Next Gen Numbers

March 2nd, 2019

Stats show one of NFL’s best.

From time to time Joe likes to bring you Next Gen numbers. These are sort of off-the-wall stats that are not grades or subjective gibberish but stats derived from new technology including camera angles at stadiums and computer sensors located on players’ equipment.

For folks who scream for the Bucs to keep malcontent wide receiver DeSean Jackson, well, Next Gen stats back you up.

Only one receiver averaged more yards of cushion than Jackson, who saw an average cushion of 7.3 yards per pass play. That’s a lot.

Additionally, those who argue for the Bucs to keep free agent Adam Humphries, well, there is some ammo here as well. Humphries, per Next Gen stats, which is pumped out by the NFL, is one of the most clutch receivers in the league. Of receivers who were targeted 100 times or more, only three had a higher catch percentage (72.38 percent).

What does this tell you? It tells Joe two things.

1. Jackson, while loaded with skill, is not a productive receiver. He may be more valuable as a decoy than for production.

2. Why would someone want to get rid of a productive receiver like Humphries? People whine about the rumored $8 million a year he may be looking for, but in two years that will look like a bargain. As Joe sadly has to repeat himself this time each year, salaries in the NFL rarely decrease. They increase. What is thought to be overpaying today is usually peanuts in two seasons.

Joe has written time and again Humphries was the Bucs’ most consistent receiver last year. This Next Gen stats prove Joe’s belief.

Hat tip: @TheDr1zz1e

33 Responses to “Next Gen Numbers”

  1. 1sparkybuc Says:

    Dump the decoy

  2. John Says:

    Hump is a stud. He is way worth 8 million a season. We can’t allow him to leave.

  3. ncbucsfan Says:

    Smh. I believe defensive backs and defensive coordinators will are best-suited to assess this scenario. I’d wager big money who they would prefer to face…..and that settles that question.

    Notice: I said no names…but who did you think? Be honest 🤔

  4. Jean Lafitte Says:

    thanks ..exactly the points I’ve been saying about DJax. No matter how much of a douche some of you think he is. He’s is productive even when he’s not. The defense pays double attention to DJax and that helps Evans the most. Some of you may scream at me now but if he goes, Evans game will suffer. His receiving totals will diminish and his targets will go down next year unless they can find a player defenses respect as much as they do Djax. And if you stop and think about it, without DJax Evans will see more doubles which could lead to more JW turnovers forcing the ball, or maybe Evans ends up being the decoy for Godwin.

    Can Godwin be a #1 …is Godwin a #1

  5. Jean Lafitte Says:

    …and yes I believe they should sign Hump too!

  6. tmaxcon Says:

    You win basment titles with players like hump you win championships with talent….

    Tickdr had loads of math every day why glennon was god…. how did that math workout???

    Keeping all these below average to average losers makes no sense… emotional bucfan is so sad and embarrassing

  7. SB Says:

    ” It wouldn’t matter if we kept Humphries, and DJax while retaining Brate and picking up Antonio Brown and LeVeon Bell. All this with trading for Calais Campbell and drafting Josh Allen in the 5 spot and landing the Honey Badger.
    We still have 93 on the team so Ph u ked.

  8. SB Says:

    **t m a x

  9. Bird Says:

    I hope they can keep hump . No question. One of my favorite players
    (And I love that the joes always fine time to bash DJax. After all, he once called Jameis a bad word.)

    But how do you think he would be on another team ? As the number 2 target let’s say?

    He doesn’t have the benefit of the defense covering desean deep / other safety watching and double covering mike Evans / the next best defensive players watching Howard and Cameron Brate and Chris Godwin ?

    He gets the worst player matched up against him on most situations.
    Again love the guy but you can’t pay everyone
    And I got feeling Brate May have something to do with him giving home town discount if he stays as they are best friends and unfortunately I don’t think bucs can pay both

  10. Bird Says:


    You have officially become the Tmax of writers using same stupid bash word for desean

    Just like Tmax uses cancer93 all day /everyday


  11. martinii Says:

    Somewhere along the line I thought the DJAX issue was settled. Save $10mil and lose a disgruntled locker room cancer who has demonstrated very limited production. At least 2 players can provide speed for a hell of a lot less than $10mil. Hump is a homegrown kid that’s paid his dues, has no problem communicating with Jameis, never takes a play off and moves the chains. I can’t understand why Arians or anyone else would want DJAX.Some time It seems like Arians just wants to get the band back together for one last fling and cares less about a struggling Buc’s teams that needs desperately to win.

  12. Bucs Guy Says:

    Get John Brown in FA and Renfro from Clemson in 7th rd. Neither DJAX or Humphries is worth the money and the Bucs need to be money conscious for 2019 and 2020 — unfortunately.

    After the new CBA, things could be different. Nobody knows what that will look like. GMs are at a key point that could set your team up for failure with the new CBA. You have to think strategically, not just about spending every dollar of the cap this year. What about a large JW contract potentially next year? Consider that.

  13. Bucs Guy Says:

    I would like to see how many of Humphries 3rd down catches led to 1st downs.

  14. “That guy” Says:

    Tmaxcon unfortuantly doesn’t know talent, only names. Worst kind of fan.

  15. Joe Says:

    You have officially become the Tmax of writers using same stupid bash word for desean

    It ain’t “bash” if it’s true.

  16. Buccaneer Bonzai Says:

    Bucs Guy Says:
    March 2nd, 2019 at 7:21 am
    “I would like to see how many of Humphries 3rd down catches led to 1st downs.”

    I don’t know what downs they were made on, but as to overall first downs made:

    Mike Evans 69 (4th in NFC)
    Chris Godwin 48 (tied for 13th in NFC)
    Adam Humphries 48 (tied for 13th in NFC)
    Desean Jackson 31 (tied for 30th in NFC)

    So our number two WR did far worse than two of the guys beneath him.

  17. Ryan Baker Says:

    Is it possible that hump’s success was because of the decoy ?

  18. Andrew Says:

    Be prepared to get rid ofCam Brate for Humphries then, which I’m all for.

  19. Bucnjim Says:

    Is it possible that hump’s success was because of the decoy ? NO!!
    You still have to catch the ball in tight spaces and he does.

  20. Tampa Bay Demon Says:

    I agree with the sentiment of finding whatever way necessary to keep Humphries.

    One of the main reasons, to me, is that it is imperative for Jameis Winston to have that slot option always available to help keep him from trying to make plays downfield that are not there.

    We saw really huge improvement in JW last year in this area, and Hump is a huge part of that. Keep him.

  21. First Down Tampa Bay Says:

    Like it or not, the decoy is the reason our offense was so good last year. In the games without DJax, our offense looked significantly worse without the threat of speed.

  22. passthebuc Says:

    it appears the only thing that matters to Jackson is Cash. Hump on the other hand is a very hard working team player. No brainer.

  23. Kobe Faker Says:

    “Kobe is surprised JBF has not received any take down notices for this Hump nipple picture from the #MeToo movement”

    Kobe Faker

  24. Gambelero Says:

    We’re forgetting that two years from now will be a strike year.

  25. Cobraboy Says:

    Anyone who thinks the Bucs don’t need Humphries does not understand football.

  26. Cobraboy Says:

    NE has been winning SB for years, not because of great outside WR’s (Randy Moss being the exception), but because of great slot receivers.

    Welker, Amendola and Edelman have been saving Brady’s butt for years.

    The Bucs need to keep Humphries, period.

  27. tmaxcon Says:

    Cobraboy Says:
    March 2nd, 2019 at 10:37 am

    Anyone who thinks the Bucs don’t need Humphries does not understand football.

    you would be correct sir if Hump was a great slot reciever… he is NOT….

    what happened when the bucs lost a reciever and hump had to become the number 2 he sucked…. not a single offensive coordinator in the lague fears a slow, short white guy with no upside…

  28. LongSeason Says:

    I agree with this assessment. Since we will be going with Jameis, DeCoy Jackson has no chemistry with him. Adam Humphries, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, O. J. Howard and Cameron Brate have great chemistry. I iope we can find a way to keep both Cam and Adam.

  29. Rod Munch Says:

    The high catch percentage is because he’s #4 on the depth chart and running underneath, so he’s not facing starting corners, or even backup corners, often he’s running against LB’s and safeties, and he’s picking up short passes.

    These numbers really don’t help you much. If he was running normal WR routes and had that catch rate, then it would mean something – but when he’s just taking over the role of Charles Sims, that’s who he should be compared to.

    Again, I don’t dislike Hump, but the nonsense hero worship of a guy who is behind 3 WRs and 2 TEs when it comes to importance in the passing game, is nonsense. All those guys ahead of him on the depth chart make it possible for Hump to play around the LOS against those depth chart guys on defense.

  30. BucEmUp 7 Says:

    Since he will keep.more.og that in florida , humoh should take 6.5 mil and stay in tampa. Djax can go

  31. TOM Says:

    Hump’s the man. Sign him for 7. Done deal.

  32. Erik Hesson - Fine Artist - City of St Pete (formerly known as 'The Kwon Alexander of Bucs Fans', until Kwon started to suck Lol) Says:

    I say let Hump & Djax go…

    Replace them with Jon Brown & Bobo Wilson & we’re good to go for way cheaper.

  33. uckinator Says:

    Hump moves the chains and leads the team in YAC. I don’t care if he’s the 10th receiver; Sign him !