Oddsmakers Have Spoken

May 3rd, 2020

“Yes Tom, you still have it.”

Tom Brady is still an elite quarterback. That comes straight from the wiseguys.

As Brent Musberger would say, “our friends in the desert” have deemed Brady, the new Bucs quarterback, a 4,000-yard passer at age 43. That comes by way of Michael David Smith of ProFootballTalk.com.

It seems oddsmakers at Ceasars Sportsbook believe the over/under for Brady’s passing yards is just a hair over 4,000 for 2020.

The odds at Caesars Sportsbook have Brady’s passing yards over/under at 4,099.5, and he’s at equal -110 odds to go over or under.

Last season in New England, Brady finished with 4,057 passing yards. That was his fewest in a 16-game season since 2010.

If Joe was in Nevada right now (Vegas-based gambling apps let you wager anywhere within the state’s borders), Joe would lay cash on the over.

What have we heard ever since rumors sprouted that Brady was coming to the Bucs? He had trash to throw to last year. Well, he’s got receivers and tight ends coming out of his ears this year.

Add that Brady will be playing for Mr. No-Risk-It-No-Biscuit, Brady is bound to throw for 4,000-yards. Provided he can remain upright.

19 Responses to “Oddsmakers Have Spoken”

  1. ItzOK Says:

    If he threw for 4000 with that S**t show of talent in NE I will be taking the over for sure.

  2. Ocala Says:

    Go to Bovada.com and make your bet Joe. I agree with you. As long as Brady stays healthy he should pass for substantially more than 4,100 yards.

  3. Bucsfanman Says:

    I care more about the wins than the yards. Over/Under 10 wins?
    If I HAD to bet, I’d take the OVER on both.

  4. Youngbucs Says:

    It’s crazy when you think about it. His backs lead some gms receiving with 50-60 yds that won’t happen here.

  5. ©MadMax Says:

    Over/under, Jay-miss interceptions. I say less than 2….he wont play!! BaHAHAHA!

  6. Byrd Says:

    4600 36td 6 Ints

  7. SufferingSince76 Says:

    Since many here like to predict the future, I predict that Tom Brady will remain upright a lot more than you think. If the Oline performs average, he should have plenty of time to throw. Wirfs will help make this happen.

  8. Bird Says:

    Total Yards 4,350 yards -115 -115
    Total Touchdowns 32.5 TDs -115 -115
    Total Interceptions 10.5 INTs -115 -115

    Thats wining football numbers

  9. TOM Says:

    All in on TB12 & Gronk combo. Wouldn’t mind seeing Edelman added to make it a trifecta.

  10. Bobby M. Says:

    Brady wants to go down as the greatest and he wants a shot to air it out which is why he choose Tampa. Belicheck in all his genius, knows game management better then anyone….I think that’s where these two had friction. Brady wasn’t getting the opportunities, or even the weapons to open it up. I personally believe Brady is a true win first player but I also think he wants to see what he can do with Evans & Company. Winston threw for 5000 yds….whatever the high water mark is, you can bet Brady is aware of it and will want to rewrite the records in Tampa as well.

  11. Swampbuc Says:

    And provided his arm isn’t the noodle some fear it is. How many yards did Brad Johnson throw for in 2004?

  12. Erik Hesson - Fine Artist - City of St Pete Says:

    Provided Brady plays a full season, I’m predicting 5,500+ passing yards, 50 TD’s and less than 10 Int’s… And a home Superbowl victory. And NFL MVP…. And Superbowl MVP…

    Yes, I’m predicting the most Epic season ever for a QB in the history of the NFL.

  13. Bradybru Says:

    I agree with Joe too.

  14. Youngbucs Says:

    Brady’s numbers last year would have gotten us to the playoffs. Take away the pick 6s plus our d scored what 6-7 tds. Playoffs all day

  15. stpetebucsfan Says:

    There is a natural friction between defensive coaches and offensive players and vice versa. Brady is only normal to chafe under the management of a guy who is cultivating a rep as the “greatest defensive mind” of his generation.

    Belichek both believed in and wanted to win with defense…he’s a defensive coach! Brady probably would have preferred more offense…he’s a QB an offensive position.

    BA is an offensive coach…a total switch for TB12. BA actually played QB at VA
    Tech…he knows the position having also coached it for years in the NFL.

    Belichick…not so much…played Center and TE for mighty Wesleyan University in Conn. His last go around with “offense’. He made his bones as special teams and defensive coach especially as DC with the Giants.

    These two coaches could not be MORE DIFFERENT. That may be a significant factor in Brady’s decision but there are so many logical reasons for this move that it’s not necessarily the primary motivator. First and foremost Brady wants to win and I honestly believe that whether he’s correct or not, Brady thinks the Bucs give him the best chance of winning the next two years.

  16. ©MadMax Says:

    Its funny. Gambling odds have 4 teams to win the SB at +900 or less…the rest are +1000 or more.

    Bucs +900
    49ers +800
    Ravens +650
    Chiefs +600

    Worth mentioning….
    Saints +1000
    Falcons +4000
    Panthers +8000

    Pats +2000

    Jags, Redskins, Bengals with the highest odds, +10,000

    Im pretty sure we were at +10,000 last year and the year before. Im gonna throw a little here and there in some categories. I rarely gamble and Im a patient stingy gambler.

    Vegas odds makers know whats up! 🙂

  17. Etzel Says:

    4k yards = elite?? Raise your standards. Is Derek Carr elite?

  18. Youngbucs Says:

    Ethel seriously just shut up

  19. bucshot Says:

    Welcome to the show young Buc fans…….. this is how the other half lives…..