BSPN: Bucs Will Finish With No. 2 Seed

December 30th, 2021

Strong finish, numbers say.

If you are of the mind like Brandon Staley and Kevin Cash and believe raw data determines everything on the field, you are likely going to like how the Bucs and the NFL finish the season.

Seth Walder, who sometimes has a bad habit of littering Twitter with statistical gibberish night and day, has hatched some sort of numbers scheme in which he and his fellow henchmen at BSPN can predict the future.

And that future is the Bucs finish with the No. 2 seed in the NFC, and of course at least one home playoff game.

Here are the final seeds Walder and his software formula have spit out:

1. Green Bay Packers (13-4)
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-4)
3. Dallas Cowboys (12-5)
4. Los Angeles Rams (12-5)
5. Arizona Cardinals (11-6)
6. San Francisco 49ers (10-7)
7. Philadelphia Eagles (9-8)

Yes, Walder has the scores for the final two Bucs regular season games. It seems this same software suggests the Bucs finish the regular season with double-digit wins over the hapless Jets and the lame duck Stinking Panthers.

Numbers never take into account the physical elements of the game, such as injuries, and damn if the Bucs have been bitten by the injury bug.

On face value, Joe would trust Walder’s work over, say, NFL Network stats queen Cynthia Frelund. While Frelund is pleasant on the eyes, her work is borderline bogus.

If you gambled based on Frelund’s bad guesses, not only would you be flat broke, but you’d have to hit the mattresses because the Vegas mob would be hunting you down.

27 Responses to “BSPN: Bucs Will Finish With No. 2 Seed”

  1. Jp09 Says:

    And to think there’s people on this site talking about resting players this week. When our seeding is solidified or we have an insurmountable lead, that is the time we can rest players

  2. SB Says:

    Frelund needs a nose job.
    Shallow I know. But sense you referenced “pleasant on the eyes” I thought I would go there too.

  3. August 1976 Buc Says:

    It would be very good to have at least 2 home playoff games.
    Time will tell, but I sure hope so.

    GO BUCS!!!!

  4. ModHairKen Says:

    Rest does not have to mean not play. Play backups more plays. Less plays for Suh, Vea, Jensen, etc.

  5. Jp09 Says:

    I agree modhair, as long as we have a big lead or our seed is locked in place

    Hell, next week if the Bucs can’t gain any spots I would like them to start Trask for game and see how he does

  6. Buctank Says:

    One major problem with this is if the games go the way he projects then 49ers would have clinched wild card after this week and he has them upsetting the rams in last week but one would think they would rest up some players on the 49ers side

  7. SufferingSince76 Says:

    SB, it’s not shallow to want your lady friend to not have the beak of a toucan.

  8. Mort Says:

    Cards beat the cowboys is both unlikely and really really helpful. Hope it happens.

  9. Listnfrmafar Says:

    Zoom is not a friend of Frelund. Cowboys will beat AZ but possibly lose to Philly next week. Rams have a good chance to lose to Baltimore. Jackson is 12-0 against NFC teams and he is playing.

  10. Rayjay1122 Says:

    Yeah, so #2 seed gets 2 home playoff games if the 1st game is a victory. That would be great. We need to stop getting nailed by COVID also. TB12 would be a devastating loss here at the end so we need lots of luck along the way.

  11. Beeej Says:

    There is nothing Brady would like more than meeting the crap out of Jimmy Garoppolo

  12. Beeej Says:


  13. Jerry R Jones Says:

    Frelund, yeah that dude is ugly.

  14. PassingThru Says:

    The Bucs have roughly a 2% chance of getting the first seed, which according to the Lloyd Christmas, means that they do have a chance!

    Second seed seems probable (not likely or “very probable”), but that projection means the Bucs roll over the next two patsies, and that Dallas loses to either Arizona or Phili. ‘Zona is falling apart, they need to win their last two games for the sake of confidence, or they’ll roll over and die in the first round. Phili might need that Week 18 win to get into the playoffs.

    LA Rams are also ahead of the Bucs, but they face two potentially tough games. Baltimore is like Arizona, they’re falling apart. If they lose this weekend to the Rams they will not likely make the playoffs. That’s staggering (pun intended) when you consider how they were positioned just a month ago; this game is “do or die” for the Ravens. The Rams will then face San Francisco during Week 18, SF will probably earn a playoff spot even if they lose, but they’ll definitely get a playoff berth if they win. These two teams are rivals, though the intensity is not remotely on a par with Tampa Bay vs. New Orleans.

  15. PanhandleBuc Says:

    It just doesn’t seem likely any of the teams ahead of us loses. Stupid 3-team tie!

  16. Jmarkbuc Says:

    Losing to WTF and NO was Berry berry Bad.

  17. Browsing from DC Says:

    If the Browns HC or OC would have run the ball against Green Bay, they might have won that game. Mayfield had already thrown 3 picks. They were at midfield with a little over a minute left and a couple of timeouts. Chubb was averaging almost 9 yards per carry and a FG wins it. That could have been the Packers’ 4th loss.

    Worst decision to pass vs. run since Pete Carroll in the S.B. on the goal line against the Pats.

    Oh well, 2 seed or 3 seed works. Extra week off and one fewer game to win would have been sweet tho

  18. Rod Munch Says:

    I don’t know if I’d rather face a hot Eagles team, that we barely beat (because Leftwich was trying to run out the clock with 14 mins left in the 3rd quarter), or the Cardinals who seem to be falling apart.

    All I know is I do not want to face…

    1. Saints
    2. Rams

    Not saying the Bucs beat everyone else, but those two teams have our number. Yes, we did beat the Saints last year in the playoffs when Brees couldn’t throw the ball more than 12 yards downfield, but I really don’t want to test our luck again. As for the Rams, they’re just a team that matches up really well vs the Bucs since they can get pressure without blitzing, and those are the teams that kill us.

  19. captivajim Says:

    that would be GREAT .. we get at least 2 home games.. and If Rams beat the packers–then we win NFC crown at home by beating the Rams

  20. Joe Says:

    Losing to WTF and NO was Berry berry Bad.

    Yes. 🙁

  21. PassingThru Says:

    The more I think about it, the more I believe that the likely destination is the third seed. Both Dallas and LAR have moderately tough remaining games in which they’re favored. Either Dallas or the Rams will likely lose one of their remaining games. Both would have to lose one game apiece for the Bucs to climb to the second seed. I just don’t see both losing a game apiece.

  22. Listnfrmafar Says:

    Not true Bucs cannot jump GB, Bucs lost to too many NFC teams. They can Jump Dallas and Rams if Bucs win out and both lose one or both games.

  23. orlbucfan Says:

    What a load of crap. Bucs have to win both final games. The Covid crud has caught up and thank gawd, we can field a team Sunday. We won the division. I am fine with it. GO MIGHTY (IF SOMEWHAT DEPLETED) BUCS!!

  24. Anonymous Says:

    Wont we get the 2nd if the rams lose and we would have the tie breaker vs the cowboys as long as we win out

  25. Dabucs99 Says:

    If we win out and the cowboys win out and the rams lose one game wouldn’t we get the 2nd because we would have the tie breaker vs the cowboys

  26. allbuccedup Says:

    Just win the last two games and see what happens. Hopefully 2nd seed but at least 3rd.

  27. Sorryjackchuckiesback Says:

    NEVER rest players before playoffs!! How many times did we see Manning out of sync with his players in the first game of the playoffs cuz Dungy was scared to play them!! You at least play them the first half!!
    .. I saw someone else talking about it… That being said I believe it will shake out just like this!! I do think they will have number 2 seed and Dallas and the Rams will drop another game!! They are going to be beat up heading into the playoffs too! They play ok teams!!