Projecting Tom Brady’s Numbers

May 19th, 2020

If this pans out, it appears the Bucs may have a 43-year-old Pro Bowler.

Over at Bleacher Report, Maurice Moton took on the task of trying to project the 2020 numbers of every starting QB.

The Bucs have a new/old quarterback and the news has turned the sports world upside down. All of a sudden with park-violating, home-invading Tom Brady, people are actually clamoring to see the Bucs.

Yes, strange times indeed.

Moton has Brady with very good numbers. Well, except for rushing (yes, that’s a joke).

In 2019, Brady logged 613 pass attempts, so he should be able to maintain a heavy workload even in his age-43 season. He will also have a stacked supporting cast. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin logged 1,333 and 1,157 yards, respectively, during the last campaign. O.J. Howard, Cameron Brate and Rob Gronkowski comprise the best tight end group in the league.

Critics who thought Brady was headed toward a sharp decline after the 2019 term may have to rethink their stance in 2020.

Projected Stats: 383 completions, 612 attempts, 4,387 yards, 31 touchdowns, 9 interceptions, 20 carries, 45 rushing yards.

Joe sure hopes these numbers are in the ballpark but Joe isn’t as flippant about Brady’s age as some are. If the Bucs don’t keep Brady upright, Joe suspects Brady will look very much like the 43-year-old he is.

Father Time is undefeated. Let’s hope Brady drags Father Time into overtime.

15 Responses to “Projecting Tom Brady’s Numbers”

  1. Buc1987 Says:

    Qbs get hurt all the time.

    Age is not a factor.

    Bones break if you’re 24 or 43.

  2. ocala Says:

    Is it undefeated Joe:

    Mike Tyson at age 53:

  3. AwshBucs Says:

    These numbers are a mild projection in my eyes. I genuinely believe Tom Brady will get closer to his 2007 production this year then he will again.

    I could see his stat line for the 2021 season being closer to those projected here.

  4. Youngbucs Says:


  5. Youngbucs Says:

    Last year we passed like 11 more times than Brady did. Of course he can handle the work load!!!!

  6. Youngbucs Says:

    Brady didn’t have a 100yd rusher last year FACT.

  7. Youngbucs Says:

    Can’t wait for the season to watch the execution and precision. Believe the results will follow.

  8. Craig Says:

    I’ll raise the completion rate and yards to about 425 and 4800 respectively.

    I also don’t think he will need twenty runs, maybe one a game.

    The receiving lanes will be loaded and his release is incredibly efficient.

  9. 813bucboi Says:

    those numbers sound about right…


    GO BUCS!!!!!!

  10. Buddhaboy19 Says:

    Man, Tom looks hot and tired already.

    I believe the Tampa heat is really an X Factor. He is used to very mild Training camps up in N. England.

    The oppressive heat could be a thing to watch when it comes to Tom handling things , it is not a joke.

  11. Mike Says:

    We will see if all that hydration will keep him from getting a sun burn in FL

  12. Rod Munch Says:

    I think 4400 yards is about right, but TDs should be around 39 I think and INTs around 14. I think he’ll get quite a few red zone short TDs throwing to the various TEs, which should inflate that number a bit.

    As for his age, who knows, it’s hard to tell anything until we see it on the field. But at the end of last year he was still able to sling it, he just didn’t have guys to throw it to.

  13. stpetebucsfan Says:


    Agree completely. There is a site that predicts injuries or actually tries to quantify the % chance of an injury in 2020. But I’m like you…a hit can happen to any player at any time. I feel better about Brady than Gronk because concussions scare me. But you’re right…we just need the luck of the Irish.


    You quoted the only stat that I care about WINS


    JW is gone. No amount of negativity about Brady will bring him back. I was out this morning early..usually swim about 7:30 and it was humid but not unbearable.

    I remember going to my birth home in Cincinnati one May for my nephew’s wedding. It was so freaking hot the asphalt burnt your feet walking across parking lots. In the Summer Cincy and other Midwestern cities are just as hot as Tampa.

    The Bucs have a shiny new indoor practice facility…the schedule includes lots of night games.

    There is an opposing theory to yours btw. I’ve read a lot from friends and former teammates about this move…everything from escaping Belicheat…the horrid NE offense…Tampa’s young talent…but at least two mentioned at 43 he will enjoy Tampa’s sunshine and warmth and he was tired of cold NE winters.

  14. Jonzey Says:

    Brady 5,000 yards passing Evans 1,200, Godwin 1,100,OJ 500, Gronkowski 500, Brate 400, Johnson 600, Scotty 400, Vaughn 200, Jones 100, Jones 1,200 yards rushing, Vaughn 500 rushing

  15. unbelievable Says:

    “He’s used to very mild training camps up in New England”

    Uh, you guys realize the entire east coast gets insanely hot and humid in the summer right? It’s not just Florida.

    In fact I’ve spent time in NY, Vermont and MA in the summer when the daily highs have been even hotter than down in Florida. Slightly less humidity, but not much. Biggest difference is you get a few more degrees of relief at night time.

    He’ll be fine.