“Luckiest” Jameis

May 31st, 2018

Bad rating vs. peers

A stat-crunching outfit Joe respects has pored over 2017 game film of all quarterbacks and determined that the Buccaneers’ franchise QB was one of the luckiest in the NFL last season when it comes to interceptions that didn’t happen.

Thomas Bassinger, resident numbers guru at the Tampa Bay Times, dug out this FootballOutsiders.com info and crunched it into a story that will have the local Jameis Winston bashers yelling, “Amen!” and nodding their heads in agreement.

Winston threw 11 interceptions in 13 games, but the analysis found the Buccaneers quarterback’s total should have been closer to 19. Eight potential interceptions were either dropped by a defender or knocked out of a defender’s hands by a receiver. Only Kirk Cousins and Matthew Stafford benefited more often from dropped or broken up interceptions. Each had nine.

Despite missing three games because of a shoulder injury, Winston finished near the top of the league in adjusted interceptions. DeShone Kizer had 23, and Trevor Siemian and Cousins each had 20.

There’s more to Bassinger’s data via the link above, including a look at how Matt Ryan might have been the NFL’s unluckiest QBs and that Jameis had no tipped balls that resulted in interceptions.

Bad look here for Jameis, and it’s likely these stats are in the minds of Dirk Koetter and Todd Monken at One Buc Palace.

The optimists, though, will find it very easy to shrug off the data because Jameis played injured for roughly half of last season.

22 Responses to ““Luckiest” Jameis”

  1. Erik with Clean Athletics Says:

    Yea, my brain was also logging all of those ‘could-have-been interceptions’ and it was definitely a major problem…

    He could’ve had 30 picks easily

  2. passthebuc Says:

    shudda, cudda, woodaa

  3. Blue-footed booby Says:

    Yep Erik, my thoughts exactly. I still remember Winston throwing the football right into the hands of a Saints defender who dropped a should-be interception on the last offensive drive of the Bucs season in week 17.

  4. DB55 Says:

    So ALMOST interceptions is a thing now? How about almost tackles? Almost stopped them on 3rd down? Almost blocked defenders for your q.b. and rb. Are those a thing too? Foh with this stupid ass chit. Almost won more than 5 games how bout they focus on that!

  5. Lamarcus Says:

    Well it should happen throwing 40+ a game

  6. Lamarcus Says:

    Bluebig foot

    Didn’t matter the last drive cuz we won I thought wins mattered???

  7. 813bucboi Says:

    Winston has to get better….no doubt about it….we know it….coaches know it….he knows it…..


  8. tickrdr Says:

    Actually, there were at least two dropped interceptions in that last Saints game. They did manage to catch three others however. Should have been 5 INTS in his 45th game as a pro. SMDH. I heard he did manage to complete a long pass in that game, however.


  9. The Buc Realist Says:

    If the O-line protected JW3 like joe does, then he would never get touched, let alone hurt!!!!!!!!!!

    GO Bucs!!!!!!!!

  10. Tony L.A. Says:

    Things either happen or don’t.
    If you’re going to count “almost” interceptions then “almost” TDs, completions, and wins have to count as well.

    None do so this is silly.


  11. gotbbucs Says:

    He doesn’t put the ball where it’s supposed to go a lot more I’m sure than Koetter and company would probably like to admit. He would rather try to make impossible throws than take easy 1st down throws.
    Live to play another down doesn’t fit in his style, and more times than not that will result in a pick or a punt or a strip sack.

    He’s not where he should be right now, and I’m not blaming coaching. He refuses to go out and be a professional football starting QB that does what the game plan and play says he should do.

    If he kills this coach, rest assured, the next coach will get rid of him.

  12. Says:

    Aside from the turnovers/questionable decisions, the latest JW scandal (Uber) will inevitably put him on the sidelines at some point.

    For Joe’s benefit, here are a few ticklers that could be expanded into paragraphs about the Buc’s “other” starting QB once he takes the field:
    -In the seasons where he has started all the games he played in (prepared in advance to be the starter), his stats are below: (73 games in total over seasons 2010, 2011, 2012, 2014, 2015)
    —60.5% completion percentage
    —6.96 yards/attempt
    —227 yards per game
    —119/77 TD/Int ratio
    -once signed a $59million contract, has over $54 million in career earnings
    -Highest wonderlick ever
    -Bills record with 98-yard TD pass
    -Jets’ franchise record holder for TD’s in a season (31)
    -Has thrown 6 TD’s a single NFL game
    -very fast with the rubik’s cube

  13. D the Bucs fan Says:

    Where is the stats with the almost catches by receivers or Almost broken tackles by rbs. Lee and Steve can you guys put your name on the articles?. Like Ira so we know who to call out for articles like this.

  14. Not there yet Says:

    No haters of Winston here. Apparently your the only person on the planet that doesn’t realizehe’s not good enough to be called America’s quarterback. Unheard for someone rated 4th best in their own division

  15. Trench War Says:

    lol the defenders felt so bad for Jameis last season even they were dropping passes. Just kidding, defenders would never do it intentionally.

  16. Eric Says:

    Glad someone pointed out what I saw week after week. I think the defenders dropped the ball because they were shocked. Normally they wouldn’t expect sure poor decision making from a starting Quarterback. So sick of all the excuses already. Stop blaming the defense which has been ignored during the Licht era. All of our assets have been put on offense which one would expect to at least score more than 19 points a game. Remember Weapons for Winston? Every hole has been plugged this offseason but I’m certain that if Jameis plays poorly again, the target for all blame will be the RG. Put up or shut up time for #3! #nomoreexcuses

  17. unbelievable Says:

    Man, ppl are will make a story out of anything these days.

    Adjusted interceptions? GTFO

  18. Oneilbucs Says:

    Man let’s trade him. Let him play for a team that got his back we know he’s not perfect but man. Andrew luck played in a weak division n gets passes all the time. I want to see how many he get this year and he still is going to be great quarter back to most football media and fans.

  19. Oneilbucs Says:

    He will be just alright.

  20. Nole4JabooANDdBucs Says:

    When it comes to JW this site feels like an eratic, inconsistent, roller coaster. Quite frankly I am in the mind set someone has to always take a licking, the former head coach (Lovie) Doug, now Jameis!

    Doesn’t matter, when Jameis is spit out of the belly of this whale called TB…I will be able to watch him light up somewhere else.

    Non-players amaze me how much and well they play on the sidelines! I hope Vernon light it up. I never knew a fanbase who talks down ALL it’s players, because they OVER EXPECTED…SMH…P-A- THETIC!
    GO BUCS!

  21. BringBucsBack Says:

    Come on Joes, you know any stat or observation that paints Jaboo in an unfavorable light is trivial and frivolous. However, passing yards, during garbage time after the game has been decided (and stats of the like), puts our messiah on pace to be one of the best ever!

    Homers Always,
    Garnet and Gold Gang

  22. MARLOW_1976 Says:

    Let’s start subtracting intercepted balls that either bounce off receiver’s hands/chest and get picked, and balls picked when receivers run wrong routes.