Playoff Indicator?

May 11th, 2016
Reading the tea leaves.

Reading the tea leaves.

Joe is two things that are important in the following paragraphs: a history guy who has a minor in history, and a believer in America’s Quarterback, Pro Bowler Jameis Winston.

Therefore, given recent history, Joe believes a playoff berth by the Bucs, as guided by Jameis, is a safe if not good bet.

Recently, the four-letter put out a graphic showing what quarterbacks drafted in the first round the past three seasons have done in their short NFL careers. Only one quarterback has both six wins and a playoff appearance; Teddy Bridewater had six wins his rookie season and last year led the Vikings to the playoffs.

Only one other rookie quarterback drafted the past three years who had six wins his rookie season. That would be Jameis.

So, given recent NFL history and Joe’s faith in Jameis, it wouldn’t be an irresponsible short-term investment to lay a few shekels on the Bucs making the playoffs.

22 Responses to “Playoff Indicator?”

  1. Defense Rules Says:

    I really like your bottom line Joe … Bucs making the playoffs … but I’m not sure how many shekels I’d bet based on what Teddy Bridgewater’s done in the past 2 years. Of the 16 NFC teams, only 6 make the playoffs each year as we both know. Last year BOTH wild card teams had a 10-6 record. So Bucs would have to do at least that good this year to make the playoffs (based on recent history that is). That’s a pretty tall order given our 2016 schedule. Not impossible by any means, but still it’d be a big jump from 6-10.

  2. Jameisbucsfan Says:

    In Jameis we trust!

  3. Espo Says:

    @Defense Rules

    How many games did we lose by bad kicking? How many drives stalled by dropped passes? Theoretically, those problems should be fixed. Defense, again theoretically, should actually play defense. We’ll have to see how it all plays out but I don’t think 10-6 this year is that much of a stretch from 6-10 last year.

  4. Tampa Tony Says:

    Of all the NFC playoff Bridgewater had the worst production from the position. So saying he lead the Vikings just shows how little Joe knows

  5. The Buc Realist Says:

    See, this is why some of us harp on the historical soft schedule last year!!! Because some are using “6 wins” as a baseline!!!! The Panthers were the best team in the division last year, but are they a “15 win team” are they thinking if we fix this and get our wr back that they are now a 16 win team?????

  6. Clodhopper Says:

    You talked me into it, Joe. I have a few bucks in my Bovada account I’ll just lay on the Bucs. Hell, why not?

  7. RobertG Says:

    Panthers played a easy schedule last year also. Remember, the panthers were 7-9 the year before and won the division. I’d say the buccaneers are a better team than that 7-9 team. Panthers were basically the sa me team that went 15-1.

  8. jb Says:

    Jaboo’s gonna have us in the playoffs this season, then by 2019 or 2020 we’ll have ourselves our SECOND LOMBARDI TROPHY decking the entryway to One Buc Place!

  9. Defense Rules Says:

    @ Espo … I love the word ‘theoretically’. Have had season tickets for many years, and each season started off for me with us ‘theoretically’ winning the Super Bowl. Alas, we’ve now been almost 15 years since that was ‘reality’.

    Since you brought it up, how many games did we lose in 2015 because of bad kicking? How many because of dropped passes? I wholeheartedly agree that our defense should be better this year (how could it not?) Our offense should be better too. And yet at this point it’s all just ‘theoretical’. Those NFC teams that won 10 games or more last year did so because they’d built strong teams over several years I’d say (Panthers, Cardinals, Seahawks, Packers and Vikings). I fully believe that the Bucs are in the process of joining those 5, but until we do it on the field it’ll just be ‘theoretical’. I for one would love for that to happen this year.

  10. Dreambig Says:

    At one point just after the middle of the year, the Bucs were 6-6 and looking pretty good before Kwon went out and they unexplainably collapsed. This year they are starting out 0-0 just like everyone else. Jameis is no longer a rookie, we potentially have a better team and better coaches. A four game improvement is not only possible, it should be expected. We improved 4 games last year and the Panthers did much more than that. Win 10 games and in the playoff hunt? Why not?

  11. Buc1987 Says:

    2017 Super Bowl Champions.

    2 more seasons.

  12. DemBoyzFromDaBay727 Says:

    This team certainly got better from last season, ditching Lovie and inserting a winnable scheme alone is a major upgrade but u add the great coaching staff coach Koetter has Esembled and the key pieces Licht has acquired in Grimes, Ayers, and Daryl Smith plus another great draft by the “draft guru” himself in Licht, adding the ball hawking Hargreaves and the “QB harassing” Noah Spence, and u got one young, promising, talented team on your hands. Not to mention the biggest piece in Jameis Winston who is working his @ss off at this very moment to become greater, and not just settling on being “good”.

    This team is certainly on its way to bringing playoff football back to Tampa bay. With all that said I still think there still year away from being a complete playoff team. With the brutal schedule this year I think we will fall just short of a playoff berth. But the following year, with another great draft and adding sum more key pieces along with our young talent developing, we will be a team to wrecken with and finally break that playoff drought.

  13. Pickgrin Says:

    Bucs fans deserve something to cheer for in January. It has been way too long since we were in the playoffs – and even longer since we won a post-season game (14 years)

  14. Buccfan37 Says:

    This years schedule is way tougher in my view, the Bucs will be better no doubt. Not saying a playoff spot is not achievable, I’ve just reached the point where I’ll believe it when it happens. Go Bucs!

  15. The bucfan 88 Says:

    Buc1987 I agreed with but I’m thinking bigger I think the buc will have a dynasty I believe they not only will have the trophy I think the Bucs will be the first to win three in a row hear me out now by that time Winston to Evans will break records Doug Martin and c-sims will be house hold names Dan vital will be a beast the online will killing d-lines Noah spence will have around rack up 10-20 sacks a season Vh3 will be a pro bowler Gerald , Levonte & Kwon will be putting up hall of fame numbers

  16. uncle donny Says:

    If we can avoid the injury bug that hit us last year that would be huge! We have a gruesome schedule one of the most difficult in the league based on last year’s records. With all that said our defense has to learn this new system fast, our team absolutely must stop the momentum killing penalties, also we’re going to need a few lucky bounces, if all that happens we will go as far as Jabo takes us

  17. Mike Johnson Says:

    The Bucs will do great if they can win 8 games this season. And even that will be a task. Buc fans forget, Other teams had good drafts too. Now if we can get out of the 1st half of the season somehow with 5 wins? we got a shot at 8 to 10 wins. But we gotta win at least 4 or 5 of our first 8 games. That’s gonna be real difficult looking at the schedule. It is possible though. Better put a real A..kicking product on the field if we want to get to the playoffs. Come out the game losing 3 of your 1st 5 games? Forgetaboutit!!

  18. 813bucboi Says:

    regardless of schedule we should be able to have a 10 win season and a spot in the playoffs….some of those teams that made it last year may not get in this year and vice versa….the only thing I can see that would hold this team back is injuries to our impact players like doug, Winston, evan vjax, kwon, lvd….GO BUCS!!!

  19. Sunny Says:

    This year will we be luckily to the playoffs , partly because of trams we are facing , but with a good draft next year , going for more offensive (Wr,TE) we should be there , yes I know we have good 1,2 WR , but we need a true number 3(inside guy , like good old Ike ) , and ASJ can be a beast if he stays heathy , but we still need a good number 2 , I always wondered why we let wright go after he had a good season , although he didn’t produce elsewhere

  20. Pickgrin Says:

    Sunny – does the name Cameron Brate ring any bells? Do you even watch Bucs games?

  21. BigMacAttack Says:

    Playoffs would be nice, but I’ll be happy with marked improvement, especially on defense. I’m really excited to see this team take the field. But I sure wouldn’t bet against Jameis or Playoffs. This could be a 12 win team but that’s optimistic.

  22. Sunny Says:

    @pickgrin 23 catches and 288 yards , far from a stud , and that year before 1 catch 17 yards , blame me for not thinking he is the next gronks , 2013 wright had 54 and 571

    Been watching Bucs prob much longer than u and see these kind of guy come and go