Commish’s Big Board

April 27th, 2011

Joe's been known to dream about what Keith Millard could do with Aldon Smith. It's ok for Bucs fans to dream.

NFL Draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski continues to share everything in his personal NFL Draft war room. Today, it’s his big board. Remember to catch “The Commish” live on WDAE-AM 620 starting at 7 p.m. on Thursday night from the Raymond James Stadium draft party. He’ll be on air through the first round, which will end about 1 a.m. Friday. And you can expect to hear the Bucs’ first round pick interviewed, and Raheem Morris and/or Mark Dominik join The Commish for a post-pick chat.

1. Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU
6’1’’ – 219 lbs – 4.32

Commish’s Take: I can’t remember another cornerback with Peterson’s combination of size and speed. Peterson’s also a huge contributor on special teams.

2. Von Miller – OLB – Texas A&M
6’3’’ – 246 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: Miller is the best pure pass rusher in this draft. Miller’s best fit is at outside linebacker in a 3-4 defense.

3. AJ Green – WR – Georgia
6’4’’ – 211 lbs – 4.50

Commish’s Take: Green’s great hands, route running, and big play ability makes him the top receiver to come out of college since Calvin Johnson.

4. Marcell Dareus – DT – Alabama
6’3’’ – 319 lbs – 4.91

Commish’s Take: Massive defensive tackle with a lot of athletic ability. I don’t think Dareus is at Ndamukong Suh’s level though.

5. Robert Quinn – DE – North Carolina
6’4’’ – 265 lbs – 4.70

Commish’s Take: Even though he missed the 2010 season, Quinn is still the premier rush end in this draft. Can play end or outside linebacker in a 3-4.

6. Julio Jones – WR – Alabama
6’3’’ – 220 lbs – 4.39

Commish’s Take: Jones is a physical freak with the potential to dominate in the NFL.  Lapses in concentration and dropped balls are only worry.

7. Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska
6’0’’ – 206 lbs – 4.43

Commish’s Take: Great pure corner with good size and speed.

8. Nick Fairley – DT – Auburn
6’4’’ – 291 lbs – 4.87

Commish’s Take: Fairley can dominate at times, but his character has come into question.  His attitude could resemble Albert Haynesworth.

9. Aldon Smith – DE – Missouri
6’4’’ – 263 lbs – 4.78

Commish’s Take: Smith has some of the best natural raw rush skills in the draft.  Could be a terror off the edge in the NFL.

10. JJ Watt – DE – Wisconsin
6’5’’ – 290 lbs – 4.83

Commish’s Take: Watt is a phenomenal athlete for someone his size. Probably fits best as a 5-technique in a 3-4 defense.

11. Cameron Jordan – DE – Cal
6’4’’ – 287 lbs – 4.78

Commish’s Take: Jordan has tremendous bloodlines with a history of the NFL.  He’s a balanced defensive end that plays the run well, but can still get after the quarterback.

12. Anthony Castonzo – OT – Boston College
6’7’’ – 311 lbs – 5.23

Commish’s Take: Castonzo’s valuable experience makes him ready to step in and start right away in the NFL.

13. Da’Quan Bowers – DE – Clemson
6’3’’ – 280 lbs – 4.85

Commish’s Take: When healthy, Bowers might be the top player in the draft. Knee issues will drop him.

14. Jimmy Smith – CB – Colorado
6’2’’ – 211 lbs – 4.46

Commish’s Take: Smith might be as talented as any player in this draft, but his questionable character will drop him on draft day. Very similar to Aqib Talib.

15. Mike Pouncey – OG – Florida
6’5’’ – 303 lbs – 5.28

Commish’s Take: After what his brother did in the NFL last year, I bet teams would love to have their own Pouncey. If he’s like his brother, Mike could be headed to many pro bowls.

16. Ryan Kerrigan – DE – Purdue
6’4’’ – 267 lbs – 4.71

Commish’s Take: Kerrigan was as productive as any player in college football over the last four years. He isn’t very flashy, but gets the job done.

17. Tyron Smith – OT – USC
6’5’’ – 307 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take: Smith has long arms and great technique, but at only 20 years old, he might have a learning curve in the NFL.

18. Corey Liuget – DT – Illinois
6’2’’ – 298 lbs – 4.99

Commish’s Take: Liuget is a one-gap penetrating defensive tackle. He’s got a good first step and compares to Gerald McCoy.

19. Cam Newton – QB – Auburn
6’5’’ – 248 lbs – 4.56

Commish’s Take: Most talented quarterback in this draft, but like all the other quarterbacks, Newton has many question marks.

20. Gabe Carimi – OT – Wisconsin
6’7’’ – 314 lbs – 5.27

Commish’s Take: Carimi is big, strong, ad physical. His best fit is at right tackle and has the potential to be a 10-year starter.

21. Kyle Rudolph – TE – Notre Dame
6’6’’ – 260 lbs – 4.78

Commish’s Take: Top tight end in the draft, Rudolph compares favorably to Rob Gronkowski or Heath Miller.  He’s a very balanced tight end that’s also a threat vertically.

22. Akeem Ayers – OLB – UCLA
6’2’’ – 254 lbs – 4.69

Commish’s Take: Ayers has a lot of natural raw talent with the potential to be great. His size and speed make him a great fit for a 3-4 defense.

23. Phil Taylor – DT – Baylor
6’3’’ – 334 lbs – 5.20

Commish’s Take: Taylor is the top nose tackle in the draft. He has the potential to take away an opponent’s inside run game. As a nose tackle, Taylor is exactly what I want; big, strong, and mean.

24. Cameron Heyward – DE – Ohio St.
6’5’’ – 294 lbs – 4.95

Commish’s Take: After dealing with an ankle injury in 2010, Heyward got healthy and was dominant in the Sugar Bowl against Arkansas. Heyward is a physical defensive lineman who does a good job against the run and taking on multiple blockers.

25. Mikel Leshoure – RB – Illinois
6’0’’ – 227 lbs – 4.59

Commish’s Take: Leshoure is a big and physical back who has great vision.

26. Blaine Gabbert – QB – Missouri
6’4’’ – 234 lbs – 4.62

Commish’s Take: Gabbert could be great, but I just have some questions on him.  Gabbert struggles with accuracy down the field. He also does not handle a rush well and tends to panic.

27. Derek Sherrod – OT – Mississippi St.
6’5’’ – 321 lbs – 5.28

Commish’s Take: Sherrod’s a balanced offensive tackle that can play on the left or right side of the line. Sherrod is much better in pass protection than he is in opening holes in the run game.

28. Justin Houston – DE/OLB – Georgia
6’3’’ – 270 lbs – 4.68

Commish’s Take: Houston has a ton of raw pass rush talent, but must get good coaching in the NFL or he could end up as a bust. Boom or bust player.

29. Muhammad Wilkerson – DT – Temple
6’4’’ – 315 lbs – 4.95

Commish’s Take: Wilkerson has the type of raw talent and potential that Jason Pierre-Paul had a year ago. He should fit into any type of defense.

30. Brooks Reed – OLB – Arizona
6’3’’ – 263 lbs – 4.68

Commish’s Take: Reed has seen his stock continue to rise throughout this whole process.  His best fit is as a 3-4 outside linebacker with his incredibly quick first steps.

31. Marvin Austin – DT – North Carolina
6’2’’ – 309 lbs – 4.91

Commish’s Take: Austin missed the entire 2010 season, but he is as talented as any defensive tackle in this draft. He could be a steal in this draft.

32. Adrian Clayborn – DE – Iowa
6’3’’ – 281 lbs – 4.83

Commish’s Take: There are a lot of questions surrounding Clayborn, but you can’t ignore his production and impact throughout his entire career at Iowa.

Just Missed:

Mark Ingram – RB – Alabama
Ryan Mallett – QB – Arkansas
Danny Watkins – OG – Baylor
Stephen Paea – DT – Oregon St
Jabaal Sheard – DE – Pitt
Benjamin Ijalana – OT – Villanova
James Carpenter – OT – Alabama

5 Responses to “Commish’s Big Board”

  1. chrisfwc...:) Says:

    Nice job. Good break downs.

    If the Bucs don’t move from #20 spot, who would like them to draft a 10+ year stud?

    #20. Gabe Carimi – OT – Wisconsin
    6’7’’ – 314 lbs – 5.27

    Commish’s Take: Carimi is big, strong, ad physical. His best fit is at right tackle and has the potential to be a 10-year starter.

    IMHO we have a problem at RT. True(Stiff)blood is out. Ill miss the days when Peppers spun you like a top. We have had a few pretty damn good Oline guys from Wisconsin. Gruber, Wunsch…Carimi (crystal ball view)
    Did Commish do this Big Board list and just happen to have Carimi at #20 or is he saying something?
    We do need D but a stud at RT would be nice too.
    I’d go for the sure thing. at #20.

  2. Apple Roof Cleaning Says:

    I have Nick Fairley of Auburn rated ahead of Darius from Alabama. This draft is going to be anyone’s guess what happens. Tampa will certainly get a few starters out of this draft.

  3. Gary Says:

    I agree with Chris. If Jordan, Smith, Watt are gone draft Pouncey or Carimi. Stay away from Bowers and Clayborne. Kerrigan, not sure.

  4. WeNeedDefense Says:

    “Just Missed:

    Mark Ingram – RB – Alabama”

    This proves you know nothing.

  5. Funky Munkey Says:

    If Camiri is there at 20, I would not mind that pick. I still believe if we stay at 20 and the top 3 DEs are gone. We should draft Jimmy Smith. I know the haters don’t like him. But the kid has stayed out of trouble, and gets nothing buts praises from coaches and from teams. Dude could of done this thing called “mature” since 07. And he is as talented a DB as Patrick Peterson. He can instantly play opposite Rhonde and hopefully a FA pick up as well. But who knows. Can’t wait….1 more day!!!!!!!!