Antonio Brown And Numbers

June 23rd, 2021


The fun part of thinking about the Bucs in the summer — don’t get Joe wrong, Joe’s always thinking Bucs — is trying to project how much better the team can be.

Yes, you read that last sentence correctly.

But one stenographer out there is not exactly riding the bandwagon of furniture-tossing, bicycle-throwing Bucs receiver Antonio Brown. If Kristopher Knox at Bleacher Report had to choose a Tampa Bay player that sees his skills and productivity decline this fall, he believes it will be Brown.

… He’s 32 years old and three years removed from his last 1,000-yard season. He’s also coming off of a knee surgery that delayed his signing with Tampa.

If Brown continues to decline—he averaged just 10.7 yards per catch in 2020, the second-lowest of his career—Tampa could turn to younger receivers like Scotty Miller and rookie fourth-round pick Jaelon Darden for the No. 3 receiver role.

Brown’s one-year, $3.08 million deal is fully guaranteed, so he isn’t a candidate to be cut. However, the seven-time Pro Bowler may become just one of Tom Brady’s targets instead of being one of the biggest stars in the NFL as he once was.

Well, as you will hear in the next “Ira Kaufman Podcast,” Brown very well could be just a guy with the Bucs this fall. Why? Not because of eroding skills but because there is only one football to go around between Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, foot-rubbing, car-littering Rob Gronkowski, Cam Brate, Scotty Miller and O.J. Howard, and maybe more throwing to running backs.

As far as Brown’s reduced numbers in 2020, he had been out of football for over a year and had to relearn his old Steelers offense in midseason.

Hey, Brown had better stats than Michael Thomas and some believe Thomas is a top-10 receiver.

So in reality, how badly did Brown’s numbers drop?

30 Responses to “Antonio Brown And Numbers”

  1. August 1976 Buc Says:

    Why does the National Media leave their brains out side the door. AB is gives the Bucs offense an X Factor. All the more AB causes the offense to be a living nightmare for defensive coordinators. He has plenty of Juice left, he has very little action the last couple of years on the football field because of his various antics. This Buc offense led by Brady would match up with any of the all time great offenses in the storied history of the NFL. Good luck trying to contain this group of offensive weapons. I guess you could call this offense ‘Suicide Central” for opposing defensive coaches and players. A lot of midnight oil will be burned this year by coaches trying to stop the Bucs offense, and the Bucs will still average 30+ a game again.


  2. Jaymiss Pick6 Again Says:

    Tyler Johnson

  3. SufferingSince76 Says:

    They are grasping at straws because the thought of the Bucs repeating as Super Bowl champs , or just being good for years to come, makes them crazy.

  4. Beeej Says:

    When AB was with Pittsburgh, he was running the routes the ME13 runs HERE. Most the stuff they seemed to send him on was underneath

  5. Tampabaybucfan Says:

    The best #3 WR in the NFL……the only reason his stats drop off if if he is injured or Godwin & Evans numbers soar….

    AB is an absolute pro on the field….my bet is on him.

  6. BillyBucoff Says:

    Yea I wanna see 3 1,000 yard receivers.
    En route to a 5,500 yard season
    And 55 TDs and 5 interceptions.
    ME has 8 straight 1,000 yard seasons.

    4 receivers catch 10 TDs.
    Both RBs have 1,000 yards.
    We average 38 points a game.
    Give up only 17 points a game.
    Darden returns 3 kicks for TDs
    We have the most turnovers

    More than 1 person makes the Pro Bowl.
    Devin White wins DPOY
    Brady wins MVP
    Bucs repeat with a SB win.

    I bet at least 6 of these happen.

  7. Greg G Says:

    The biggest observation missing from Knox’s assessment is that AB was also the most targeted receiver for Brady and the Bucs after he signed with the team.

    Anyone who watched AB last year saw exactly what was the case. It took him 2-4 weeks to get back into game shape and figure out his timing and the offense. After that, there was pretty much no drop off in his skills, speeds, or ability from the AB he’s always been.

    I like both Evans and Godwin better, and I think all three receivers bring a different elite #1 level WR skillset to the table. But Brady is going to look for and throw to AB the most because of the 3 receivers AB is the best at consistently getting open.

    I’m making this claim again. The AB signing was, in fact, the most underrated signings this offseason, because if he stays healthy he’s going to be the teams leading receiver in both receptions and yards this year.

  8. Greg G Says:

    Also, I REALLY hope BillyBucoff is right. Those are some lofty numbers but none of them are entirely unrealistic. Maybe 2, 1,000 yd RBs is a bit pie in the sky, but…It’s a great time to be a Bucs fan!

  9. Swampbuc Says:

    Is t Knox the cretin saying that Gholston would be cut?

  10. Bucsfanman Says:

    I like your list BillyBuc.

    The primary reason that any Buc WRs stats decline, is that there is so much talent and only one football. August 1976 has it right. Who do you want to get beat by? ME13? Godwin? AB? Gronk? OJ? Scotty? Johnson?….Oh, and don’t sleep on the run-game either!
    Rest assured, someone will be open!

  11. GhostofSchiano Says:

    Another off season and pre-season of practice. More time to gel on both sides of the ball. Increased chemistry. IF. IF this team can just stay healthy they could go undefeated. Write it down. take it to the bank. smile at the cashier.

  12. Buc-em-up84 Says:

    Hey Joe what does Johnny Knoxville I meant (kristopher Knox) know about football anyway he seems to think that will Gholston is a non-factor as well. I bet he works for the same company as DooooshLaRue (bagg)

  13. Chris@Apple Roof Cleaning Tampa Says:

    AB is totally awesome!
    Who can forget when he beat the Kansas City defender in the end zone, in the Super Bowl ?

  14. ModHairKen Says:

    “If Brown continues to decline—he averaged just 10.7 yards per catch in 2020, the second-lowest of his career—Tampa could turn to younger receivers like Scotty Miller and rookie fourth-round pick Jaelon Darden for the No. 3 receiver role.”

    In his first SB, AB had one catch. This SB, he had six catches and a TD. Is that a decline?

    Kristopher Knox is not very good at his job.

  15. Buc1987 Says:

    It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that his numbers might decline.

  16. SlyPirate Says:

    “AB is the hardest worker imaginable.”
    -Every NFL teammate AB has ever had

    He’s fine.

    Who’s not fine is the #3 slot CB trying to cover AB with TB12 throwing the ball.

  17. Eddie Marz Says:

    Everybody’s numbers declined. But they won the Super Bowl. This is what it takes to win. Individual numbers don’t matter, Wins and Rings do.

  18. Jerry Says:

    AB took awhile to get going but had some key catches in the 8 game win streak. But with these receivers and TEs, it’s a nightmare trying to stop this pass attack. Stat sheet is a bit deceiving if you just go by individual numbers because the pass is so distributed.

    And it’s good to know if Godwin or Evans is out for injury the offense shouldn’t miss a beat. It’s a long season, chances are one of them will miss a few games.

  19. nate Says:

    10.7 yards per catch is a first down whats the problem? lol

  20. Buc-em-up84 Says:

    nate Says:
    June 23rd, 2021 at 12:36 pm
    10.7 yards per catch is a first down whats the problem? lol

    Can’t do anything but agree plain and simple

  21. Chris Boyd Says:

    of course his ypc went down. his first couple games it was basically screen passes to him, and the last game they forced all those quck passe to him so that he could get whatever bonus they had for him. did he even look at all slow on the field though?

  22. Flyin Dutchman Says:

    Hey, all you need to know is AB SB TD.

  23. Pigsueybucsfan Says:

    AN IS CLUTCH!!! GO Bucs!

  24. PassingThru Says:

    I didn’t really sense a decline in AB, I thought it took him time to get into NFL game shape, as well as getting acclimated to both a new offense and Brady. I think people forget that AB played a grand total of one game with Tom Brady prior to Tampa Bay.

    I love how he broke off the designed play during the Super Bowl, and simply used his smarts to get open. The fact that Brady anticipated Brown doing this shows some great chemistry.

  25. 74 Bucs Fan Says:

    CB1 gets Mike Evans
    CB2 gets Chris Godwin
    CB3 gets AB
    Linebacker gets Gronk

    Defensive Coordinator gets diarrhea.

  26. Bucs Bro Says:

    During the 8 game win streak Evans had 35 catches, AB had 33 and Godwin had 30. A healthy AB will have lots of opportunities this season as he is the best WR on this roster for YAC and he also has a better catch percentage than Evans.

  27. 6throundpick Says:

    …3 years removed from his last 1,000 years season. Wow! Umm…how much did AB play? Not 3 full seasons, where his performance might have been going down, game by game. Is that a good measurement?

    Once AB got in some kind of game shape last year, did he play well on his new team? Does TB12 approve of his WR? Should AB know the playbook better this year? Will AB and the team benefit by an actual pre-season?

    Is Gronk also being measured over the last 3 years?

    Come to think of it, we all heard similar projections about TB12, after being locked into a system and contract, where the coach’s fantasy is to win with defense and special teams. And how about that weak arm? Surely, he cannot throw the long ball anymore. So many latched their wagon on that one. What a curiousity.

  28. Ne+ bucs fan Says:

    As Jerry pointed out a 8 game win streak,,I know some were playoff games,, interesting fact Ab came in prior to that win streak!!!!

  29. Ne+ bucs fan Says:

    Things that make you go hmmmmm

  30. stpetebucsfan Says:

    I do not care about AB’s numbers, or ME13, or CG14 or any of our talented TE’s or Bernard out of the backfield.

    ALL of these guys can put up elephant numbers when given the opportunity. There is only ONE football…individual numbers will be depressed…but the thing that remains for all of our stud players…is the # of BIG PLAYS!!! Which of these guys will be game breakers?

    The beauty is that any and all of them are capable of making a truly BIG PLAY!