Weird Passing Numbers
July 26th, 2023
“Tom, that number isn’t that awful.”
You would think a quarterback throwing into the end zone, if he has any sort of decent receivers, would have a decent completion percentage, right?
Well, think again.
Joe was looking at Warren Sharp’s intel on completion percentages of end zone passes and noticed Tom Brady completed 29 percent in that category.
Man, Brady had an awful season.
However, closer inspection shows Brady wasn’t that bad. Another quarterback wiht the same completion percentage was Trevor Lawrence. Patrick Mahomes? He was only slightly better at 30 percent. Justin Herbert was at 32 percent.
Joe Burrow, Geno Smith (who led the NFL in completion percentage at 70 percent) and Jimmy GQ each were sort of in the middle of the pack at 37 percent.
Tua Tagovailoa actually led the league at 52 percent, the only quarterback who completed over half of his pass attempts into the end zone.
What does this tell Joe? Two things. Expecting quarterbacks to have a good completion percentage in the end zone is unreasonable. And you better have a running back who can punch the ball in from the red zone.
completion % on throws into the end zone
52% – Tua Tagovailoa
51%
50%
49%
48% – Dak Prescott
47%
46%
45%
44% – Daniel Jones
43% – Jalen Hurts
42% – Kirk Cousins
41% – Josh Allen, Davis Mills
40% – Justin Fields, Jared Goff
39% – Aaron Rodgers
38%
37% – Joe Burrow, Geno Smith,…— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) July 25, 2023
July 26th, 2023 at 12:10 am
Pound the rock. GO BUCS!!!
July 26th, 2023 at 12:10 am
Brady was going through a huge personal/family situation that messes up everyone’s head and then you have a guy that was not qualified to aset up and offense or know how to call plays. Brady was gun shy too, which could have been due to the crappy design of the offense
July 26th, 2023 at 1:46 am
Joe … ‘The other conclusion? You better have a running back who can punch the ball in from the red zone.’
Welcome to the club Joe. Bucs desperately need a power back (think A-Train) who won’t take no for an answer down near the goal line. Sure do wish we’d moved up a few spots & drafted AJ Dillon back in 2020. Maybe Sneak can fill that role this year.
A total of FIVE rushing TDs last season, all from the 1-yard line, is the real miserable statistic. We lost 3 games last season by my count because we couldn’t punch it in from inside the 5-yard line. Of course, a big part of the blame for that has to go to a very uncreative OC who didn’t know how to design running plays AND to an OLine that couldn’t dominate the opposing DLine when it really counted.
July 26th, 2023 at 3:11 am
No Gronk, No AB, No Line, Lost trust in his arm or Mike, Not sure which.
Go Bucs!
July 26th, 2023 at 6:07 am
Maybe Kieft can be that guy.
July 26th, 2023 at 8:16 am
Who cares this is a new season move on that was last year again I don’t care about the off the field stuff. He chose football over his family that’s his fault no one gave Devin White a pass for his play last year when he lost his dad so stop giving Brady a pass because he put his family on the back burner for a sport he didn’t need anymore!!
July 26th, 2023 at 11:52 am
BL/Brady screwed up big time by not giving Evans more chances in the End zone last year.
50/50 balls turn into 80/20 balls when Mike Evans is the target….
July 26th, 2023 at 4:38 pm
He was 1% between Mahomes and 2% behind Hebert. Maybe great QBs take more chances trying to score. Lower % throws aren’t always a bad idea. Impossible to say without more info – number of attempts, yards per pass to the end zone, drops, Hail Mary or desperation throws, etc