Bucs Playoff Percentages
November 6th, 2025
Calculator crowd explains.
If you believe the numberscrunchers at BSPN, the Bucs would have to have a monumental collapse to not make the playoffs.
Earning a first-round bye is another matter.
Per BSPN, the Bucs have a 92 percent chance of making the playoffs and an 87 percent chance of winning the division. That’s the second-best in the NFC trailing only the Eagles.
And while that’s good news, the calculator crowd at the four-letter, which is holding football fans hostage in a racketeering stunt with Google, is not so high on the Bucs earning a first-round bye.
The Bucs’ percentage chance to earn a bye, per BSPN, drop like a rock to 15 percent. No explanation is given but it appears BSPN’s stat nerds believe the myriad of injuries to key players will catch up with the team in the final nine games of the season.
That may be why The Athletic isn’t jumping through hoops over the Bucs. That outfit projects the Bucs to finish 11-6, meaning the Bucs will barely keep their heads above water in the final nine games with a 5-4 mark.
The Athletic believes the Bucs will win the NFC South but won’t get a bye and will be the No. 4 seed.
Like BSPN, The Athletic is very high on the Bucs making the playoffs and winning the division, but less optimistic about earning a bye.
Of course, Joe would love to see the Bucs earn a bye. But, the Bucs took the hard path to win a Super Bowl in 2020, so Joe’s not going to lose too much sleep if the Bucs win the division but don’t get a bye.
November 6th, 2025 at 4:44 am
also, the eagles have the head-to-head tie breaker, if it comes down to us and them. but their schedule is much harder than ours, here on out. BSPN and most media around the league just have a boner for certain teams and coaches and the Bucs consistently don’t get the respect they deserve. got a lotta hope we come out of the bye strong and shut up some talking heads.
November 6th, 2025 at 4:53 am
Our next 3 games could make or break the season – need to keep momentum going and ideally get a few players back
November 6th, 2025 at 5:26 am
If we can come out of the next 3 games at 8-3, we’ll be just fine. Godwin, Irving, McMillan, and Goedeke are going to start trickling back into the lineup and the last 6 games of the season are winnable games. The team Just needs to gut it out and get a couple of wins over these next 3 weeks.
November 6th, 2025 at 5:56 am
They will backpeddle.
November 6th, 2025 at 6:22 am
i only see 2 easy games left saints and dolphins. even dolphins can pull off an upset like they did vs raheem the dream
November 6th, 2025 at 6:39 am
“”it appears BSPN’s stat nerds believe the myriad of injuries to keep players will catch up with the team in the final nine games of the season””
I also believe that’s exactly what is going to happen. Would LOVE to be proven wrong on that. McMillian is NOT coming back this season. IF IF IF Godwin comes back at some point before the end of the season he’ll be totally insignificant just like he was when he first came back. Since the Bucs love to gaslight everybody on injury status we wait and wait until Goedeke and Bucky come back. Those 2 guys are critical to our success.
November 6th, 2025 at 7:08 am
I think the Bucs chance for the bye went bye bye when they didn’t go out and get some help for their injury depleted team!
Prove me wrong Bucs!
November 6th, 2025 at 7:10 am
The difference between the 2020 and 2025 teams is significant. Thei 2020 receiving core is night and day with 3 to 4 Hall of Fame players vs. Mike Evans who is currently on Injured status.
That’s way most sports writers are not high on Bucs making it to the Super Bowl
November 6th, 2025 at 7:31 am
McMillan isn’t coming back this year
November 6th, 2025 at 7:38 am
BUCS will finish #2 seed with 12 or more wins!!!!!
book it!!!!!
GO BUCS!!!!!
November 6th, 2025 at 7:47 am
The Bucs won’t get the bye because they lost tiebreaker games to the lions and eagles. It’s really that simple. They’d need free and clear the best record and I just don’t see that happening. Too many injuries to overcome.
November 6th, 2025 at 8:50 am
If we end up 6-3 on the back half after 6-2 on the front that’s a damn good job by this franchise esp when injuries are factored in.
I look at the the next nine in chunks: next three are very difficult, then you have your divisional games and then you have the cards and dolphins. I’m not looking past any of them but let’s say you win one of the next three (needs to be the lambs). Go 3-1 in division and sweep cards and phins. That gets you to 12 and it’s perfectly reasonable, although none of the teams will be pushovers. Even at 12 we don’t hold tie breakers with the eagles or lions.
The pats, while tough have had a weak schedule so far. Let’s see if we can get this one at home.
November 6th, 2025 at 8:54 am
Win 4 or 5 of the last 9 and they will win the Division again
Carolina or ATL are not winning double digit games
November 6th, 2025 at 8:56 am
Bucs, injuries and all, have to be set to play 2 teams: The opponent and the refs. I hope Grizzard has done some serious reviewing and critical analysis of his first 8 games. If so, he’ll realize how much talent he’s got on that offense even banged up. Go Bucs!!
November 6th, 2025 at 9:28 am
The only players we’ll get back are Irving, Reddick and Goedeke and they are still weeks away.
As for CG. I didn’t expect him to return to form this year and maybe ever. He hadcan ACL and a bad ankle injury. Plus, he’s aging. I didn’t want us to resign him.
Thats why JL should have made a move or two. Next year we could need another wr. Mike might retire and Jmac who knows.
I don’t see EE, Tez and Shep taking us to the promise land. We are a pass team now since we can’t run the ball. It’s hard to win late in the season when you can’t run.
Tez is tiny. He can’t be used too much, especially over the middle. Boom, another injury..
11 and 6 seems right.