Call A QB Sneak On Fourth Down? Bucs Likely Convert
July 13th, 2025
Go-to play available.
If Josh Grizzard has a slam dunk play to get short yardage, this is probably it.
In the past three years, not many teams have converted fourth-and-one plays as well as the Bucs. So Grizzard, the new Bucs offensive coordinator, ought to have this play in his hip pocket.
The Bucs converted the eighth-highest percentage of 4th-and-one plays in the NFL, per famed handicapper turned stathead Warren Sharp.
Now the Bucs don’t have a true fullback. Those guys are pretty much extinct. Rachaad White, of all people, is fairly decent at picking up a needed yard by plunging up the middle.
The past three seasons, the Bucs have converted 75 percent of their fourth-and-one situations.
Of course, this stat also suggests the Bucs have a damn good offensive line. Which they do.
4th & 1 conversion rate last 3 years:
92% – LAR
89% – KC
87% – DEN
86% – PHI
81% – TEN
77% – BUF, ATL
76% – NO
75% – TB, SF, LV, DAL
74% – PIT
73% – CAR, CLE
72% – BAL
71% – NE
68% – WAS, NYG, JAX
67% – DET
64% – NYJ
63% – SEA, LAC
60% – MIN
59% – CHI
58% – HOU
57% – IND
56% -…— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) April 2, 2025
July 13th, 2025 at 12:57 am
I noticed Todd loosening up some last year – going for it on 4th down a couple/few times when I expected him to punt or kick a field goal…..
Lets hope that trend continues.
Lions and Foreskins go for it on 4th down all the time – and usually convert….
One of the main reasons we lost our last game actually – couldn’t stop Daniels on 4th down…..
July 13th, 2025 at 3:44 am
hmm …How are we on third and one? Whhite is rather large RB. If he would just get his pads down and run he would be alot better. He did do that last year but at times he seemed to revert to his dance routine. Hard to trust him fully it seems to me. We have the horse up front lets run the ball.
Go Bucs
July 13th, 2025 at 6:10 am
Wow! Somebody figure out what the heck the Rams are doing! If I were them, I’d never punt on 4th and 1 unless maybe if I was inside my 10.
July 13th, 2025 at 6:45 am
I agree with Stpetematt, steal shamelessly from the Rams. Otherwise, I’d pitch it to Bucky and he’d make the first guy miss.
July 13th, 2025 at 7:31 am
Got to be honest, I was surprised Philadelphia wasn’t number one. Then again, VV has stopped the Push Tush a couple of times
July 13th, 2025 at 8:15 am
top four are the brainiac trickeration teams. want to join them.
July 13th, 2025 at 8:20 am
White took himself from 220-ish to 210-ish, am interested to see how his game will change
July 13th, 2025 at 1:30 pm
Kind of a meaningless stat without knowing the number of attempts.