Paying The Piper

March 23rd, 2023

Time to kick up the juice.

The Bucs had fun with the Team Glazer Platinum Card the past few years.

Got a Super Bowl out of it. Almost another. Then a Monday night playoff game with the third binge.

Now it’s time to pay up.

Handicapper turned stathead Warren Sharp did some number crunching and he has data suggesting the Bucs will have to stay home for a few weekends this fall in order to pay up for the fun times of the past three seasons.

Per Sharp, of the 13 teams in the past 10 years who had the highest percentage of dead salary cap money, only two finished with a winning record. Of those 13 teams, the lowest percentage of dead cap money against their salary cap was the 2017 Browns, which had 27.7 percent of dead cash against the cap. Those Browns finished 0-16 and the next spring drafted Baker Mayfield No. 1.

The two teams with winning records? The Eagles of 2021 and 2022. Both ended up in the playoffs and last year’s Eagles made it to the Super Bowl.

This year the Bucs have the highest amount of dead cap money against the cap at 32.7 percent.

Given the fact 11 of the 13 teams with the most dead cap cash against the salary cap in the past decade had losing seasons, you can see how the Bucs don’t appear to be in good shape for 2023.

But on the bright side, it helps to play in the NFC South.

29 Responses to “Paying The Piper”

  1. SB~LV Says:

    Yep !
    Now we will find out what plan they have for the future.
    I have very little confidence in… well you know what I would say

  2. SB~LV Says:

    Actually it doesn’t help to play in the NFC South because of the easy meaningless wins that will have a negative compounding effect on the next few years NFL drafts
    Let the torture begin

  3. HC Grover Says:

    Well we now have recent #1 and #2 draft picks at QB. We have 2 great receivers too. We should go deep in to the playoffs but we also have Bowles.

  4. Bobby M. Says:

    GM Brady is gone….back to GM Licht whose record without Brady is below/at .500. Similar to Bowles, the body of work is below avg. We caught lightning in a bottle with Brady, it’s back to Licht blowing premium picks and free agency duct tape.

  5. HC Grover Says:

    We got highly drafted O linemen and a high pick RB. We will draft a LT too. Our offense does not suffer draft pick problems. We have Plan 9 a #1 anchoring our D line and White.

  6. HC Grover Says:

    Licht will prolly draft a LT and DT 1 and 2 Then we will be populated in the roster with many very high draft picks….The coach will be our downfall.

  7. Yucs2Bucs Says:

    After 20 years the Bucs rewarded the fans who paid serious loot for average teams and now the Glazers and Licht are back running this ship into the ground !!! They pleased half the base or sentimentals with the signing of LVD, but also brought a name in to salvage what they can with the season ticket holders. I would have respected this organization if they came out with a plan, but they really want us to believe this team can still win the south ?? Give me a break !!! Look at the product over the river and this is now the 7th season the Bs not only have been winning championships, but have given the paying fans a winning product. I wish Jeff would buy this team because all the G boys care about is making money while thinking the Buc fans are buying this crap

  8. HC Grover Says:

    We have highly rated Dean White and David at LB and Licht will get a good safety in this draft too. Our problem will not be talented players. Our problem will be the staff that trains them and the HC who plans the games and makes the real time decisions. Canales looks good but may ‘overthink’ the offense because it is his 1st time as O Boss.

  9. Statistically Insignificant Reader Says:

    Yeah, the Bucs are going to sail some rough seas this year. Stay the course Jason Licht. Payoff the Superbowl, Play inexpensive, sign NO high priced retreads, covet thy own players if warranted, massage that cap space, save some money, balance the check book. Be ready in 24 to be major players in the QB sweepstakes and better days ahead.
    Go Bucs

  10. LargoBuc Says:

    Yucs, the Glazers are far from perfect but my god, they delivered two championships in 18 years. That’s pretty good. Not alot of teams can say that.

  11. Tampabaybucfan Says:

    Good thing we have 9 draft picks because we will need them.

  12. Duane Says:

    Jason Licht is not a past history stat. He is Jason Licht. He is the most skilled GM in the NFL today, proved it multiple times over the last half dozen years. He didn’t start out that way, but he learned the skills, which is more than what most other GMs did.

  13. Marine Buc Says:

    I’m pleasantly surprised the Bucs have been able to sign some high quality players with very little cap to work with.

    – Dean
    – LVD
    – Nelson
    – Gains
    – Mayfield

    So far so good. If we can extend the contracts for Evans and White we should have enough cap for our draft picks and a few more free agents.

  14. #99 the Big fella Says:

    The negativity from the so called fans really suck!
    All you guys knew what was going to happen when Brady retired, but you did not complain when we won the Super Bowl!

  15. Buc king Says:

    Jason brought a elite coach in Bruce and elite qb in brady..
    He built an attractive enough team to get them on board.
    He’s not batting 100 for draft pics and reaches for kickers.
    Honestly he proved the team needed a qb when he replaced Winston with Brady.
    Meaning he built a good enough team to compete.
    We keep kicking the can down the road.
    If he can keep building a great team nucleus via the draft and maybe few free agents.. by the time that 40% cap is back available we can really make some major moves.
    I trust Jason at this point for the most part.

  16. Dooley Says:

    Smart to pay your bill, knowing that this time next year the salary cap is projected to rise about $25-$28M to make moves with. I think our FO is going to wait to extend Wirfs and that 2023 might be the year to decide whether or not Devin White gets a payday to stay a Buc. Should be interesting to see how the front office uses that bump up in $$$ next year to flesh out the next iteration of this roster.

  17. TOMMY MORDUE Says:


  18. NJbucs23 Says:

    We all knew a downturn was going to come. Is it this year or next year? The Brady 3 year run was worth the cost. We all saw this team was ready to win in 2020 and 2021. That’s all you can ask for is a championship window for 2-3 years.

    Thanks Tom !!

  19. Goatfarmer Says:

    Todd Bowels guarantees losing seasons. It’s what he does. Could turn the Greatest Show on Turf to the Greatest Blow on Turf.

  20. Joe in Michigan Says:

    Some of you guys (Tommy Mordue, MadMax, etc.) want new (or used, in Tommy’s case) shiny offensive weapons, I’m ready for the Bucs get back to a hardnosed defensive identity. Draft defense, other than an Offensive Tackle.

  21. Rod Munch Says:

    I have no issue with this — except the Bucs are already spending a bunch of money vs next years cap. They should have just taken the one year hit, got most of the dead money off the books.

    While the cap should skyrocket next year, so will salaries, and the Bucs will still have to pay a QB since they probably won’t be quite bad enough to draft a top tier guy.

    It’s a mess, but it didn’t have to be a mess for more than one season. I hope I’m wrong and Baker Mayfield leads them to a SB! LOL! As if.

  22. Jack Burton Mercer Says:

    That statistic is merely a proxy. Money don’t play games. It’s not a bad indicator, obviously, but what it means is that the players that got paid are not there anymore. Either because they retired or were cut. In both cases that means the players were not worth the money. Again it’s a proxy for players who aren’t there.

  23. Ghost of Tom Brady Says:

    Those teams didn’t have Licht and Goldberg. In Jason I trust.

  24. Marine Buc Says:

    @ Joe in Mich

    I agree.

    OT in the first found… Defense in rounds 2 and 3. Then TE/WR and RB in rounds 5, 6 and 7.

    I hope our GM is able to move back a little in round 1 – still get a quality OT and pick up an extra pick or two in the top 120.

  25. teacherman777 Says:

    We can find the best RT in the draft at the end of the 1st.

    Or, the 5th LT drafted?

    Which is smarter?

    A rookie LT who was drafted after 4 other LT’s?

    Or switch Wirfs to LT and draft the best RT in the draft?

    Draft a RT who has played there his entire college career.

  26. Marine Buc Says:

    @ teacher

    I believe Wirfs can make the switch to LT. I actually expect that to happen…

    But I do believe you can find quality OT starters in the late 1st round and in the 2nd.

    D. Smith was a 2nd round pick and Wirfs was the 4th OT taken in the 2020 draft.

    It all really depends on how the draft goes and who is available when we pick at #19.

  27. BucsfanFred Says:

    They say fan love won’t pay the rent
    Before It’s earned. our money’s. all been spent
    We got you bray (D)

  28. Pickgrin Says:

    How many of those teams listed had Pro Bowlers or near Pro Bowlers at half of their starting positions????

    Wirfs, Jensen, Evans, Godwin, Vea, Barrett, LD54, White, Davis, Dean, Winfield Jr

    Thats 11 really good players – half your starting line-up….

    The Bucs can compete this year. Especially due to playing in a weak division.

    Yea – we need Mayfield or Trask to play well in order to truly succeed. But Licht is paying off as many bills as is reasonable this year – and to stay even competitive in such a situation amounts to a job well done so far by the GM.

  29. JimbobBucsFan Says:

    With all of the changes, the ifs, ands or buts, this year it appears that making the playoffs will be a major coaching success. Would 8-9 with 4-2 in the NFC South make the majority of our fans happy? Stay tuned. 🤔 😲 😉