Bucs Still Have Longest Odds To Win NFC South

March 15th, 2023

Despite largely keeping a top-10 defense together with the re-signing of Lavonte David, Jamel Dean and their top sacks man off the edge, Anthony Nelson, and signing a real starting quarterback, the Bucs aren’t getting the love from the oddsmakers.

The signing of Baker Mayfield didn’t move the needle much for the Bucs this afternoon. They remain the longest shot on Draft Kings sportsbook to win the NFC South in 2023.

However, it’s a very tight group. The Saints are +125, the Panthers are +240, the Falcons are +400 and the Bucs are +550.

(Yes, Joe happily dropped $100 and feels great about it.)

Of course, wagering odds are a perception game. The nation sees the loss of Tom Brady as a massive blow to the Bucs from which they cannot recover. Joe sees a new offensive coordinator replacing a miserable playcaller, and Joe remembers Brady looking quite flawed late last season. Also, Joe believes in the impact of Ryan Jensen returning healthy, as well as Chris Godwin and Russell Gage.

Joe also doesn’t think the other NFC South teams are special.

Now go draft in the trenches and a running back, Bucs, and Joe might drop more cash.

44 Responses to “Bucs Still Have Longest Odds To Win NFC South”

  1. SKBucsFan Says:

    +550 to win the NFC South? That seems to be a no-brainer. Does Derek Carr, Andy Dalton or Taylor Hieneke really scare anyone? I’ll place that bet too.

  2. Nicholas Carlson Says:

    I also just plunked down $100. Thanks for the tip. As a once great but then feeble QB of ours used to say: LFG!!!

  3. Scotty in Fat Antonio Says:

    So, after Jalen Carter’s less than stellar pro day today, he is probably going to fall like a rock. If he is there at 19 when we select, do we take him? I think we are most likely going to trade pick #19 for more draft picks.

  4. frankbucsfan Says:

    at those odds we all can lay down cash and walk away happy.

  5. TheBucsAnthem Says:


    Bottom cellar-dwellers again…….I’m used to it by now

  6. Who Says Says Can't Say Says:

    I’d put money on the team they have now beats Brady’s Bucs from last year.

  7. Pewter Power Says:

    That’s because it’s all about the quarterback but that’s kind of crazy considering panthers will have a rookie. One that may end up being a star but rarely that happens opening day

  8. Goatfarmer Says:


  9. Tye Says:

    I would not expect anything else… Under Todd Bowles the Bucs went from High octane offense, running up the score TO an offense barely able to score a TD a game WITH Tom Brady as his qb!…

  10. Joshua porter Says:

    May the best man win . Don’t give the job to anyone make them earn it.

  11. WhosOurQB Says:

    Joe oughtta feel real great about that 100 … and glad the bandwagoneers are gone

  12. Walter Says:

    Did you just call Baker Mayfield a “real starting QB?” 🤣

  13. HC Grover Says:

    We are on the edge of 0-17.

  14. TF Says:

    With our pretty tough division winning schedule. Objectively 7-10. So I’m not running to place that bet. The Aints have more than enough defense and just enough offense to come out on top. Although injuries can change anything and with this much balance in our division, I guess anything is possible. Too many wildcards with Bowles and company.

  15. Guzzie Says:

    “Tennessee Ready” anyone else remember last time we took a chance on a retread QB n defensive minded coach

  16. Steven007 Says:

    Scotty, you definitely take Carter if he’s there. Would almost certainly be the best talent at that spot if he fell. It wasn’t that as pro Day was a disappointment per say it was that he didn’t participate in the athletic stuff. But the tape doesn’t lie nor does the pedigree.

  17. Rod Munch Says:

    Just a year again Bowles was handed a team that had the highest odds from the NFC to appear in the SB… Now, after just one year under Bowles, they’re now picked to finish in last place in the NFC, even behind the Falcons. WOW!

  18. Arians4President Says:

    @Guzzie The “Tennessee Ready” game was one for the ages, in a bad way.
    I don’t care who we play week 1, I don’t see us going into the 4th quarter of our first game down by 35 points.

  19. Darin Says:

    The odds makers have seen maker bayfield play, they’re no dummies

  20. SOEbuc Says:

    I did not know Carr had a below.500 record with no playoff wins (except Baker), like the rest of the NFC South. Thank god we didn’t pay $40 million for Carr. I hate Baker Mayfield, but I suppose things can change in the future.

  21. Letsbucinggo Says:

    Because they have TODD BOWLES as head coach!!!!!!!!!

  22. Rod Munch Says:

    SOEbuc – how can you hate a guy that makes such funny commercials!?!

    I can’t wait until he’s doing those same commercials, just this time for Spectrum cable and living in the pirate ship.

  23. Usfbuc Says:

    I think we can still win the division

  24. unbelievable Says:

    Well that’s b/c they’re expecting the Bucs to revert back to… the Bucs.

    Almost tempted to lay some cash on it though… Same w/ the Jets winning their division and/or making it to the AFC Championship game.

  25. Eric Says:

    Arians could probably win the Division with this team.

    Lovie 2.0 cannot.

  26. Dano Says:

    Cause the OLine still sucks

  27. Allbuccedup Says:

    Tom Brady was the most exciting thing that happened to this franchise since the trading for Jon Gruden. With the current head coach and front office if nothing changes this team is going to be treading water for years to come. Sorry !!!!!!!!!

  28. Couch Fan Says:

    Dont underestimate the power of the worst coach in the division.

  29. Chris Cotten Says:

    I believe we are the favorite, wake up Joe

  30. Dooley Says:

    We’ve barely got enough personal to hold a week of practice and gameplan yet lol it’s only March

  31. Mike Johnson Says:

    Everybody is elated we did sign some of our guys. Just be aware..You gotta have a good, really decent QB to win in this league. Baker Mayfied has been Dumped by 3 teams in 2 years people. There’s a reason for that. He has had a few good games though. For better or worse, its him against Trask. Lets truly see what our 2nd rder has or does not. IF..Bowles can finish over 500 with this club? He might keep his job.

  32. Bill in Seminole Says:

    If the Bucs can draft an O-lineman (or two) Mayfield just has to hand the ball off and not make dumb mistakes.


  33. Winny Testaverde Says:

    A Taint loss is almost as enjoyable as a Buc win. Almost. Used Carr with pressure and expectations will shat down his leg at the most inopportune time. Sit back, watch and enjoy the ride.

  34. Capt.Tim Says:

    Im not taking that bet yet
    We have a head coach who is incompetent. Great DC. Terrible HC.
    We have major issues on the Oline. All the talent in the world cant overcome a bad OLine.
    We may have lost our best Pass rusher. Achilles tendon is horrible, for speed guys. Shaq may not play anywhere near his previous level. If so, our pass rush could be very bad.

    When I look at a team- I look QB, Left Tackle, pass rushers. Then Oline.
    We havent answered many of those Question.

  35. Will t Says:

    If we can snag Zeke Elliot that will change

  36. Arn Platz Says:

    The return of Jensen and whoever fills smith’s tackle position will be pivotal in the team’s success. We could not run the ball to save our lives. Please draft for the trenches Licht. If the trenches get attention this team could definitely win the south

  37. Jmarkbuc Says:

    “A real starting QB”…

    He’s one step removed from Johnny Manziel. That explains Joe’s excitement.

  38. brooks Says:

    Popsicle orange at least 16 games

  39. Larry W Nieman Says:

    Think Saints are logical favorites, especially with the new running back, but it will probably be decided by one, maybe two game difference between one and two.

  40. DingleBerry Says:

    Say bye bye to that $100

    This team is tanking next year

    They just don’t know it yet

  41. Goatfarmer Says:

    Happy they are the underdog again.

    Bucs never do well when they’re the favorite.

  42. TheBucsAnthem Says:

    @ Larry W Nieman

    The Saints should win the NFC South….especially after signing Derrick Carr.

  43. Ed Says:

    Various reports expect the Bucs will have interest in Zeke Elliott.

    His YPC are down, still better than Fournette last year and he did score 12 touchdowns. Leonard had 3.

    Probably the biggest improvement he would make is that in short yardage situations he can get a yard, whereas last season too many times the Bucs failed to gain a yard in 3rd or 4th down situations.

  44. TheBucsAnthem Says:

    @ Ed

    Zeke is a shell of himself now….too many injuries

    It seems like he got his big contract from Dallas….things started declining for him.

    He got his big payday from Dallas and if he’s still in the league in the next 3 years…I’d be surprised.