NFL Draft: Opening Mock Drafts

February 16th, 2010

Why should Bucs fans know about this guy?

Joe recommends a couple of ice cold Caybrew and a good chunk of time to savor this unique and detailed mock draft by NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, of WDAE-AM 620.

It’s a 5,000+ word draft orgasm that breaks down Pawlowski’s analysis of what every NFL general manager will do, plus Pawlowski’s personal selections as if he were GM of every team.

It’s the kickoff of the stellar susbscription draft coverage on

Who is Justin Pawlowski you ask and why should you subscribe? Joe details that here in an FAQ about the draft coverage.

Enjoy! {+++}

First Round
Mock draft I – By Justin Pawlowski

The primary draft pick you see below is the selection Pawlowski believes the specific team will make at this point. The Commish’s Pick is who Pawlowski would select if he were the specific team’s GM in that position. So essentially, you’re looking at two mock drafts. …Yes, some picks match up in both drafts, including one of the Bucs’ second round selections.

1. St. Louis Rams – Sam Bradford – QB – Oklahoma

Although I’m extremely skeptical of Bradford, with a new owner coming in, I’d expect the Rams to be more willing to fork over mega bucks for a quarterback than invest more top-15 money into another defensive lineman.  Remember, the Rams drafted Chris Long second overall in 2008, and Adam Carriker 13th overall the year before that.  Whether Rams coach Steve Spagnuolo likes it or not, he is not the only one calling the shots.  Rumors have it that if the Rams like Bradford and if he throws well, he could very well be the pick.  The Rams passed on Matt Ryan in 2008 and passed on Mark Sanchez last year.  I went with Gerald McCoy for the Rams because I feel McCoy might be a better fit for the Rams, since Long and Carriker are more like Suh, and McCoy could give the Rams a different dynamic along the line.
Commish’s Pick: Gerald McCoy – DT – Oklahoma
2. Detroit Lions – Ndamukong Suh – DT – Nebraska
With the Rams taking Bradford, that leaves the Lions with their choice of the top two players in the draft.  I feel Suh and McCoy are neck and neck in terms of talent.  This pick of Suh is strictly because he might fit more of what Lions coach Jim Schwartz likes to do.  As Titans defensive coordinator, Schwartz wanted mean physical defensive tackles to take on multiple blockers.  Albert Haynesworth is the perfect example of that.  Suh fits that bill much better than the one-gap penetrator that McCoy is.
Commish’s Pick: Ndamukong Suh – DT – Nebraska
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Gerald McCoy – DT – Oklahoma
It would be pretty hard for Dominik and Rah Rah to screw this one up.  Let’s see, the biggest need for the Bucs is at defensive tackle, and arguably, the top defensive tackle is on the board.  Also, as mentioned with the Lions pick, McCoy is a perfect fit for the Tampa 2 defense.  This pick solely relies on what the Rams do.  If the Rams go for a quarterback, I feel McCoy will fall to the Bucs.  Whether the Bucs take him or not is not up to me.  If the Rams go with a defensive tackle, as in the “Commish’s Picks,” the Bucs will have to figure out what player will make the biggest impact of the players remaining.  I still feel the Bucs have to get more physical up the middle and a middle linebacker that is 6’4’’ and 260 lbs and is fast sounds pretty good.  Dez Bryant would also be up for big consideration here.  Eric Berry is a good player, but does not fit nearly the need that any of the other players mentioned would.
Commish’s Pick: Rolando McClain – MLB – Alabama
4. Washington Redskins – Russell Okung – OT – Oklahoma St.
There’s new excitement in D.C. with Mike Shanahan taking over.  There will be lots of talk of the Redskins looking quarterback here, and they could, but their biggest need comes along their offensive line.  We’ll need to keep an eye on Chris Samuels and whether he’s going to retire or not.  That might be a moot point, since Mike Shanahan strives on having athletic offensive lineman, and will want that first.  There is no more athletic offensive lineman in this draft than Russell Okung.  The funniest part about Okung is that he reminds me of Ryan Clady for the Broncos.  Of course, Clady was Shanahan’s last first-round pick in Denver.  The Redskins might even go with Okung with both quarterbacks still on the board.
Commish’s Pick – Russell Okung – OT – Oklahoma St.
5. Kansas City Chiefs – Rolando McClain – MLB – Alabama
Any team that has as many needs as the Chiefs do is a wildcard in the draft.  The Chiefs could go with a safety, offensive tackle, wide receiver, or an outside rush end, but the player that might bring them the biggest impact could be McClain.  Other than a talented middle linebacker, the Chiefs need a leader on defense to help all the young players they have on that side of the ball.  McClain is a great player because he wants to be a great player.  He invests a lot of his free time to film study and leads in every way a leader should on the field.  If McClain is off the board, look for the Chiefs to bring in Berry to be a big time playmaker for their secondary.
Commish’s Pick – Eric Berry – S – Tennessee
6. Seattle Seahawks – Anthony Davis – OT – Rutgers
Many news outlets have confirmed that Walter Jones will be retiring from the Seahawks soon.  If this holds to be true, and I think it will, that leaves a huge hole at left tackle for the Seahawks.  Sure, Pete Carroll would love to bring in a playmaker on offense, a quarterback, or even a defensive end that could get to the quarterback, but with such a high value placed on left tackles, and this draft being top heavy with very good offensive tackles, why wouldn’t you fill that gaping hole here?  Because I follow the Big East so closely, I’ve gotten to see Anthony Davis play a few times, and he has all the tools to be an excellent offensive tackle.  He’s extremely balanced in the fact that he is athletic in pass protection and physical in run blocking.  If Sam Bradford makes it past the Rams and Redskins, look for Pete Carroll to grab his heir to Matt Hassellbeck.  Bradford would be a great fit for Jeremy Bates’ offense.
Commish’s Pick – Sam Bradford – QB – Oklahoma
7. Cleveland Browns – Eric Berry – S – Tennessee
It’s the first draft for Mike Holmgren and he gets his first gift.  With the Browns biggest needs being in the secondary, the Browns have the best defensive back fall into their lap.  Berry is a tremendous playmaker who has drawn comparisons to Ed Reed.  I’m hesitant to go that far yet, but he is definitely a talented player.  If Berry is off the board, I would still look for help for my defensive backfield with Joe Haden.  Haden is the top corner in this draft and might be one of the few corners worthy of a 1st-round pick.
Commish’s Pick – Joe Haden – CB – Florida
8. Oakland Raiders – Derrick Morgan – DE – Georgia Tech
There will be plenty of questions as to whether the Raiders will be able to keep Richard Seymour, but even if he stays, he is 30 and Greg Ellis is 34.  Derrick Morgan is the top defensive end in this draft and should have the ability to play in either a 4-3 or 3-4 defense.  He is a decent pass rusher and is very stout against the run.  The Raiders other big need comes at offensive tackle, and if Anthony Davis is there, I think he’d look great in a Raiders uniform.
Commish’s Pick – Anthony Davis – OT – Rutgers
9. Buffalo Bills – Bryan Buluga – OT – Iowa
The Bills took big steps last year in addressing their offensive line when they drafted Andy Levitre and Eric Woods, but a need at tackle is still there.  Jimmy Clausen will be very intriguing and definitely in the conversation, but to solidify that offensive line might be the better move for the Bills.  It’s pretty tough to judge Trent Edwards on last year’s performance since his offensive line was made up of rookies and backups all year.  Buluga comes from the Big 10 and knows only one brand of football, and that’s physical.  Buluga will fit right in with the city of Buffalo.
Commish’s Pick – Bryan Buluga – OT – Iowa
10. Jacksonville Jaguars – Dez Bryant – WR – Oklahoma St.
There’s been lots of talk of the Jaguars going with a defensive end here, and that could be true, but they just drafted 2 defensive ends in 2008.  Are they really gonna draft another defensive end 2 years later?  The Jaguars need a pass rush, and the only end I’d take that high to rush the passer would be Jason Pierre-Paul.  A bigger need for the Jaguars is attendance, so why not bring in someone that might put butts in the seats?  I’m not talking about Tim Tebow…yet.  Dez Bryant is a mega-talented receiver and best playmaker in this draft.  The Jaguars could pair him with Mike Sims-Walker and have one of the most dynamic receiver duos in football.  If you want Tebow, take him in the 3rd round or try and trade back into Round 2.
Commish’s Pick – Dez Bryant – WR – Oklahoma St
11. Denver Broncos (via CHI) – Dan Williams – DT – Tennessee
The Broncos had one of the more dominating defenses in the NFL for more than half the year in 2009, but faded at the end.  I think a contributing factor to their fade was the lack of a talented defensive line to stop the run and keep offensive linemen off their linebackers.  After taking Robert Ayers from Tennessee last year, the Broncos return to Tennessee to address their nose tackle needs.  Dan Williams is an interesting prospect whose stock ranges from the Broncos at 11 to as low as the Vikings late in the 1st round.  He played the nose for Monte Kiffin at Tennessee, and should be a good fit for any team looking for a defensive tackle to play the nose position.  I feel the Broncos also need new interior lineman as their offense has changed to a more power run game.  For that reason, I chose Mike Iupati for the Broncos to bring an impact to their run game.
Commish’s Pick – Mike Iupati – OG – Idaho
12. Miami Dolphins – Jason Pierre-Paul – DE – USF
A year ago, Mike Nolan was the defensive coordinator for the Broncos when they selected Robert Ayers as a defensive end and moved him to outside linebacker in their 3-4 defense.  It was a success.  Now that Nolan is in Miami, could he do that again?  I saw every game Jason Pierre-Paul played last year, and although he is still raw, he has a ton of talent.  There were plenty of times in 2009 where I thought he played better standing up as a rusher than he did in a 3-point stance.  In addition to Nolan converting defensive ends to outside linebacker, Bill Parcells has had his fair share of that as well. The Dolphins have a much bigger need at nose tackle, and if Dan Williams is available, he’d be my pick.
Commish’s Pick – Dan Williams – DT – Tennessee
13. San Francisco 49ers – Joe Haden – CB – Florida
There is so much talent in this draft.  Any time the top corner in the draft with Haden’s talent drops to No. 13, you know that has to be true.  The 49ers have a few needs to address, but one of them is in their defensive backfield.  Haden is a tremendous corner who can start immediately.  If Haden’s off the board, I’d fill my biggest need at right tackle with Trent Williams.
Commish’s Pick – Trent Williams – OT – Oklahoma
14. Seattle Seahawks (via DEN) – Jimmy Clausen – QB – Notre Dame
After taking their franchise left tackle with the No. 6 pick, the Seahawks have a big decision to make.  Do you go with your franchise quarterback and heir to Matt Hasselbeck, or do you address one of your biggest needs at running back?  Pete Carroll and Jeremy Bates got to watch Clausen a lot while at USC, and Carroll even recruited him to USC a few years back.  CJ Spiller will be tempting, but Clausen could lead the Seahawks for years under Carroll.  Since I took Bradford for the Seahawks at 6 and with no other offensive tackles worthy of this pick, I want to replace Patrick Kerney.  Morgan is in the same mold as Kerney.  He is a good pass rusher, but also very good against the run.
Commish’s Pick – Derrick Morgan – DE – Georgia Tech
15. New York Giants – Brian Price – DT – UCLA
The Giants had a rough time on defense last year, so they have changed to the Tampa 2.  With the release of Antonio Pierce, middle linebacker is a need, but Brandon Spikes might not be the best fit for this defense.  The Giants also have needs along the defensive line.  Price is a very active defensive tackle that can play the “3” technique and get good penetration which is a necessity in the Tampa 2.
Commish’s Pick – Brian Price – DT – UCLA
16. Tennessee Titans – Carlos Dunlap – DE – Florida
The Titans are tough.  They don’t have a lot of needs and they usually take the best player available anyway.  With Kyle Vanden Bosch and Jevon Kearse being a free agents, and Dunlap still being on the board, it might just be a match made in heaven.  Dunlap does have some character concerns, but Jeff Fisher has shown the ability to handle those types of players…see Lendale White.  I would also take a defensive end for the Titans, and since Pierre-Paul is still on the board in my draft, I’m taking him because of his pass rushing ability.
Commish’s Pick – Jason Pierre-Paul – DE – USF
17. San Francisco 49ers (via CAR) – Trent Williams – OT – Oklahoma
I’m sure if the 49ers wouldn’t have wanted things to work out any better than they have in this mock draft.  They get the top corner in the draft with their first pick and still get their right tackle with their other 1st round pick.  Williams is just another talented offensive lineman coming from Oklahoma.  We’ve seen Davin Joseph and Phil Loadholt come out of Oklahoma in recent years and have a ton of success.  Williams is a balanced offensive tackle who could finally stabilize the right tackle position for the 49ers.  This is a big reason why I took Williams with the 49ers first 1st round pick.  I do feel they still need an impact in the secondary which is why I’m taking Taylor Mays here.  He has been hyped up and does have the tools to match the hype.  Can he put those tools to use on the field?
Commish’s Pick – Taylor Mays – S – USC
18. Pittsburgh Steelers – Mike Iupati – OG – Idaho
The Steelers got away from their identity in 2009 and a main reason behind that was the lack of nastiness along their offensive line.  Iupati is the best guard in this draft and is an extremely physical player.  I firmly believe that you can teach a player to be mean.  They either got it or they don’t.  Iupati has it.  Since Iupati is already taken in my version of the draft, I have to go with a safety to play next to Troy Polamalu.  Thomas would finally give Polamalu some talent next to him, but also gives the Steelers some insurance if Polamalu goes down again.
Commish’s Pick – Earl Thomas – S – Texas
19. Atlanta Falcons – Everson Griffen – DE – USC
A down year by John Abraham and Jamaal Anderson being a bust has got the Falcons questioning their defensive end position.  Griffen is a very good pass rusher with the size to also play the run.  Another intriguing side-story to this is seeing whether the Falcons make a serious run at Julius Peppers.  I feel the Falcons bigger need is at corner which is why I went with Kyle Wilson for them.  Wilson had a great week at the senior bowl and is positioning himself as the draft’s 2nd best corner.
Commish’s Pick: Kyle Wilson – CB – Boise St.
20. Houston Texans – CJ Spiller – RB – Clemson
Steve Slaton is out until Training Camp and the remainder of the backs for the Texans are very questionable.  Running a zone blocking run scheme, the Texans need a back with great vision and burst to hit the open hole.  Spiller has been great throughout his career at Clemson and became better in 2009 when it was solely his show.  He would be the ideal pick for the Texans.  The Texans only worry, in my eyes, would be if the Seahawks take Spiller.  If the Seahawks pass on him twice, the Texans should end up with him barring any trades.
Commish’s Pick: CJ Spiller – RB – Clemson
21. Cincinnati Bengals – Taylor Mays – S – USC
Keith Rivers and Rey Maualuga have made big impacts on the defense for the Bengals the last few years coming out of USC.  Why not go back to USC for another defender?  Mays is loaded with talent, but has yet to put it together.  The Bengals love these types of players.  Just last year, the Bengals took Michael Johnson who was of a very similar mold.  Mays would fit a big need for the Bengals and have the potential to be an impact player for them.  Speaking of impact players, when was the last time the Bengals had an impact player at tight end?  They traded for Ben Utecht a couple years ago, but that was a bust.  Gresham is the best all-around tight end in this draft and would give the Bengals offense an element they haven’t had in a long time.
Commish’s Pick: Jermaine Gresham – TE – Oklahoma
22. New England Patriots – Jared Odrick – DE/DT – Penn St
Commish’s Take: The Patriots are in the process of revamping their defense from an aging group to a new wave of talented players.  Having this pick in round 1 and 3 picks in the 2nd round should help them.  The franchise tag will most likely be placed on Vince Wilfork, but the Patriots will still have a need at defensive end for their 3-4 scheme.  At 6’5’’ and 300 lbs, Odrick has perfect size for that position and his ability should allow him to contribute immediately.  I’m taking Dunlap because of the connection with Florida and I feel Dunlap could be an excellent end in the 3-4.
Commish’s Pick: Carlos Dunlap – DE – Florida
23. Green Bay Packers – Bruce Campbell – OT – Maryland
I’m not sure a team has a more glaring need than the Packers have with their offensive tackle situation.  Both Chad Clifton and Mark Tauscher are free agents and TJ Lang proved he wasn’t ready as a rookie.  Campbell is good value here and fits a huge need. 
Commish’s Pick:  Bruce Campbell – OT – Maryland
24. Philadelphia Eagles – Earl Thomas – S – Texas
The Eagles lost something with the departure of Brian Dawkins to Denver.  Thomas won’t be able to fill the leadership void immediately, but he would bring a ton of talent and athleticism to the Eagles secondary.  If he’s gone, like in my other draft, I’d take Spikes.  Spikes is a physical linebacker who can blitz and get after the quarterback.  Even with Stewart Bradley coming back from injury, I feel the Eagles need a younger more athletic Jeremiah Trotter in the middle of that defense.
Commish’s Pick: Brandon Spikes – MLB – Florida
25. Baltimore Ravens – Brandon Graham – DE/OLB – Michigan
When you look at the Ravens draft history, they just know how to draft good hard-nosed football players.  Despite the fact that they took Paul Kruger in the 2nd round last year, Graham is just too tough to pass this year.  He’s a rusher in a similar mold to Terrell Suggs who would just bring more talent to the defense of the Ravens.  The Ravens could look receiver or tight end here, but with receiver being pretty deep for the 2nd and 3rd rounds, they have to go with Graham as the best player available.
Commish’s Pick: Brandon Graham – DE/OLB – Michigan
26. Arizona Cardinals – Charles Brown – OT – USC
The Cardinals starting left tackle, Mike Gandy, is an unrestricted free agent.  Although they probably should have replaced him by now, they haven’t.  Brown might be a tad of a reach late in the 1st round, but he fills a big void for the Cardinals.  Most considered the Texans drafting Duane Brown a reach a few years back, but he has started at left tackle from day 1 for them.  Brown is a talented offensive tackle who probably needs to put on about 10 -15 lbs to become a solid NFL tackle.  I do feel Brown would be a reach here which is why I’m taking Sergio Kindle as a pass rusher off the edge.  Kindle’s one of the best at that position, and fits another need for the Cardinals.
Commish’s Pick – Sergio Kindle – DE/OLB – Texas
27. Dallas Cowboys – Brandon Spikes – MLB – Florida
The Cowboys have taken either a running back or a linebacker with their last 5 first round picks.  Why not keep the streak alive?  Last year’s 3rd round pick, Jason Williams, is a nice player, but I still think the Cowboys could use more of a presence at inside linebacker.  Spikes is a physical linebacker and a perfect fit for the 3-4 defense.  He’ll also bring a leadership quality to the Cowboys defense over the course of his career.  Personally, I feel the Cowboys need to address their offensive tackle issues.  Ducasse comes from UMASS and not much is known about him, but he is a mean, nasty, and physical tackle with the agility and quickness to match.  He’d be a nice replacement for Flozell Adams.
Commish’s Pick – Vladimir Ducasse – OT – UMASS
28. San Diego Chargers – Ryan Matthews – RB – Fresno St
It isn’t surprising to see the Chargers go with a running back here, but the question will be what running back they go with.  They already have their speed back in Darren Sproles.  I would imagine that would eliminate the shifty Jahvid Best.  Jonathon Dwyer is a possibility, but he played in the option offense at Georgia Tech and doesn’t have a lot of experience catching the ball or in pass protection.  On the other hand, Matthews comes from a much more balanced offense and shows the power the run inside and the speed to break a long run.
Commish’s Pick – Ryan Matthews – RB – Fresno St.
29. New York Jets – Terrance Cody – DT – Alabama
Who would draft someone who looked the way Cody does?  Did you see Rex Ryan on ESPN?  The Jets run defense took a step back when Kris Jenkins ent down with an injury, and that’s not the first time that’s happened.  If there aren’t any legitimate 3-4 defensive ends on the board, Rex Ryan probably goes with Cody or a corner to pair with Revis.  Receiver is also a need, but I wouldn’t call it a pressing need when you have Braylon Edwards and Jerricho Cotchery.
Commish’s Pick – Jared Odrick – DE/DT – Penn St
30. Minnesota Vikings – Perrish Cox – CB – Oklahoma St.
After Joe Haden, the group of corners gets pretty bunched up.  I think the Vikings go with Cox here because he’s a bigger more physical corner who might be a better fit for the Tampa 2 run by Leslie Frazier.  Cedric Griffen went down with an ACL injury in the NFC Championship game and might not be ready by training camp.  If Dan Williams and/or Terrance Cody are on the board, either could definitely be the pick as a replacement to Pat Williams.  With Jimmy Clausen falling in my draft, I think the Vikings prosper from other team’s stability at quarterback.  Clausen isn’t falling from a lack of talent, just a lack of teams that need a quarterback.
Commish’s Pick – Jimmy Clausen – QB – Notre Dame
31. Indianapolis Colts – Maurkice Pouncey – OC – Florida
Bill Polian said following the Super Bowl loss to the Saints that the team lost because of special teams and their offensive line.  Well, they can address one of those areas immediately.  Pouncey is the top center available in this draft and could play guard if need be.  He would be an immediate upgrade at guard for the Colts and the heir apparent to Jeff Saturday.
Commish’s Pick – Maurkice Pouncey – OC – Florida
32. New Orleans Saints – Sean Weatherspoon – LB – Missouri
One thing I love with Weatherspoon is the combination of size and speed.  When he blitzes, he always seems to get to the quarterback.  That is very important in a Greg Williams defense.  It’s always tough to find weaknesses with a Super Bowl Champion, but I fully feel the Saints could upgrade over Scott Fujita and Scott Shanle at outside linebacker.
Commish’s Pick – Sean Weatherspoon – OLB – Missouri
2nd Round
33. St. Louis Rams – Jermaine Gresham – TE – Oklahoma
Pairing Gresham with Bradford would be the shot in the arm that the Rams need.

Commish’s Pick – Navarro Bowman – OLB – Penn St
34. Detroit Lions – Kyle Wilson – CB – Boise St
The Lions’ coaches got to coach Wilson in the Senior Bowl and see what he could do.

Commish’s Pick – Everson Griffen – DE – USC
35. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Arrelious Benn – WR – Illinois
Size and speed you want from a No. 1 receiver.  Needs to be more consistent.

Commish’s Pick – Arrelious Benn – WR – Illinois
36. Kansas City Chiefs – Golden Tate – WR – Notre Dame
Pairing Tate with Weis would be a good move by the Chiefs.

Commish’s Pick – Golden Tate – WR – Notre Dame
37. Washington Redskins– Colt McCoy – QB – Texas
After taking Okung in the 1st round, the Redskins need someone for him to protect.  McCoy would be a good fit for Shanahan’s offense.
Commish’s Pick – Colt McCoy – QB – Texas
38. Cleveland Browns– Jonathon Dwyer – RB – Georgia Tech
The Browns need a bruising running back and Dwyer knows how to pound it between the tackles.
Commish’s Pick – Jonathon Dwyer – RB – Georgia Tech
39. Oakland Raiders – Vladimir Ducasse – OT – UMASS
They got their d-lineman in round 1, Ducasse is the mean and nasty offensive lineman the Raiders need.  I took Davis in the first round for them, so I give them the run stopper they need.

Commish’s Pick – Terrance Cody – DT – Alabama
40. Seattle Seahawks – Jahvid Best – RB – Cal
The Seahawks passed on Spiller in the first round of both of my mock drafts.  Carroll saw Best first hand while at USC and won’t pass on him here.
Commish’s Pick – Jahvid Best – RB – Cal
41. Buffalo Bills – Segio Kindle – DE/OLB – Texas
The Bills went with Maybin last year over Brian Okakpo.  Orakpo had double digit sacks and Maybin didn’t.  They won’t pass on another rusher from Texas.  Carrington would help in their transition to the 3-4 and is a fast riser right now.
Commish’s Pick – Alex Carrington – DE – Arkansas St
42. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (via CHI) – Corey Wootton – DE – Northwestern
McCoy and Benn already fill huge needs, but one guy won’t fix their defensive line.  Wootton is a big defensive end with great strength.  For my pick, I don’t have the Bucs with a defensive lineman yet (McClain and Benn), so I wanted to address the interior first.  Jones’ stock is falling, but when he is healthy, he is a great penetrator and great fit for the Tampa 2.
Commish’s Pick – Arthur Jones – DT – Syracuse
43. Miami Dolphins – Brandon LaFell – WR – LSU
The Dolphins need a receiver with some size that can be a number one guy.  LaFell could be that guy.  I had them taking a nose tackle in the 1st round, now I get them their speed rusher off the edge in Sapp.
Commish’s Pick – Ricky Sapp – DE/OLB – Clemson
44. New England Patriots (via JAX) – Navarro Bowman – OLB – Penn St
The Patriots luck out and have Bowman fall into their lap.  He’d be a middlelinebacker for them.  They also need an edge rusher which is why I took Jerry Hughes for them.
Commish’s Pick – Jerry Hughes – DE/OLB – TCU
45.  Denver Broncos – Mardy Gilyard – WR – Cincinnati
What happened to Eddie Royal?  Gilyard had a great Senior Bowl and is a good fit as a playmaker in Josh McDaniels’ offense.
Commish’s Pick – Mardy Gilyard – WR – Cincinnati
46. New York Giants – Chad Jones – S – LSU
With Kenny Phillips coming off a terrible injury, the Giants need another safety.  Jones is a bigger safety and a big hitter for that secondary.
Commish’s Pick – Chad Jones – S – LSU
47. New England Patriots (via TEN) – Ricky Sapp – DE/OLB – Clemson
Continuing to build that defense, the Patriots get their speed rusher.  Sapp is relentless at getting to the quarterback.  Since I already had them taking Hughes with their last pick, I’m gonna add to their secondary with Jackson out of Alabama.
Commish’s Pick – Kareem Jackson – CB – Alabama
48. Carolina Panthers – Arthur Jones – DT – Syracuse
The Panthers first pick in this draft.  Their defense has not been the same since Kris Jenkins was traded.  There aren’t any defensive ends I think they’d take here, which is why I think they’d go with Jones.  I would go with McCluster to give that offense some more playmaking ability over the top.
Commish’s Pick – Dexter McCluster – WR – Ole Miss
49. San Francisco 49ers  – Dexter McCluster – WR – Ole Miss
The 49ers offense has its stud players in Gore, Vernon Davis, and Michael Crabtree, but it might need just a little more big play ability.  McCluster adds that element to their offense and special teams.  With McCluster gone in mine, I get them their corner in Robinson who can play man or zone.
Commish’s Pick – Patrick Robinson – CB – FSU
50. Kansas City Chiefs (via ATL) – Nate Allen – S – USF
Nate Allen is a ball hawk and an upgrade over both starting safeties for the Chiefs.  O-line is also a big need, which is why I’d take Charles Brown to pair with Branden Albert.
Commish’s Pick – Charles Brown – OT – USC
51. Houston Texans – Tyson Alualu – DT – Cal
Alualu might be a better fit as a defensive end in a 3-4 defense, but he is a heck of a player and someone the Texans need along their defensive line.
Commish’s Pick – Tyson Alualu – DT – Cal
52. Pittsburgh Steelers – Patrick Robison – CB – FSU
The Steelers need a corner opposite of Ike Taylor and Robinson can play the man coverage the Steelers like.  Since I took a safety for them in the 1st round, I’m taking the second best guard in the draft to revamp their O-line.
Commish’s Pick – Jon Asamoah – OG – Illinois
53. New England Patriots– Kareem Jackson – CB – Alabama
More on the defensive side for the Patriots.  Jackson is a very talented to corner and would add another young talented corner to an already young and talented secondary.  I took Shipley for them as a clone to Wes Welker.
Commish’s Pick – Jordan Shipley – WR – Texas
54. Cincinnati Bengals – Aaron Hernandez – TE – Florida
As I stated with their first round pick, a tight end hasn’t been a part of the Bengals offense in a long time.  Hernandez is the draft’s top receiving tight end.  Wootton would give the Bengals more size and ability along the defensive line.
Commish’s Pick – Corey Wootton – DE – Northwestern
55. Philadelphia Eagles – Jerry Hughes – DE/OLB – TCU
Hughes has the ability to play defensive end or outside linebacker.  His specialty is what the Eagles love…getting to the passer.  Allen is the ball hawk at safety that the Eagles are missing.  The Eagles have a connection with USF.
Commish’s Pick – Nate Allen – S – USF
56. Green Bay Packers – Donovan Warren – CB – Michigan
The Packers have been flirting with this for a few years, but Charles Woodson and Al Harris are up there in age and need replacements.  Warren is a talented corner who could’ve benefited from another year in school, but money calls.  As for me taking Cox…I like Cox.
Commish’s Pick – Perrish Cox – CB – Oklahoma St
57. Baltimore Ravens – Demaryius Thomas – WR – Georgia Tech
The Ravens might have gotten a steal in the 1st round with Graham, but they need a weapon on offense.  Thomas is big (6’3’’ 230 lbs) and can be a number 1 target.  He played in an option offense, so we didn’t get to see his true ability on display.  As for Hernandez, he’s the top receiving tight end in the draft.
Commish’s Pick – Aaron Hernandez – TE – Florida
58. Arizona Cardinals – Rob Gronkowski – TE – Arizona
The Cardinals have a need for a tight end and stay close to home for one of the draft’s best tight ends.
Commish’s Pick – Rob Gronkowski – TE – Arizona
59. Dallas Cowboys – Jordan Shipley – WR – Texas
The Cowboys lucked out with Miles Austin, but Roy Williams has been a disappointment and Patrick Crayton doesn’t add much in playmaking ability.  Shipley is a tremendous route runner and reliable target.  LaFell has the potential to be a number 1 receiver.
Commish’s Pick – Brandon LaFell – WR – LSU
60. San Diego Chargers – Alex Carrington – DE – Arkansas St.
After getting their running back in the 1st round, the Chargers turn their attention to defense.  This might be too low for Carrington who is on the rise right now.  He’s a great fit at end in the 3-4 defense.  Cam Thomas’ stock is fluctuating, but he is a nose tackle and would be the replacement for Jamaal Williams eventually.
Commish’s Pick – Cam Thomas – DT – North Carolina
61. New York Jets – Damian Williams – WR – USC
The Jets don’t have much behind Braylon Edwards and Jerricho Cotchery, so they get Sanchez a familiar target.  Williams won’t blow you away, but he is a solid reliable target.  McCourty would give the Jets a corner opposite Revis who is from New Jersey.
Commish’s Pick – Devin McCourty – CB – Rutgers
62. Minnesota Vikings – Jon Asamoah – OG – Illinois
Asamoah would be an upgrade over Anthony Herrera at guard.  Ghee would give the Vikings insurance at corner.
Commish’s Pick – Brandon Ghee – CB – Wake Forest
63. Indianapolis Colts – Selvish Capers – OT – West Virginia
More help for the Colts offensive line.  I’m not sure I love the pick of Capers, but they want to improve their line.  I like Washington as a tremendous fit for the Tampa 2 defense.  He can also contribute on special teams.
Commish’s Pick – Darryl Washington – MLB – TCU
64. New Orleans Saints – D’Anthony Smith – DT – Louisiana Tech
Feel good story here.  The Saints need a defensive tackle, so they stay close to home for one.
Commish’s Pick – D’Anthony Smith – DT – Louisiana Tech

20 Responses to “NFL Draft: Opening Mock Drafts”

  1. jccisneros Says:

    Assuming McCoy and Suh are gone, we have to take McClain. All this Berry love has to stop.

    In addressing the DL and with pick # 42 I’d rather have Tyson Alualu. This guy is a football player thru and thru! He along with McClain would give us some attitude/leadership that we are sorely missing (especially when Ronde retires).

  2. gotbbucs Says:

    A 3-4 MLB getting drafted #3 overall by a Tampa 2 team? For one thing, there is no way I would make this pick unless I got some form of compensation in a trade for Ruud, I really can’t see McClain dropping into the deep third and covering like the Tampa 2 requires. Second thing is he would absolutely have to test some out of this world numbers at the Combine for me to consider drafting a ILB that high. Who was the last ILB taken in the top 5, Lavar Arrington? This in my opinion is poor value for that pick.

    I’d feel much more comfortable with the picks that you beleive the teams will make over the picks that you would make as far as the Bucs draft is concerned. JMO

    Oh, one more thing. Was that comment about the Robert Ayers’ move to OLB being a success supposed to be a joke? I sure hope so because that may have been one of the most ridiculous comments of all time if it wasn’t.

  3. BBQBill Says:

    Very enjoyable. Already feel I got my money’s worht. Looking forward to whatever is next. …How often will you do these mock drafts?

  4. Tommy Boy Says:

    Where do I log in? I’ve subscribed but don’t see where to log in.

  5. BBQBill Says:

    It’s right there on the story. Says “login”

  6. airick38 Says:

    I would have absolutely no problem with either of these drafts situations coming true. Hopefully one of the top DT’s drop to the Bucs, but as we know that totally depends on the Rams. I don’t mind passing on Berry for McClain. I think it is a deep class for safeties so get a top LB and then get a good safety later on if the DT’s are taken. If the Bucs do get a DT in the first round I wouldn’t mind them taking Allen from USF in the second with one of their picks (Yes I’m a USF Alum but the guy is a stud and I think he will be a great pro). I think Benn would be a great pick. I don’t know too much about Wooten but I will take the Commish’s word on him. Regardless, 2 of the first 3 picks have to be a DT and a WR. For the 3rd I would prefer a safety but LB and DE are also big needs. Good Job Commish! Keep up the good work.

  7. Joe Says:

    Tommy Boy:

    If you are still having issues, e-mail Joe please.

  8. Joe Says:


    Glad you like it so far. This is just the tip of the iceberg.

    Not sure of Justin’s schedule but he will have several mock drafts.

  9. gotbbucs Says:

    “A year ago, Mike Nolan was the defensive coordinator for the Broncos when they selected Robert Ayers as a defensive end and moved him to outside linebacker in their 3-4 defense. It was a success.”

    I’m sorry, I’m still really struggling to move past that comment. As far as I knew Ayers did absolutely nothing as a rookie. Maybe I’m just nitpicking too much.

  10. haroldm2 Says:

    Great Purchase, Thanks Joe

    On the draft though I realy think we should do all we can to try and trade for Seatles 2 first rd picks. We could still get Berry at #6 and either Bryant or Spiller at #14

    Thanks Again

  11. Joe Says:


    Thanks so much for the compliment. Glad you like it.

    Trust Joe, this is just the tip of the iceberg from Justin. Thanks again.

  12. AllMaddenMonkey Says:

    I think people should be more open to great players in general and not scheme related guys.

    Raheem has said he wants to have a hybrid sort of defense. We are not going back to Tampa 2 exactly, but it will be a 1 gap defense.

    McClain could be a possible pick if the contract talks with Ruud fall through and McClain really impresses at the combine and of course assuming both Suh and McCoy are going.

    One thing I know for sure is that there is alot of guys with “Mc” in their last name in this draft.

  13. gotbbucs Says:

    I realize that these Mocks take a long time to put together and I appreciate all the time that goes into it. I should have just ignored the Ayers comment but for some reason it just jumped out at me.

    Since I questioned your pick I should probably throw out who I would take. I’m of the opinion that there are two postions in the top 5 picks that if you have an opportunity to grab you take them. One is a franchise QB obviously, the second is a franchise Left Tackle. For me, Russel Okung would be hard to pass up on even if McCoy or Suh is sitting there. Penn and Trueblood are both RFA’s and niether one has been the model of consistency so far. They could draft Okung and then spend the rest of the night trying to trade Penn or Trueblood before the 2nd round starts the next day.

  14. zech Says:

    Joe what do u think of okung or mcclain at 3 ?

  15. zech Says:

    What would u all like to see the bucs do at 3?

  16. zech Says:

    What about u joe what would u like to see the bucs do with the 3 pick?

  17. FuNkYxMuNkeY Says:

    I think the Bucs should trade out of # 3 to Seattle for their #6 pick and their second round pick. The points on the trade value chart don’t match up if Seattle trades both 1st rounds so that won’t happen. Their 1st (pick 6) and their 2nd round pick works out perfect on the value chart. Then at # 6 we could pick either Dez Bryant or Joe Haden. With 2a get Aurrelious Benn, this guy is amazing. He has all the talent and size to be great. Imagine Bryant, Benn, Stroughter, KW2 for Freeman to throw too!! At 2b (Seattle’s pick) get either Jahvid Best or Dexter McCluster. 2c get either Jerry Hughes from Tcu or DT Tyson Alahua. Our team would instantly be better and thats only the first two rounds. This is very feasible and hopefully Dominik makes some sort of trade to move down even if Suh or McCoy is still there. We need too many people to turn down a 2nd round pick to only have to move down a few spots!!

  18. JoeBucsSteveCampbell Says:

    Good stuff as always, Justin. I would be thrilled to get McCoy, who’s perfect for our defense.

    Benn is an interesting prospect at the top of R2. I like Tate as well.

  19. B From O-Town Says:

    I think its time for us to draft a dominate LB to go with a D-Lineman… I wouldn’t be too bothered if we did draft Berry at 3 though, so long as he really is the real deal… and can step up and make tackles. We really need to stop the run and I think if we can’t get a lineman, then 1st: SS, 2nd: DT/LB and 2nd: LB/DT/DE and 3rd: WR on Thursday and Friday night would be just what we need. Defense is what we need. A WR can wait till the 3rd round. Josh Freeman still needs to become more accurate and we probably should go sign a veteran WR to fill this void. There seems to alwasy be WRs in free agency but hardly ever good young lineman or SS’s available. LB’s yeah they are around, but the dominate ones usually get resigned by their teams.

    I think the draft being on Thursday and Friday night is pretty cool in itself. Gonna be fun this year.

  20. zech Says:

    I would draft mcclain at 3 cuz we need a good linebacker that’s if mccoy or suh r gone I woulnt draft berry at 3 or 6 I’m just not sold on him. Let’s see how they both do at the combine! Love to see the bucs pick up atleast 2 more 2nd rounders and some more 3rd round picks!