Make Your Playoff Plans

November 25th, 2020

The math is real, and the Bucs are in prime, prime position to make the playoffs for the first time since the 2007 season.

Joe’s got numbers, including ESPN now putting the Bucs with a 92.5 percent shot at postseason action.

The reason is simple. The Bucs’ (7-4) currently own the second of three NFC wild card spots, if the season ended today. Arizona (6-4) has the third position and the sinking Bears (5-5) are the team knocking on the door hoping for a late run. So the Bucs have a two-game lead with five games to play.

Joe’s favorite stat nerds at place the Bucs’ chances of playoff fun at 92.1 percent.

Their software has the Bucs finishing with 10.6 wins and the Bears with 8.2. Football Outsiders also pegs the Bucs as most likely to score the second Wild Card position, which probably would mean a trip to Green Bay or to the NFC West winner.

The data hounds at FiveThirtyEight show the Bucs at an 85 percent shot at the postseason, two points better than the Cardinals.

Of course, to get there the Bucs still must win games, at least victories against the miserable Falcons twice and the bumbling Lions.

22 Responses to “Make Your Playoff Plans”

  1. Roy T. Buford Says:

    Yeah, Bucs at Saints thrills me to think of.

    Actually, if I had to pick a playoff opponent, they would be the one I’d want…the math on that alone (four straight wins I think) has to put the odds in favor of the Bucs finally beating them, even with Bruce Arians as Head Coach.

  2. El Buco Realisto Says:

    That is funny!!!!!!! Because the same numbers keep popping up!!!!!!!!!!! The bucs are also 92.5 likely to be “One and Done” if they do back into the playoffs!!!!!!!!! There is also 92.5 likely that ole stale biscuit will be “Out Coached” In that game!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    There was one outfit that predicted 100%!!!!!!!! That its 100% likely that ole stale biscuit will take no responsibility and blame others for the failure!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    go bucs!!!!!!!!!!

  3. Allbuccedup Says:

    Glad to see El Buco Realisto back. BA or BS we shall see very soon. Brady’s about one Arians throw me under the bus away from telling BA to quarterback this team his own damn self.

  4. Tampabaybucfan Says:

    I have been tracking the contenders for the 3rd WC slot……realistically the Bears are the only team with a reasonable chance because they own a tiebreaker with us….but they play Green Bay twice and the Vikings….along with the Texans, Lio
    ns & Jaguars.

    The loss Monday to the Rams was harmful to who we play in the playoffs….The Rams need to win the division and we need to have a better record than both Seattle & Arizona…..that is unlikely but possible because they all play each other.

    Bottom line, we need to win the games we should win to get to 10-6

    Atlanta, once…..Vikings & Lions….

    An upset vs the Chiefs would be huge.

  5. Usedtocould Says:

    Realist is coming in at 92 percent chance of thinking he has an opinion worth sharing. And 100 percent chance of butchering a few sentences.

  6. Dp4life22 Says:

    As bad we played both sides of the ball we only lost by 3 with change to win at end. All
    Media and podcasts in Tampa spoke as if rams were best team to ever exist and Bucs should have not even showed up. we held our own with poor play. This has to come together soon and we will make the run when it counts most

  7. Tampabaybucfan Says:

    Seattle has games left vs Eagles, Giants, Jets & Washington… just doesn’t get much better for them.

    The NFC west was blessed with games vs East this year….

  8. Jason Says:

    Realist does make a valid point. Bruce Arians playoff record sucks.
    Simple question, how many games this year would you say Bruce Arians and his staff got out-coached?

  9. UKBuccaneer Says:

    Those whinging and predicting 1 and done in the playoffs – I presume you’d rather go 3-13 and be out of the running in October again?

  10. Dp4life22 Says:

    UK YOU are right. If we don’t make wild card they complain we never make playoffs.

  11. Gettinthebucs Says:

    I have no doubt we’ll make the playoffs. I just know this team is too inconsistent to win a title. I feel like we’re only 1 stud pass rusher away too. Maybe they’ve got some kind of secret weapon on the practice squad 😂

  12. Joe in Michigan Says:

    I’m not sure how many games the Bucs coaches got outcoached, but they need to make some adjustments, and soon…More short to intermediate passing game, rather than long bombs that the Bucs haven’t completed in weeks… Vaughn should be the new 3rd down back, the only thing worse than watching Fournette drop passes is to see him smiling about it afterwards…If nothing is done about it, I’m going to start to lose faith in the Buccaneers coaching staff.

  13. adam from ny Says:

    we must get another signature win before thinking and talking playoffs…

    beat the chiefs and then start getting ready for a playoff game…

    this sunday is going to reveal what this team is made of…including TB12…

    if we slip to 7-5 after this weekend things are real bad…

    big difference between 8-4 and 7-5

  14. adam from ny Says:

    maybe tom doesn’t care anymore because he knows he pretty much won the “tom vs hoody” situation

  15. adam from ny Says:

    or maybe AB is making tom secretly crazy in the home…


  16. Joe in Michigan Says:

    Adam in NY: I give the Bucs 5% of beating the Chiefs. I hope they prove me wrong.

  17. Bojim Says:

    Bucs will ‘back in’ and I’ll take it.

  18. Buc1987 Says:

    Adam they’re still on track to win 10-11 games. Even if they lose to KC.

  19. View from 132 Says:

    Yes I would rather follow a losing team building a long term winner with a young talented QB – see the Ex Diego Chargers – than a first round playoff loss on a team full of free agents and aging vets. They need to win games in the playoffs – and not just beat the NFC East winner. Qualifying is not enough.

    And 11 wins is not enough unless the Saints have 10… either way, no division title, no bye week… underachieving.

  20. Clean House Says:

    Adam, you might actually be on to something! Seriously

  21. lambchop Says:

    @Roy T. Buford,

    It ain’t about math when the Saints are head and shoulders the more talented team with playoff experience. We do not match up well against the Saints for whatever reason. The third time won’t be the charm, either. For one, we haven’t been able to neutralize Cam Jordan and Mike gets mentally taken out of the game cuz of Lattimore.

    I hope we stay away from the Saints as long as possible.

  22. lambchop Says:

    @adam from NY,

    How do you compare a player vs coach battle? Realistically, it’s a waste of time and only $hit sports media like to dedicate a segment on to fill space. It’s as realistic as comparing QBs of different teams, offensive philosophies, and eras.

    Belicheat hardly had his full complement of starters, Cam got Rona’d and hasn’t been the same. And Brady is playing the most inconsistent of his career. Looks like nobody won that divorce to me.

    I don’t understand how a team can handle the Packers and still be so inconsistent overall. No excuses for that garbage.