Liking The Over

July 9th, 2021


So one guy doesn’t seem all that geeked that the Bucs can pull a Lightning and go back-to-back.

Still, David Lawrence of believes football fans and short-term investors can make money on the Bucs this fall.

Lawrence, in a short preview of the NFC South, isn’t down with the Bucs’ pass defense, but he likes their passing offense. With what he perceives to be a soft schedule, Lawrence certainly likes the over on the Bucs’ 11.5 season-win total set by our friends in East California the Nevada desert.

Last year, Tom Brady shook the NFL world when he decided to play for the Bucs. The public and experts were torn. Some figured Brady was washed and that Tampa Bay would miss the playoffs, while others thought that Brady still had some left in the tank and would have amazing weapons around him and lead them to the playoffs. Well, Brady showed the world that he still had gas in the tank even at 43 years old as he led the Bucs to a Super Bowl victory. The Bucs are looking to be the first team since the 04-05 Patriots to win back-to-back Super Bowls. No big deal, but Tom Brady was also on that 04-05 Patriots. …

The Bucs were a steady team on both sides of the ball last year. They were top five in both offense and defense, which led them to a Super Bowl victory. Tampa finished with the 5th overall offense, scoring the 3rd most points, 7th yards, 2nd passing yards, 28th rushing touchdowns, and 15th rushing touchdowns. The rushing part of their offense was lacking, with Ronald Jones and Leonard Fournette being the No. 1 and 2 running backs. This year, Jones and Fournette are back, but will the addition of Giovani Bernard help their running game? Tampa finished with the 4th overall defense, 9th in points allowed, 6th yards allowed, 20th passing touchdowns, 21st passing yards, 1st rushing yards, and 1st rushing touchdowns. They were amazing at stopping the run but they were near the league’s bottom in stopping the passing game. In 2021, with teams throwing the ball more and more, having a bad passing defense isn’t ideal. Regardless, the defense worked enough for them to win it all.

Statistically, the pass defense may not overwhelm people. But those who think the Bucs have a trash pass defense, well, Joe suggests they need to re-watch the last three Bucs games. Shutting down Drew Brees and Pat Mahomes and bottling up drama queen Aaron Rodgers just enough to win a Super Bowl is a gauntlet that few defenses have ever pulled off.

Teams with lousy pass defenses don’t do that.

Of course, it helps to have a pass rush. Nothing bails out pass coverage like a good pass rush.

Advantage: Bucs.

16 Responses to “Liking The Over”

  1. Roy T. Buford Says:

    The team with a bad pass defense did not show up for the last several games–only the good team. Yes, there were times the pass D, and even the whole team were horrid last year. But all squads clearly found their groove, ESPECIALLY the pass D in the playoffs.

    I continue to wince every time people talk about “repeats.” That is bad karma, and I just hope the Bucs players and coaches aren’t engaging in it. As always, take each game one at a time.

  2. Bird Says:

    Florida sports gambling is being discussed but is not here yet? Correct?

    If anyone is going to vegas soon. Or lives in vegas …or is in legal state to gamble give me a holla. Got a hundo on over.

    I really think bucs could /should win 13/14/15 when looking at

  3. ModHairKen Says:

    Preach it, Brother Roy!

  4. Wild Bill Says:

    The Bucs stout run defense forced opponents to throw more often. Variables like that can skew analytics. Fewer running yards and more passing yards by opponents can result in a false narrative.

  5. Tampabaybucfan Says:

    I just watched “The Current”……..and was reminded that Antonio Brown’s first TD as a Buc was against Atlanta in week 15………imagine 14 weeks of AB next year of potential TDs…..
    I’m definitely with the OVER….

  6. DavidBigBucFan99 Says:

    If the pass defense had played the way they in the final 3 playoff games(they were poor against the WTF football team) then they would’ve won atleast 2 more games but they didn’t. They even came close to losing a few and being out of the playoffs all together if it hadn’t been for the offense. The one thing I always say is that they are opportunistic and took the ball away a good number of times of which the offense was very good at turning into touch downs but still they had a hard time getting off the field because of their inability to cover receivers. That’s why they gave up 67% completion or something like that. They gave up 5.1 yards per play, dat no good!

  7. Beeej Says:

    I’ve been meaning to put $50 on them going 17-0, now I can’t find that web site that had it as an option

  8. Joe Says:

    Florida sports gambling is being discussed but is not here yet? Correct?

    Not yet.

  9. Eddie Marz Says:

    You can measure these stats all you want. Many times stats can be mlsleading because of game situations. Here’s where Brady fools them all. Doesn’t care about stats, just winning football games and Championships.GO BUCS!

  10. Mike Says:

    Pass defense was sucked last year’ because it blitzed too much and focused to stop the run. Since the break, the defense stopped blitzing, so the defense became more balanced and dominant.

  11. Buc1987 Says:

    Let’s all hope that the secondary which is still young imo, improves upon what they learned from last season.

    Still young pups.

    Go Bucs!!!

  12. CM Says:

    It was Marco Rubio who wrote the letter to Biden ,Joe. Biden can’t even read a teleprompter and u think he took initiative on that 😂😂

  13. CM Says:

    Right the wrong Joe no fake news.

  14. CM Says:

    Give credit where credit is due

  15. Bush's Coke Spoon Says:

    “I don’t even know what I’m signing.”
    ~ Joe Biden

  16. Buckaroo Boozie Says:

    Joe is Fake🤣 News…😏meh…