting into bed with all these gambling sites. Do you really think these gamblers won’t look for an edge by attempting to influencing the players, coaches or referees? Especially with the league now playing in Vegas. I could be wrong, but I think it’s a mistake.
October 18th, 2021 at 10:40 am
I can count to 4. I went to Publix and got a 4 pack of Big Storm BroMosa and I count 2. I can’t remember the rest……..
October 18th, 2021 at 10:41 am
Hey! They don’t call them prop bets for nothing!😎
October 18th, 2021 at 10:46 am
I found it very strange that the Eagles went for 2 after their last touchdown to close the lead to 6 this beating the spread. Highly unconventional move. 🤔🤔🤔🤔
October 18th, 2021 at 11:08 am
Well said, CO.
October 18th, 2021 at 11:13 am
Still not sure why Eagles, went for 2 points, no reason for it. Things that make you go Hmmm?
October 18th, 2021 at 11:19 am
Listn – Agree – a puzzlement.
And, thanks, WW.
October 18th, 2021 at 11:29 am
The Eagles going for 2 was the dumbest move
October 18th, 2021 at 11:52 am
Do it for fun, sure, but when your betting a ton of dough on a sport with an oddly-shaped ball, don’t be surprised when things get weird.
October 18th, 2021 at 11:58 am
Well-played!
October 18th, 2021 at 11:59 am
Chris, I live in Nevada and know first hand how difficult it is for anyone to get approved for a gaming license. The state gaming board is so damn thorough in their vetting processes that they’ll even interview people you knew in elementary school if they feel the need to do so.
October 18th, 2021 at 12:24 pm
If you’re betting on Brady’s rushing yards then it’s time to check in with gamblers anonymous.
October 18th, 2021 at 1:28 pm
Don’t care what any gamblers think and if they don’t cover, too bad. In fact it would be poor sportsmanship to try to score again when you can just run the clock for the guaranteed win. Huge mistake for the NFL to get involved with gambling sites.
October 18th, 2021 at 1:36 pm
Not sure why people dont get why going for 2(when down 14 late) is a very smart play. All you have to do is look at the scoreboard and see the Eagles literally were one play away from victory because of the 2 pt.
If you miss the 2pt you are still one posession away from OT which is the same situation you get if you go for 1.
It gives you achance to go for the win and if unsuccessful you can still play for OT. Much better sotuation then playing for OT all the way. The risk/reward is too good.
October 18th, 2021 at 1:54 pm
IDROOLPEWTER&RED, I get it. I just think it’s important for there to be a separation between the betting and the actual league. Confidence in the integrity of the sport is crucial, easily lost and hard to get back, just ask MLB.
October 18th, 2021 at 2:14 pm
The reason you would never go for two in that spot is the math. 2 point conversions are successful under 50 percent of the time , while an extra point is over 94%. Your probability of converting 2 extra points and getting the score tied is exponentially higher trying the extra points and that is why any coach worth his salt would never go for 2 in that spot , especially after the first score. It smacks of a coach with a betting interest on the game which is a very bad look for the league.
October 18th, 2021 at 3:02 pm
I lost 250…oh well, made over 2k last year so its all good….they wouldnt pay out any of it until i deposited 10k, so i just treat that account as play money. Bet us is a fkn joke. I started out with 300 of my own cash oh well, bye bye 300.
October 18th, 2021 at 3:20 pm
76 i really dislike these probability stats. I would just as soon throw them out the window. But if thats how you are basing the situation the math makes great sense.
First we are all assuming the Eagles score 2 TDs to end the game. Its like 47-49% chance you make the 2 pt conversion………So that 48% is your chances of winning the game in regulation. If you decide to kick extra points you have zero percent chance to win in regulation using the same assumptions.
Now if you miss you still get another chance to score an 8 pointer and win in OT. Im no mathematicion but Im certain you ha ve a much better percent chance to win in you give yourself a chance to win in regulation and can still force an OT………Youre way only give a chance to win in OT.
And Im not sure what your thinking to say you should especially not try in on the first TD? That makes no sense, the 1st TD is the much smarter time to use the 2pt because can miss it you get another chance to try again. If you miss on yhe 2nd 2 pointer, game over you lose.
There quite a few nerds who wrote quite a few artickes breaking down all the percents and algorithms. Mathematically speaking its the smarter 2 pointer in football.
But I dont look look at the math. Its pretty easy to see that going for 2 down 14 is basically the only way you have a chance to win in regulation(if its late in the game) and if you miss you still have a chance to win in OT………and I really scratch my head how fans can see the Eagles get the game to less then 7 and not realize why its such a smart play……….I can only guess they are bitter from losing a bet.