Fun With Pass Rush Win-Rates

April 8th, 2026

Miami edge Akheem Mesidor.

Now to be fair, before Joe gets rolling here, we have to be clear about something.

A pass rush win-rate can be both tricky and susceptible to numbers-twisting to prove a point.

When it comes to win-rate in the trenches, all it does is document that a defender was able to shed a block, or an offensive lineman was able to keep a defender out of the backfield.

It doesn’t measure whether the defender is quick or slow to shed a block, or if he is good at a win-rate, if he’s able to close the deal and get a tackle or a sack.

It seems a lot of Bucs fans are heavy panting for this Akheem Mesidor, an edge rusher from Miami. Well, it seems his win-rate on edge rushes is OK, but not exceptional.

(Please re-read the previous two paragraphs before flipping out thinking this is ragebait.)

What sticks out to Joe is that a guy Joe is interested in being a second round pick, Oklahoma’s R Mason Thomas, has a better win-rate than Mesidor. And Thomas played in the SEC and Mesidor played in the shamefully weak ACC.

Again, Joe is not trying to ragebait anyone. He just thought this intel was interesting.

The question about Mesidor for Joe isn’t if he can play on the NFL level. It’s if the Bucs are smart enough to also hire his position coach at Miami, Hall of Fame sack artist Jason Taylor, and give Taylor full autonomy to coach up Mesidor as he sees fit with zero interference.

Right, Gerald McCoy?

 

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7 Responses to “Fun With Pass Rush Win-Rates”

  1. 3.28.Evans Says:

    We have the perfect coach for him or anyone to thrive at the pass rush. All the data prove it.

    Or not.

  2. Stpetematt Says:

    Wow…Howell is about as good as Bain or Bailey. Shocked.

  3. 3.28.Evans Says:

    It takes its brain out to play with and accidentally damages it.

  4. FlBoy84 Says:

    Know you like to keep beating the hire Taylor drum, but it’s not happening this season. Def be interested next season though when the new DC is hired.

  5. FlBoy84 Says:

    Like Thomas, but also like Derrick Moore as a later round option.

  6. Tony Says:

    Nah we’ll probably draft McCoy from Tennessee. Sure the dude can be good when he’s healthy & he missed all of last year with a torn ACL. He’s our type of player. We like the injured.

  7. Scotty in Fat Antonio Says:

    Invite Jason Taylor to intern with the Bucs this Summer regardless if we pick Mesidor or not.

 

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