Bucs’ Post Draft Win-Loss Total
May 1st, 2025
Fewer wins than 2024?
Joe may just have to utilize the gambling device owned by the Seminoles in the free state of Florida after reading the following.
With the Bucs (on paper, of course) improving their defense some and adding a weapon to an already-powerful offense, and playing in a trash division, doesn’t 9.5 wins for a season win total seem a bit low?
It sure does to Joe, but Bet MGM and our local Native Americans have the Bucs at 9.5 wins as we enter the first day of May.
In only four months NFL rosters will be set for the 2025 season. Hard to believe.
Joe thinks the Bucs have won’t have nearly as tough of a schedule as they did last year. And Joe actually thinks the Bucs improved their roster.
Atlanta? Beatable. Carolina? Beatable. Slimy Saints? If the Bucs don’t sweep those black and mold gold voodoo clowns, that tells Joe that Baker Mayfield got hurt.
No need to consult your short-term investment broker. Just grab your phone.
May 1st, 2025 at 12:06 am
Most accurate statement “Joe” ever made goes to: playing in a trash division.
This is the sole reason for any success over the last three years of the current regime.
You don’t need to be great, or even be that good at all.
Just be a slight bit better than the drecks in the NFC Least.
However, once the playoffs begin, you face real talent and the record speaks for itself.
28-27 including 1-3 in the playoffs.
May 1st, 2025 at 12:08 am
i think 8-8, 9-7, 10-6, and 11-5 are equally possible. 7-9 or 12-4 much less possible
May 1st, 2025 at 12:09 am
swiss – talent isn’t why they lost to the commanders, who turned out to be a contender, but point taken
May 1st, 2025 at 12:12 am
I have 10 wins as our realistic basement this season IF we don’t have another outlier season vis-à-vis injuries. I see 10-13 wins as our window.
May 1st, 2025 at 12:17 am
Jeffrey Becker
Yes I agree we have talented players, mostly on offense, and a few on defense.
But the coaching on the defensive side of the ball is atrocious.
And dare I say the roster construction on the defensive side of the ball has been ignored and neglected the last few years.
The record in big games says a lot to that point.
May 1st, 2025 at 12:36 am
Much more favorable schedule than last year.
I see 8 legit tough games: Eagles, 49ers, Rams, Seahawks, Dolphins, Bills, Lions, Texans.
Not losing any sleep over Patriots, Jets, Cardinals, Falcons, Saints, Panthers.
I got 11-6
May 1st, 2025 at 12:50 am
I just don’t understand those who count wins and losses this far out.
As far as I’m concerned, we are undefeated for the 2025 season. And we will remain undefeated until we suffer our first loss. Then, and only then, do I start counting losses.
May 1st, 2025 at 1:15 am
Swiss, I think the Bucs went 6-5 in the regular season last year, +outside+ of their “trash” division. Clearly, the division isn’t the sole reason for their success. What they’ll do this year, I couldn’t say, but I’ll enjoy finding out!
May 1st, 2025 at 2:52 am
The Joe-Joes (AKA cheerleaders of JL), need to lose the rose colored glasses. 9.5 wins is the EACT number to get half of people to bet over and half to bet under. Every year we go through this with the Joe-Joes. They even attack my future ex-wive Kay adams when she doesn’t do full points. Shame on you. 9.5 is BETTING ODDS. You should know this for now.
May 1st, 2025 at 3:29 am
I think we improve our record by one more win like we have the last 3 season I believe? 8-9, 9-7, 10-6…
11-6 is a reasonable expectation but honestly it really comes down to staying healthy. If we do 12 wins is possible
May 1st, 2025 at 3:44 am
“Swiss cheese defense” is the total opposite of what u call a “fan”. Nothing but negative comments and dwelling on everything the Bucs haven’t done instead of all the great things they have done. I’ve never seen a fan base that no matter what there so called favorite team does its never enough. A TRUE fan supports his team no matter what. Am I happy with every move we make or the fact that we havent been able to develop a pass rusher since the Dungy era? NO but I am a BUCS fan so I support WHATEVER they do and will look at the POSITIVES instead of the NEGATIVES.
May 1st, 2025 at 3:55 am
we’re on track for an 11-6 season…give or take a game either way…
(10-7 or 12-5……but 11-6 seems about right)
and we will have a team like atlanta on our azz down the stretch…
someone else could maybe win 10…
even carolina could become a surprise team to get a few more wins than expected…
i see the saints toiling with another team for the division cellar
(cam jordan will not be happy)
May 1st, 2025 at 3:57 am
bowles is on a steady “one win more that the previous season” total…
i think he keeps pace and we win one more than last year
May 1st, 2025 at 4:05 am
To make any kind of predictions at this point is anybody’s guess. Sure it may be fun to think about but pointless this early.
May 1st, 2025 at 5:00 am
2023 – 6.5 wins predicted – 9 wins total
2024 – 8.5 wins predicted – 10 wins total
2025 – 9.5 wins predicted – 11+ wins expected
The Bucs are a good bet once again in 2025 to surpass the expectation of ‘our friends’ in the desert…..
May 1st, 2025 at 5:21 am
Eagles, Rams, and Bills look like toss-ups. We should be favorites in the other 14. I bet, barring injuries, that we win 14 games. Last year I won 1000 betting 300 on our Bucs to win the division. This year I will only win 600 betting 300 on our Bucs to win the division. Those boys in Vegas know stuff.
May 1st, 2025 at 5:33 am
Last year my 700 on Bucs winning Super Bowl would have paid about 60,000. This year 700 on Bucs winning the Super Bowl will only pay about 20,000 plus or minus. Wish we’d have won last year. I’m thinking any odds changes this next few months won’t be in our favor. Might be time to place our bets. As a novice in this gambling game I broke even last year. I believe that means this is my year! Kansas, here I come!
May 1st, 2025 at 6:50 am
Someday Joe you’ll have to explain to me how an NFL team gets 9.5 wins. Is that 9 wins? 10 wins? Or is it supposed to be a 9 wins with 1 tie?
It’s impossible to tell in May how much any 1 team has improved from the previous season, much less how much 32 teams have improved (or not improved). Pure speculation & quite meaningless even on the bettors’ parts at this point.
It seems however that the Bucs’ offense is staffed pretty much the same as last year; no major changes. So it’d seem logical to project them performing in much the same way, as a Top-5 offense hopefully.
Our defense didn’t really add any superstars this off-season. Reddick had some good years, but it’s still hard to project how he’ll perform in THIS defense. I think our ILB corps at this point is our potential weak link, just like it was last season. And loss of Vea for ANY games would be really detrimental.
I’m not convinced … YET … that this defense is poised to perform any better this season than they did last season. And assuming that for now, 9-10 wins seems about right. How far that’ll get us in the playoffs … and even IF we’ll make the playoffs … is impossible to estimate in May.
May 1st, 2025 at 6:54 am
Alfred … Just curious. What are the odds on Kay Adams becoming your future wife? Is there a .5 in there anyplace?
May 1st, 2025 at 6:59 am
Nothing Better Than Doing Nothing … ‘Not losing any sleep over Patriots, Jets, Cardinals, Falcons, Saints, Panthers. I got 11-6
A number of national pundits have the Cardinals winning their division. And the Falcons DID beat us twice last year, regardless of what their record was. Final season record is still developed one game at a time.
May 1st, 2025 at 7:09 am
I have heard several pundits pick the Falcons in the division already and it befuddles me… Is their quarterback better? No. Offensive line? No. Receivers? No. Running backs? I do not think so. Defensive line? No. Pass rush? Only if two rookies explode, and our rookies do not. DBs and linebackers? Maybe a wash?
May 1st, 2025 at 7:14 am
DR… is that really you? Is the pessimism from Licht not taking a DT round one?
I think the team is definitely improved … 10 wins is the basement. If you or anybody else thinks the team has not improved the defense with four guys we drafted and some other players we picked up in the offseason, you all are definitely leaning negative then. We had a lot of injuries last year and few solid back ups. We’ve improved the roster for sure. There’s more quality depth behind our starters no matter who wins the starting jobs this preseason. We get one more win than last season just by having a competent punter in 2025.
Odds of anybody that posts here marrying Kay Adams.
-0.5 (is that new math?)
May 1st, 2025 at 7:17 am
i see bucs winning 10 to 11. they will lose 2 close games to the heavy hitters, 2 because of coaching, and 2 because of bad day at the office, and maybe one just because. bet the over 9.5. easy money.
May 1st, 2025 at 8:08 am
DR, I had the one 330 lb, Kenneth Grant, as being a 1st round talent.
He was taken quite a bit before we picked. The other two 330 lbs were clearly not up to Grant or Vea’s level.
May 1st, 2025 at 8:20 am
KABucs … ‘Is the pessimism from Licht not taking a DT round one?’
Personally I don’t consider it pessimism in MAY to say that this team could end up with 9-10 wins. We clearly lost at least 3 games last season because our defense couldn’t hold on the last drive (2 OT losses plus the playoff loss). Could also make the case that we lost the 49ers game for the same reason (we might have won if we didn’t give up the FG at the last second). POTENTIALLY we could’ve ended the season with 13 wins IF our defense had held on our opponent’s last drive.
But it didn’t. In 2 games we gave up TDs on the last drive to lose the game, and in 2 games we gave up FGs. Such is life. Look at eash of those 4 drives and ask yourself what it would’ve taken to keep our opponents from scoring on those drives.
My answer to that question is that we needed to beef up our pass rush AND short pass coverage. First loss to Falcons is a good illustration. Bucs were winning 30-27 with 1 minute to go and Falcons had the ball. They drove 51 yds for a FG (with 1 second left) to tie the game using 6 short passes (5 complete), then drove 70 yards in 4 plays (3 complete short passes & 1 rush) to score a TD and win the ballgame in overtime. Cousins went 8-for-9 passing (all short) to cover 129 yards in 2:20 el;apsed time and score 10 points & win the ballgame. Our offense never touched the ball in that time.
Is that pessimistic? Maybe, but it happened 3 other times last season.
May 1st, 2025 at 8:21 am
doesn’t 9.5 wins for a season win total seem a bit low?
The Mayfield turnovers factor brings the win projection down.
May 1st, 2025 at 8:23 am
9.5 is actually pretty good. This team has started fast, finished great and tanked in the middle of the last two seasons. Credit the players and coaching staff for all of the good and bad.
The roster seems capable of having 10 win floor. But it’s going to take Bowles getting more aggressive on offense (leaving them on the field in fourth and short situations at certain locations on the field) rather than punting or kicking the field goal. It’s also going to take the players holding themselves more accountable and obviously the defense improving significantly
May 1st, 2025 at 8:24 am
KABucs … ‘Is the pessimism from Licht not taking a DT round one?’
Personally I don’t consider it pessimism in MAY to say that this team could end up with 9-10 wins. We clearly lost at least 3 games last season because our defense couldn’t hold on the last drive (2 OT losses plus the playoff loss). Could also make the case that we lost the 49ers game for the same reason (we might have won if we didn’t give up the FG at the last second). POTENTIALLY we could’ve ended the season with 13 wins IF our defense had held on our opponent’s last drive.
But it didn’t. In 2 games we gave up TDs on the last drive to lose the game, and in 2 games we gave up FGs. Such is life. Look at eash of those 4 drives and ask yourself what it would’ve taken to keep our opponents from scoring on those drives.
My answer to that question is that we needed to beef up our pass rush AND short pass coverage. First loss to Falcons is a good illustration. Bucs were winning 30-27 with 1 minute to go and Falcons had the ball. They drove 51 yds for a FG (with 1 second left) to tie the game using 6 short passes (5 complete), then drove 70 yards in 4 plays (3 complete short passes & 1 rush) to score a TD and win the ballgame in overtime. Cousins went 8-for-9 passing (all short) to cover 129 yards in 2:20 el;apsed time and score 10 points & win the ballgame. Our offense never touched the ball in that time.
Is that pessimistic? Maybe, but it happened 3 other times last season.
May 1st, 2025 at 8:27 am
What! These comments are stunning! We had to work like hell to not win 12 games last year. Health on defense is key- Dennis, Winfield and Kancey calf- DR you hope Braswell jumps. Need another Vea but we have 4 fresh faces to add to our healthy defense? We’re way better than last year.
May 1st, 2025 at 8:36 am
2025 Home:
AZ — winnable
SF — winnable
NE — winnable
NYJ — winnable
ATL — probable win
CAR –probable win
NO — probable win
PHI — given recent regular season history, probable loss
Away:
LAR — probable loss
SEA — probable loss
MIA — winnable
BUF — probable loss
ATL — probable win
CAR — winnable
NO — probable win
DET — winnable
HOU — winnable
By my tally that’s a ceiling of 13-4 based solely on either probable wins or winnable games, but you’re not going to win every single winnable game. Assuming the Bucs lose a couple of those, I’m looking at 10-7 or 11-6.
Yeah, 9.5 looks like a solid bet.
May 1st, 2025 at 8:47 am
We won 10 last year, were a HAIR away from 13. I think having to play Britt on passing downs instead of Dennis was the whole difference