Bucs Playoff Odds Improve

November 9th, 2022

A win is a win and there is no need to apologize for a win. And Joe has the evidence that Bucs coach Todd Bowles won’t send out any sympathy cards to dudes who didn’t like the Bucs winning on Sunday.

And here is why: The Bucs chances of making the playoffs increased by 14 percent. Where is Joe getting this intel? From his good friends at Football Outsiders.

They do a weekly playoff percentage chart and with the Bucs beating the Rams and moving back into first place, the Bucs now have a 66.2 percent chance of making the playoffs.

The Bucs have a 59.9 percent chance of winning the division. Tampa Bay also has a 6.3 percent shot of making the playoffs as a wild card.

The way Joe looks at it, there is no way the Bucs will make the playoffs unless they win the weak NFC South. And the percentages suggest that.

21 Responses to “Bucs Playoff Odds Improve”

  1. Tye Says:

    Kinda hard to believe without firing Leftwich but, OK!

  2. sasquatch Says:

    Pretty sure Leftwich will find a way to eff it up.

  3. Mike Johnson Says:

    Beat Seattle in Germany first. Playoffs? You kiddin me? Way to soon to mention that for now. We got to get to 5-5 first. Seattle ain’t no pushover. They got a better record than us and are playing way better than we are. Worry about what is in front of us.

  4. Buccaneer Bonzai Says:

    If we beat Seattle I will truly be shocked. Maybe if we had a healthy Jensen we could.

    More likely scenario…we go through a coaching change during the bye week…probably the day after the Seahawks stomp us.

  5. Proudbucsfan Says:

    Does anyone remember what happened the last time we played Geno Smith?
    “I Do” a bad personal foul on LVD

  6. captivajim Says:

    they have to beat Seattle –to prove to themselves , particulary the new guys that they ARE a good Team.. they get their confidence up & start to gain some swagger …

  7. Vlad The Impaler Says:

    Smartest Plan:
    1) Run it up the middle on ALL 1st downs
    2) Run it up the middle on ALL 2nd downs
    3) Short pass on all 3rd and 10’s
    4) Occasionally try reverse sweep on 3rd down to keep defense guessing

    = winning

    Coach Leftwich

  8. Vlad The Impaler Says:

    Back to reality this Sunday

    It’s sad, (so sad) so sad. It’s a sad, sad situation. And it’s getting more and more absurd.

  9. Dreambig Says:

    So far we have lost to 2 one win teams and barely squeaked by a bad Rams team. We still have tweadle dee and tweedle dumb (bowels and leftwhich) leading us. Somehow this playoff run seems different than 2020.

  10. DrunkinYbor Says:

    @proudbucsfan.. I remember that clearly. Lavonte beat himself up badly after that. It was a bad call anyway. But he really took it hard.

  11. Daryl Green Says:

    Oh just watch our eye discipline when
    Facing running quarterbacks.😂🤣😂
    I guess we will see if Hicks will earn his money
    Seattle is physical. RPO’s are going to kill us.

  12. Captain Dan Lawrence Says:

    I’d have put the chances at 40%

  13. Defense Rules Says:

    Odds of doing anything when you’re barely halfway through are only meaningful to the betting crowd. We’re 4-5 right now with a floundering offense & a banged up defense. We’ve already proven that NO TEAM is a pushover for us this year. Bucs haven’t earned the right to be ‘favored’ in any of our remaining games.

  14. DungyDance Says:

    DR – totally agree. So realistically, let’s move past this Sunday with an assumed loss. Then there’s the bye. What are thinking during this two week span about a 4-6 record? More importantly, what will we be doing about it? Will that finally be the last straw for Leftwich? Doubtful (inexplicably). Will some superstar free agent be willing to sign with us at 4-6? Will Jensen’s mysterious injury (“season ending” injury per the CBS graphic during last week’s game) take a turn for the better? Realistically, we should go one step ahead and start preparing for that reality and start trying to figure out the path forward.

  15. Jeff Says:

    Lol! They might win the division with 8 wins, but they will get blown out by an actual legitimate playoff team.

  16. Deeez NATZ Says:

    There will not be a coaching change.Mr butthole toilet bowl 4life!

  17. BKBuc Says:


  18. Browsing from DC Says:

    One thing that has been very clear this season, league-wide, is the “On any given Sunday….” and “That’s why they play the games” mantras are so true. Anytime I hear Team A “upset” Team B I wonder if the word “upset” truly fits anymore.

    Sure the “odds” of a team who leads the league in rushing going against a poor rushing defense would indictate a big day on the ground for the rushing team. Individual match ups also come into play. Penalties, turnovers, a big stop on a 4th and 1 that the “great rushing team” is confident in but doesn’t work, etc. can derail a rushing attack.

    As for Seattle, all it takes is Geno Smith to have a bad game (every QB has a few of those….look at Josh Allen vs Jets, etc). A Seattle DB blows a coverage or slips and falls and gives up a bomb. Block a punt. A lot can happen.

    Bucs went into Dallas week 1 and many thought it would be a loss due to injuries, etc. The running game was strong that day (Lenny 21 carries, 127 yards, 6.04 avg and most yards were before 1st contact). We got to Dak often and eventually knocked him out of the game.

    Every game remaining on the Bucs schedule is “winnable”. The Bucs have a lot to fix but I don’t see anything that’s a “lost cause”.

    Receivers can start running routes beyond the sticks instead of short by a yard.

    Creative run play calling/personnel options worked in Dallas. We have 3 good backs and extra beef to bring in to block for them.

    Drops hurt us but again, fixable by concentrating more

    The Bucs post season is in their hands. All of the above fixes begin with the coaches, so I’m not surprised that there’s a lack of confidence. That’s what is the most frustrating part for me. Every Tom, Dick and Harry on every message board, TV and radio talking heads, etc all see what needs to be fixed and see the talent the Bucs have. Why don’t the coaches?

  19. BucsfanFred Says:

    I remember that penalty on LVD too.
    That was smith’s first game.

  20. Goatfarmer Says:

    Last I checked, Bymron Leftwurst is still listed as the very offensive uncoordinator.

    The odds aren’t really any different, as the definition of insanity is expecting better results by repeating the exact same mistakes over and over and over and oever and over and over and over and over and over and over and……………

  21. Robert Jojola Says:

    If the bucs front.office would pull these head out of there ass and bring back c k. Sue the dfence would take care of it self inturnly same with the o line some one needs to step up this is sad to watch them this kind of opportunity are rear