NFL.com Takes A Stab At Bucs’ Win-Loss Total
May 20th, 2025
Cynthia Frelund has a surprise.
Bucs fans, please don’t be mad at NFL.com stats queen Cynthia Frelund. She actually has your back.
But wait, Joe! How can she have Bucs fans’ backs while projecting the Bucs to win less than 10 games? As the great eastern philosopher Moe Howard famously said, “We shall see.”
Frelund hopped on what she likes to call her “models” (Kate Upton and her gal pals?) to determine the win-loss totals for the Bucs. She has the Bucs winning 9.7 games.
(Before someone asks, “How do you win a seventh of a game?” — just play along, you know?)
In the first seven weeks, the Bucs face four games against teams I forecasted to win their respective divisions: at Houston (Week 2 on Monday Night Football), vs. Philadelphia (Week 4), vs. San Francisco (Week 6) and at Detroit (Week 7 on MNF). That stretch — combined with Weeks 11 and 12, when Tampa must face the Bills and Rams on the road — drives the Bucs’ win total under 10 games. Don’t be too mad, though, because I have them winning the NFC South for the fifth straight season.
Yeah, well, with a possible new playoff rule being put into effect this week, that nine-win season might just cost the Bucs a home playoff game. Thanks, Rog.
Joe can see a path to 11 wins. But that four-game stretch with the Eagles, 49ers, Seahawks and Lions likely will define the season for the Bucs. If the Bucs can win two of those games, that’s fine. If they can pull out three wins, that would be excellent.
Would that force Frelund to then pick the Bucs over her beloved Lions if the two meet again in the playoffs?
May 20th, 2025 at 12:14 am
If we stay healthy, 13.
May 20th, 2025 at 12:16 am
I had them 10-7 in my initial game-by-game predictions. Could still go up from there before the season – but I doubt I’d go lower unless they have some major injuries in the preseason.
May 20th, 2025 at 12:16 am
joe says:
But that four-game stretch with the Eagles, 49ers, Seahawks and Lions likely will define the season for the Bucs.
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i somehow think we go 3-1 in those 4 games…i’m thinking we get our arses handed to us on a silver platter in detroit…but we win the 2 home games…eagles in the heat…and finally get one on the 9ers…
and go across country to seattle for a good win there
May 20th, 2025 at 12:19 am
I see 8-10 wins the way the defense finished the season last year…..
Bowels resume is that his teams hover around .500…
May 20th, 2025 at 12:22 am
10 to 12 wins floor to ceiling…
but if we get major injuries and the season unravels, it could be a disastrous 8-9 wins…
but if injuries are not out of the ordinary, i see us winning 11…
people thinking 13 and 14 are not being realistic…
i see us going like 4-2 in division…so that’s 2 losses…
losing in detroit…
definitely losing one or the other vs buffalo and the rams…
we will have one game we just simply don’t show up for…it happens every year…
that’s 5 losses right there…
and throw in one more for good measure…
11-6
May 20th, 2025 at 12:30 am
Playing Seattle and LA Rams on the road is tough; Buffalo not so much.
Odds are that the Bucs will lose some games somewhere. But, straight up, I would take the Bucs in any game except those west coast trips.
Healthy and 13 wins sounds like a good call. 10-7 for a floor unless a sinkhole swallows the training facility with the team in it.
May 20th, 2025 at 12:30 am
Joe, say it ain’t so! She is picking the Niners , Eagles, and Lions as Division winners. Her view is skewed Joe. Houston should win their division but all four of those teams aren’t getting better. Some of us can see that. Some of us see a bare midriff, blond hair, and bare feet. Joe. Joe! We should be the favorites in every game we line up this year except the Rams and Bills. I’m thinking 13-4
May 20th, 2025 at 12:59 am
Uh, .7 isn’t a seventh. That would be seven-tenths. #GotMath
May 20th, 2025 at 1:20 am
you guys with the 13-4 thing…geez…
please understand in our finest regular season ever, our top record was 13-4…
we are not going to tie that regular season record, this season…
we will come relatively close tho…
there is a slim chance we can grab 12…you never know…
but keep in mind…our coach is todd bowles…and he’s never won anything close to 13 as a HC
May 20th, 2025 at 1:21 am
11 wins
May 20th, 2025 at 1:24 am
there are def a few trap games in the schedule…
let’s not forget it still is “a buc’s life”… 🙂
a trap game will prolly catch up with us…
the trap games are:
N.O. (before the bye)
pats
arizona
miami
May 20th, 2025 at 1:29 am
She predicted 7.5 wins for t he Bucs last year. Link in my name.
She was 2.5 game off then.
Add 2.5 to 9.7? 12.2.