A 15-Win Prediction For The Bucs & Overmaster Tom Brady

May 21st, 2022

Joe does not believe in NFL coincidences. Therefore, it’s currently difficult to fathom the Bucs winning less than 12 games this season.

In each of last 12 years that Tom Brady has quarterbacked a football team, that team has met or exceeded the oddsmakers’ projected season win total for that club.

CBS Sports HQ did the research and it made for a damn impressive display.

Last year, the Bucs’ over/under win total was a whopping 12 games. They won 13. In 2020, the line was 9 1/2 and the Bucs won 11. Only twice since 2010 has a Brady team “pushed” (tied) its over/under betting line. For the 10 other seasons, Brady’s club hit the “over.”

That included seasons in which the Patriots played in a stronger-than-usual AFC East and dealt with various injuries to big-name players. So would would any fan in his right mind bet the under, wagering that this is the year Brady falls short?

The consensus over/under line for the Bucs this season is 11 1/2 wins.

Retired NFL QB Brady Quinn is a top CBS analyst and he’s very bullish on the Bucs winning 12 or more. Quinn loves how the Bucs got their toughest matchups scheduled in Tampa — home games at The Licht House against the Packers, Chiefs and Rams.

Quinn also is a big believer in Todd Bowles and in what Byron Leftwich has accomplished. And Quinn is down on the Falcons and Panthers, and he thinks the Saints will feel the loss of their head coach and playcaller Sean Payton more than many people think. He’s also not sold on Jameis Winston thriving through a 17-game season while coming off an injury.

Quinn’s season prediction for the Bucs? “I got’em at 15-2. … I don’t see many roadblocks.”

Yes, you read that correctly.

38 Responses to “A 15-Win Prediction For The Bucs & Overmaster Tom Brady”

  1. Casual Observer Says:

    I agree.

  2. Tim Says:

    Maybe Tommy Touchdown goes for the elusive perfect season. It’s something even Tom Brady doesn’t have.

  3. GOB Says:

    Joe, I put my kids through college, betting on the Patriots winning the AFC east. It was like stealing money for years. I’m not quite as bullish on a division title this year. The saints are vastly improved.

  4. Tampabaybucfan Says:

    I’ll take 13 right now…..I’m not confident in much more than that.

  5. Casual Observer Says:

    If they get Gronk and have few injuries, the O is the best in the league. Some ifs, of course, but that’s always the case. They look solid on paper.

  6. Sask Bucs Fan Says:

    Gonna be a tough start. I’d be happy with 3-1. Let’s not forget how banged up they were last year. People that say the D was crap, they still finished 8th in points allowed, I expect better this year, also the offence was putting up over 30 points/game. Put up over 30 and allow 22 points/game, I’d take that anyday.

  7. Bucs&Bolts Says:

    Shoot 15-2 !!! That be heaven

  8. Biff Barker Says:

    It’s all a paper game this time of year.

    I’m hoping for 12 wins, Bucs split with NO and barely win the South.

    The 17 game regular season is more like hockey now. Find a way to make the playoffs and find a way to keep winning. see 2020.

  9. SB~LV Says:

    As long as TB suits up and plays 15 wins is reasonable.
    Of course there are all sorts of cruel variables in the game.

  10. GOB Says:

    Biff, that’s a fair assessment. The bucs have the easiest three game schedule to end the year. (on paper of course) If they win those final three, I think 12 wins is the max. I have them at 11-6, and winning the tiebreaker with NO.

  11. Pickgrin Says:

    This team (with a couple likely additions) is talented enough to go undefeated in 2022.

    Long odds on that happening – because of so many factors – but it is possible.

    The 2022 Buccaneers are loaded with talent.

    – Best QB ever
    – Best OLine in the league (top 3 at worst)
    – Best receiving options for a QB (Evans, Gronk, Godwin, Gage, Lenny)

    – Best ILB duo. Outside LBers are good too assuming JTS steps up in year 2.
    – Solid secondary (when healthy). Winfield and Davis are excellent. Dean and Edwards are very good. Neal and Ryan will fill in well wherever needed.

    DLine is the only real place to look for weaknesses despite having 2 very good players in Vea and Gholston. The position was addressed in the 1st round (actually 2nd rd – but they would have taken Hall at 27 if no trade was offered) and there’s still a decent chance Suh will be back for 1 more year as well.

    20-0 IS doable for this team.

    The schedule is difficult looking and injuries almost always lead to a rough patch or 2 for even the most talented teams through a full NFL season.

    But the GOAT is on a mission!

    So 15-2 is just as if not MORE likely than 11 or 12 wins…..

  12. Elita Vita Says:


  13. Allbuccedup Says:

    Offensively 15-2 is doable but defensively whole another ball game. Offensive 15-2 Defensive 11-6 equals 13-4.

  14. SB Says:

    What happened to my comment Joe?
    I was the first to comment. Now I don’t see it anymore.

    All I said was “If we go 15 and 2 then we better go 18 and 2.

  15. D-Rok Says:

    CBS Sports also recently published a team ranking based on QB, OL, RB, Pass-catchers and other criteria. Tampa Bay was rated as #1 in league, and of note, only the 9ers and Tampa received a perfect “5” score for O-Line.

    I dunno guys, I think we have many reasons to be quite optimistic about our success this year vs. worrying about a “brutal schedule.”

  16. D-Rok Says:

    PS: In the same ranking, CBS has the Saints at #16 in league.

  17. JWBUCS Says:

    I feel good that the Bucs are good for 14 – 3 Win season…

  18. BradyBucs Says:

    NO CHANCE we win 15 games with our Weak Secondary.

    If SMB/Dean/Davis are the starting corners, we only win 10 or 11 games this season with that brutal schedule.

    BOOK IT.

  19. Jack Burton Mercer Says:


  20. Biff Barker Says:

    Winning everything takes skill, depth and luck. We’ve got a good shot with Tommy. I really want the Bucs to level the Saints and Rams.


  21. cavillator Says:

    I got the Bucs at 17-0, but does Joe write about that? Nooooo. πŸ™‚

  22. GOB Says:

    Please stop with the undefeated nonsense. Believe me, it’s more of a burden than anything else. The only thing that matters is playing great football at the end of the year. Poor Joe gave himself carpel tunnel typing about going undefeated this time last year. The only thing that matters is the superbowl

  23. steele Says:

    Thanks, Brady. Love, Brady.

  24. Leda Says:

    Let’s consider that Brady won the last odds SBs : 49,51,53, 55 and will win 57 !!!

  25. Captain Oblivious Says:

    15-2 seems reasonable. The Bucs lose twice to the Saints and run the table on the rest of the league/s

    I’m thinking 15-5 for the 2022 season.

  26. GOB Says:

    The bucs will not play a team this season, that has had extra rest. I think it’s the saving grace of the schedule. They also have a very favorable bye week. Tell GOB that’s not advantageous. The Patriots have 5 short weeks, and I think Philly does too. It will be interesting to see how that effects the eagles, who I expect to be players in the NFC race.

  27. adam from ny Says:

    wow that’s wild…

    15-2 is a tall order

  28. Bucsfan4ever Says:

    It’s pleasant reading for sure.
    I’d be happy to win 13 again, but more is better.

  29. Bucsfan4ever Says:

    It’s amazing what a great QB can do for a team.

  30. Oneilbuc Says:

    Bucsfan4ever. Lol πŸ˜† spoken like a true suckaneer fan to give all the credit for this team success to one guy . I guess you one of those fans that believe next year when Brady is done we are going to suck because he left the team right ?? I’m so glad this is his last year because of statements like this who don’t credit to no one but Brady. Brady ain’t made one tackle, interception or one sack but it’s all Brady to you lol πŸ˜† πŸ˜‚ .

  31. geno711 Says:

    Bucsfan4ever Says:
    May 22nd, 2022 at 6:40 am
    It’s amazing what a great QB can do for a team.


  32. Wild Bill Says:

    Nobody has a reliable crystal bball. There are just too many variables to accurately predict outcomes. The Bucs have are very respectable shot at making the next super bowl. But luck, injuries and surprise improvements by unexpected contenders can upset the preseason predictions. Some of the preseason favorites will stumble. Some dark horses will rise to the occasion. The Bucs will have a good shot assuming key players avoid injuries or illness. The Bucs have a tough schedule right out of the gate. We will know a lot very quickly. GO BUCKS!

  33. Mike Johnson Says:

    Given the improvements other teams have made, I think a 10 to 11 game winning season is a good prediction. Buc fans tend to forget, other teams have not sat idle. Many have improved. Some even better than us.

  34. Buc1987 Says:

    Oneilbuc …if Brady goes down this team WILL suck.

    Only an idiot would think otherwise.

  35. Eddie Marz Says:

    I’ll take whatever wins get them the bye week. Want to see them win it all again. GOBUCS!

  36. Eddie Marz Says:

    Buc 1987 I agree.

  37. Oneilbuc Says:

    1987 how you know? I’m sure that was said after Bledsoe went down . So was it Brady fault when we lost games or that’s when it became a team game . But when we win it’s all Brady right ? Again suckaneers fans there’s a difference between Bucs fan and suckaneer fan .

  38. james thweatt Says:

    Remember why Tom came back. UNFINISHED BUSINESS. 20-0 is not out of the Question for Brady this is his goal. He feels this team is the best in the NFL so Everyone needs to get behind him and feel the same way.