Archive for the ‘2011 NFL Draft’ Category

Draft Buzz: Will Bucs Face Cam Newton Twice?

Tuesday, March 8th, 2011

Health concerns swirl around Daquan Bowers.

Hold on to your laptop! Leading the charge to be the No. 1 overall pick by the Carolina Panthers in April is Auburn QB Cam Newton.

That means the new and hopefully improved Bucs pass rush could get to feast on some rookie meat.

All sorts of news on that today. Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, The Commish, explains in today’s draft buzz podcast.

Click the arrow below to listen or download here.

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Remember, tomorrow is the Commish’s Inbox. So fire off your questions to him at commish@620wdae or on Facebook – Facebook.com/fairandjust.

Commish’s Draft Board II

Monday, March 7th, 2011

Donald Penn's future bookend?

So what does Mark Dominik’s big board look like now? Remember, he said he’ll stay true to it during the NFL Draft.

Today, draft Guru Justin Pawlowski, The Commish of WDAE-AM 620, fires out his second ordered look at the top players in the draft. This is no mock draft – The Commish’s next one is coming this week — it’s a look at the top talents available.

Remember all of the exclusive JoeBucsFan.com draft coverage can be found here

 

1. Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU 

            6’1’’ – 219 lbs – 4.32

Commish’s Take: Great player with great measureables. Peterson might be the safest pick in the draft. 

2. AJ Green – WR – Georgia 

            6’4’’ – 211 lbs – 4.50

Commish’s Take:  Green is considered by many scouts to be the best receiver to come out since Calvin Johnson. 

3. Marcell Dareus – DT – Alabama 

            6’3’’ – 319 lbs – 4.92

Commish’s Take:  Dareus is quickly becoming the safest defensive lineman in the draft.  He has excellent size and quickness. 

4. Robert Quinn – DE – North Carolina 

            6’4’’ – 265 lbs – 4.70

Commish’s Take:  Despite not playing in 2010, Quinn is very explosive off the edge and had one of the fastest 10-yard splits at the combine.

5. Da’Quan Bowers – DE – Clemson

            6’3’’ – 280 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take:  Bowers led the nation in sacks, but health is becoming a major concern.  If Bowers proves to be healthy and has an excellent pro day, he might end up as the top player on the board and top player selected.

 6. Nick Fairley – DT – Auburn

            6’4’’ – 291 lbs – 4.87

Commish’s Take:  Fairley probably had more questions come up on him than Cam Newton at the combine.  Fairly is still a playmaker, but quickly becoming a boom or bust prospect.

 7. Julio Jones – WR – Alabama

            6’3’’ – 220 lbs – 4.39

Commish’s Take:  Jones turned in one of the best performances at the combine this year…all on a broken foot!!  He is a unique talent, but his health and concentration are concerns.

 8. Von Miller – OLB – Texas A&M

            6’3’’ – 246 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take:  Miller is a terror off the edge and probably the most natural fit as a 3-4 outside linebacker in this draft. 

 9. Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska

            6’0’’ – 206 lbs – 4.43

Commish’s Take:  Amukamara showed off good speed at the combine and instantly saw his stock rise. 

10. JJ Watt – DE – Wisconsin

            6’5’’ – 290 lbs – 4.83

Commish’s Take:  I think everyone knew JJ Watt was big and tough, but he showed off how great of an athlete he was at the combine.  Watt has a pretty special blend of size and athleticism.  He’s a great fit as a 5-technique in a 3-4 defense.

11. Cam Newton – QB – Auburn

            6’5’’ – 248 lbs – 4.59

Commish’s Take:  Despite poor throwing at the combine, Newton’s potential is still keeping him pretty high.  He might be a risk, but the reward might be worth it if he pays off.

12. Cameron Jordan – DE – Cal.

            6’4’’ – 287 lbs – 4.78

Commish’s Take:  Jordan continued his hot off-season that started at the Senior Bowl and continued it at the combine.  Jordan could play in any defense.

 13. Aldon Smith – DE – Missouri

            6’4’’ – 263 lbs – 4.78

Commish’s Take:  Smith is becoming the hot name on the defensive side of the ball in this draft.  He’s an athletic defensive end that can rush the passer with a hand in the ground or standing up from the linebacker position.

 14. Blaine Gabbert – QB – Missouri

            6’4’’ – 234 lbs – 4.62

Commish’s Take:  Gabbert did not throw at the combine, and despite reports of good meetings with teams at the combine, his downfield throwing has concerned me.

 15. Tyron Smith – OT – USC

            6’5’’ – 307 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take:  Smith’s biggest obstacle at the combine was showing that he could bulk up.  He did just that, but did not do anything else.  His long arms and technique are quite impressive.

16. Ryan Kerrigan – DE – Purdue

            6’4’’ – 267 lbs – 4.71

Commish’s Take:  There really is a lot to like about Kerrigan.  He might not be the flashiest player, but he was productive at Purdue, he’s a leader, he had great measureables, and he has an outstanding work ethic.

 17. Muhammed Wilkerson – DT – Temple

            6’4’’ – 315 lbs – 4.96

Commish’s Take:  Wilkerson is rising quick. He can play in any defense.  His size and athleticism will become more and more intriguing to NFL front offices as we near the draft.

 18. Anthony Castonzo – OT – Boston College

            6’7’’ – 311 lbs – 5.23

Commish’s Take:  Castonzo might have the best potential at left tackle of any offensive lineman in this draft.  Castonzo showed off great athleticism in the position drills at the combine, but his lower body strength is still a concern.

 19. Gabe Carimi – OT – Wisconsin

            6’7’’ – 314 lbs – 5.27

Commish’s Take:  I really like Carimi as an offensive tackle.  He’s big, mean, and physical.  Unfortunately, I’m not sure he’ll be quick enough to play left tackle in the pros.

 20. Jimmy Smith – CB – Colorado

            6’2’’ – 211 lbs – 4.46

Commish’s Take:  Smith seems more and more like Aqib Talib to me.  He has all the talent in the world, but character concerns will drop him on draft day.

21. Martez Wilson – LB – Illinois

            6’4’’ – 250 lbs – 4.49

Commish’s Take:  It’s tough to find a better blend of size and speed in any draft.  Wilson needs to bulk up his lower body, but he is loaded with talent. I really like the way Wilson gets to the quarterback when he blitzes and refuses to be blocked.

 22. Mike Pouncey – OG – Florida

            6’5’’ – 303 lbs – 5.28

Commish’s Take:  Pouncey’s starting to rise up and should be the top interior lineman drafted.  I just wouldn’t let him do shotgun snaps.

 23. Corey Liuget – DT – Illinois

            6’2’’ – 298 lbs – 4.99

Commish’s Take:  Liuget has good balance vs. the run and pass.  He isn’t elite, but could be very solid inside for a long time.

 24. Justin Houston – DE/OLB – Georgia

            6’3’’ – 270 lbs – 4.68

Commish’s Take:  Everything I’ve seen from Houston has him using his speed around the edge.  I’ve never seen an inside move from him.  Everyone I’ve talked to about him has said the same thing.  It’s tough to only rely on speed off the edge in the NFL unless you have elite speed. Right now, Houston doesn’t have elite speed.

25. Mark Ingram – RB – Alabama

            5’9’’ – 215 lbs – 4.62

Commish’s Take:  I had to move Ingram down because I just can’t draft a running back real high unless I know he’s an elite player.  I know Ingram’s game isn’t speed, but a 4.6 in the 40-yard dash is hard to swallow from a top 10 pick.  With so many running backs having success as late picks or undrafted free agents, I’m considering removing all running backs from my 1st round board this year. 

26. Christian Ponder – QB – FSU

            6’2’’ – 229 lbs – 4.65

Commish’s Take:  As expected, Ponder was very good in the interview process at the combine.  Ponder was also one of the best throwers at the combine displaying excellent accuracy.  I am concerned about his elbow and arm strength, but his leadership, work ethic, and accuracy seem to be winning out.

 27. Adrian Clayborn – DE – Iowa

            6’3’’ – 281 lbs – 4.83

Commish’s Take:  More red flags came out at the combine on Clayborn.  First, we found out that Clayborn suffers from Erb’s Paulsy which effects one side of his body.  We then found out that Clayborn’s right arm is shorter than his left arm which forced him to only play right end at Iowa.  I still think Clayborn had good enough tape to get 1st round consideration.

28.  Phil Taylor – DT – Baylor

            6’3’’ – 334 lbs – 5.20

Commish’s Take:  Taylor’s the top nose tackle in this draft.  His mean streak might be a turnoff to some, but I love it coming from a nose tackle.

29. Nate Solder – OT – Colorado

            6’8’’ – 319 lbs – 5.05

Commish’s Take:  Solder is a converted tight end still learning to be an offensive lineman.  He has potential to be a starting left tackle in the NFL.

30. Jake Locker – QB – Washington

            6’2’’ – 231 lbs – 4.59

Commish’s Take:  Locker is back in the top 32, but for how long.  Accuracy is still a major concern for me, but his mental makeup, athleticism, and arm strength are very good.  There will be plenty of teams in the 2nd round looking to trade back into the first round for one of these QBs.

31. Akeem Ayers – OLB – UCLA

            6’2’’ – 254 lbs – 4.80

Commish’s Take:  With so many linebackers running well this year at the combine, it was surprising to see Ayers as one of the slowest.  He is still a very instinctual linebacker and a big hitter. 

32. Jonathon Baldwin – WR – Pitt

            6’4’’ – 228 lbs – 4.50

Commish’s Take:  It’s tough to not be impressed with a receiver as big as Baldwin.  He also has good speed to get deep.  He slips because of a lack of consistency.

Cream Of The Receivers And Tight Ends Crops

Friday, March 4th, 2011

Do the Bucs covet a blocking tight end like this guy?

Time for a fat sandwich from Mugs Grill & Bar and a cold, frosty beverage. The Commish, NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski of WDAE-AM 620, has rolled out his first set of position breakdowns of potential draftees: wide receivers and tight ends.

 A former Division I college player and current analyst on USF Bulls radio broadcasts, and a lifelong Bucs season ticket holder, The Commish ranks the NFL Draft hopefuls, serves up why he would and wouldn’t take a guy, and explains their potential impact on the Bucs, and who the players compare to in the NFL.

 Enjoy!

Wide Receivers 

1.     AJ Green – Georgia
6’4’’ – 211 lbs – 4.50
Top 5 pick

Why The Commish would draft him:  Green is one of those rare receivers that comes out every couple of years.  The first thing that stands out to me about Green is that he has unbelievable hands and ability to make the “wow” play. He runs nice routes and has a nice tall frame with long arms. His concentration, ability to beat press coverage, and body control are all great. I view Green as one of the safest players in this draft and a future star.

Why The Commish would stay away:  There just aren’t a lot of things to dislike about Green.  He was suspended for selling a game-worn bowl jersey for $1000, but who wouldn’t do that?  He’s not a bad guy for that.  I guess the one knock on Green would be his lack of elite downfield speed.

Impact on the Bucs:  In your dreams.

Comparison: Larry Fitzgerald – Arizona Cardinals

2.   Julio Jones – Alabama
6’3’’ – 220 lbs – 4.39
Top 10

Why The Commish would draft him:  Jones has been a highly touted athlete going all the way back to high school, and he has handled all the publicity very well.  His unique blend of size, speed, and power is enough to make any scout drool.  When the draft process first started, I thought Jones would be ideal for the Rams 3-step passing game with Sam Bradford.  Now, I don’t see any way that Jones lasts to the 14th pick.  He should be dominant in the short passing game and in yards after the catch.  Jones can also bust out the big play with his big time speed.

Why The Commish would stay away:  The first thing that worries me is Jones’ health. It seems like every year Jones gets banged up and is limited.  The other big concern is Jones’ lapses in concentration and drops.  There aren’t many more things a wide receiver can do that are more frustrating than a dropped pass.  Go ahead and ask the blocking icon about that.

Impact on the Bucs:  He’s not a legitimate option for the Bucs, but should be dynamic for whomever drafts him in the top 10.

Comparison: Andre Johnson – Houston Texans

3.     Jonathon Baldwin – Pitt
6’5’’ – 228 lbs – 4.50
1st Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  There are two things you just can’t teach in the NFL…speed and size.  Baldwin’s size makes him a mismatch every time he steps on the field.  Baldwin has shown a good work ethic on the field and in the weight room.  He also showed a dedication in the classroom as he was on the Big East All-Academic team in 2009.  With his huge frame, Baldwin is great at tracking the ball in the air and going up to get it.

Why The Commish would stay away:  As much as I like Baldwin’s size and downfield speed, he isn’t very quick in and out of his breaks and struggles to get open. It’s hard to have overwhelming faith in a receiver that doesn’t get open.  Route running and agility can be so underrated sometimes. Although the charges were dropped, Baldwin was arrested in the spring of 2009 for misdemeanor assault.

Impact on the Bucs:  With bigger receivers like Mike Williams, Dezmon Briscoe, and Arrelious Benn already on the roster, I’m not quite sure Baldwin would be a good fit with the Bucs.

Comparison:  Marques Colston – New Orleans Saints

4.     Titus Young – Boise St.
5’11’’ – 174 lbs – 4.53
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Young is a big play waiting to happen. He did not display elite straight line speed, but he is as shifty as any receiver in this class. Young also displays traits of a great return man that he can and does use as a receiver. He’s got very soft hands, great vision, and has a great burst out of cuts. 

Why The Commish would stay away:  Arrogance and maturity issues are the main concerns I continue to hear with Young. His size is also a concern when comparing him to the other bigger receivers in this class. Also, although Young is very shifty as a receiver, I wonder if he has enough strength to beat press coverage.

Impact on the Bucs:  The Bucs missed on Desean Jackson a few years back by just a few picks and settled on Dexter Jackson instead.  The Bucs do have a need for speed at the receiver position, but I would only think about Young if he fell to the Bucs pick in the 2nd round.

Comparison: Desean Jackson – Philadelphia Eagles

5.     Torrey Smith – Maryland
6’1’’ – 204 lbs – 4.43
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I know speed isn’t the only thing, but it kills.  Smith is loaded with speed all over the field.  He reaches his top speed quickly off the line of scrimmage and does an excellent job at locating the ball in the air and making big plays down the field.  I love Smith’s character as he was the oldest of 7 children to a single mom growing up, and at a young age had to become a father figure to his brothers and sisters.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Much like Darrius Heyward-Bey, who was out of Maryland a few years back, Smith is a very raw receiver who still has a lot to learn.  He must become a better route runner and learn how to beat press coverage.  He is a vertical threat, but struggles with quickness and agility in and out of breaks in underneath routes.

Impact on the Bucs:  Smith might be someone the Bucs take a look at if he lasts to their pick in the 2nd round.  Smith’s speed is something the Bucs would like to incorporate into their offense, but Smith’s limitations might force the Bucs to stay away and address other needs.

Comparison:  Darrius Heyward-Bey – Oakland Raiders

6.     Leonard Hankerson – Miami
6’2’’ – 209 lbs – 4.43
2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  There’s something about Miami receivers and the ability they bring.  Hankerson has the size and showed off some nice speed at the combine.  I like his long arms and strong hands that allow him to make some impressive catches.  Hankerson has been around for a while, so he’s a mature player with good leadership skills.  He also displays a good physical nature to his game and is not afraid to go over the middle.

Why The Commish would stay away:  The main issue with Hankerson heading into the NFL is his lack of ability to get separation and get open.  He lacks burst, quickness, and agility in and out of his breaks.  These weaknesses also hurt him in runs after the catch and in the return game.  Hankerson is a possession receiver with some speed, but probably won’t be a big play receiver in the NFL.

Impact on the Bucs:  Hankerson is an intriguing player who has seen his stock raise in this process so far.  Remember, the Bucs don’t just need any type of receiver.  If they get one, it will be a receiver of the quicker and shiftier variety.

Comparison:  Donald Driver – Green Bay Packers

7.     Jerrel Jernigan – Troy
5’9’’ – 186 lbs – 4.46
2nd/3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Jernigan can be special at times with the ball in his hands.  He is a wide receiver in the body of a running back.  He is very strong for his size and has great vision and balance.  He should be a very good contributor as a returner.  Coming from a small school in Troy, Jernigan possesses the work ethic it takes to be great.  He also is very tough and durable for a man his size.  As for his receiving ability, he possesses nice soft hands and is a quick receiver who accelerates well in and out of his breaks.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Jernigan’s going to be pretty raw as a receiver and need to learn a lot when it comes to running routes in the NFL.  His size and overall strength are a concern as they might limit his role in the NFL.  Jernigan will have a tough time beating press coverage and might be forced to be a slot receiver in the NFL.

Impact on the Bucs:  This sounds about right for the Bucs.  Jernigan is the shifty, quick, and speedy receiver the Bucs are looking for.  With Jernigan’s ability after the catch, you have to wonder if he’ll have a future in the “Wildcat” in the NFL as well.  Jernigan should be available to the Bucs in the 2nd round, but I doubt he makes it to them in the 3rd round.

Comparison:  Steve Smith – Carolina Panthers

8.    Greg Little – North Carolina
6’3’’ – 231 lbs – 4.53
2nd/3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Little is a special receiver with a great blend of size and speed.  He was one of those players from North Carolina who missed all of 2010.  Little is anything but little.  He is a very powerful player and runs with purpose with the ball in his hands.  He is a former running back with the natural ability to grab the ball out of the air.  Watching Little on film, he just looks the part of a number one receiver.  Hopefully, you know what I mean by that!

Why The Commish would stay away:  Sitting out an entire season is always worrisome even if Little showed up in great shape to the combine.  He is raw as a route runner and still has a lot to learn about getting open in the NFL.  He doesn’t really have the burst to make big plays with his feet.  Also, at the combine, Tony Pauline of SI.com reported that Little was caught in a lie by multiple teams and that he might not even be drafted.  Tony Pauline was the only person to report this.

Impact on the Bucs:  I really like Little as a player on the field, but I don’t think he’s a great fit for the Bucs.  His lack of speed is a shortfall in the area the Bucs need most.

Comparison:  Hakeem Nicks – New York Giants

9.     Randall Cobb – Kentucky
5’10’’ – 191 lbs – 4.46
2nd/3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I like Cobb for his quickness and good understanding of underneath routes.  He seems to know where and when to sit done in the soft part of a zone.  His quickness is also an asset after he catches the ball as the first defender rarely brings him down.  Cobb was a former duel-threat QB in high school, so the Wildcat becomes a major option with him.  No pun intended with “option”.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Cobb does have the quickness, but he is much better underneath than he is at getting deep.  His lack of size might force him down to the slot a majority of the time.  Cobb is a solid player, but not an elite player, yet.

Impact on the Bucs:  I like the quickness, but the I feel the Bucs need the quickness mixed with some deep speed to loosen up a defense.  With that being said, Cobb would be a bad option in the 2nd/3rd round. I’d prefer 3rd round though!

Comparison:  Antwan Randle-El – Pittsburgh Steelers

10. DeAndre Brown – Southern Miss 
6’6’’ – 233 lbs – 4.59

3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  With a frame like what Brown has, it’s hard to not like that on a receiver. The scary part is that his frame will allow him to continue to mature physically. Brown can stretch the field vertically too as he tends to gain speed as he works his way down the field.  To go with his big frame, Brown has long arms and knows how to use his size and go up to get the ball. There might be a lot of potential with Brown.

Why The Commish would stay away:  There are major red flags and question marks with Brown.  We’ll start with his inability to stay healthy.  As a freshman, Brown broke his leg so bad in the final game of the season that he had to miss the beginning of his sophomore year.  He then missed more time in 2009 due to a shoulder injury.  Finally, he missed 7 games this last season with a leg strain.  Character is also a major concern as he has had his work ethic questioned and has had run-ins with coaches from Southern Miss.

Impact on the Bucs:  A lot of potential here, but I would pass and I think the Bucs will do the same.

Comparison: Terrell Owens – Free Agent

Tight Ends
1.      Kyle Rudolph – Notre Dame
6’6’’ – 259 lbs – DNP
2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Rudolph seems to be the complete package at tight end. I really like how athletic he is with his big frame.  He has excellent hands and runs nice smooth routes. Rudolph also has nice long arms and is very good as a blocker. He has the ability, if healthy, to come in and contribute right away in the NFL.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Health is a huge concern. Rudolph’s 2009 season ended early because of a shoulder injury and his season came to an end early last season because of a hamstring injury. 

Impact on the Bucs:  The Bucs have a need for depth at tight end, but pairing an oft-injured Rudolph with another TE with injury woes, Kellen Winslow, is probably not the best idea. 

Comparison:  Heath Miller  – Pittsburgh Steelers

2.     Luke Stocker – Tennessee
6’5’’ – 258 lbs – 4.79
3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Stocker’s the big blocker at tight end in this draft.  He is a very good pass protector and excellent in picking up blitzes.  Stocker also has real nice power in the run game.  In the passing game, Stocker has a nice release off the line and reliable hands.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Stocker is no threat in the pass game.  He lumbers as he runs and will not break long plays.

Impact on the Bucs:  With the possible loss of John Gilmore, the Bucs would have a need for a tight end that can assist in blocking.

Comparison:  Jim Kleinsasser – Minnesota Vikings

3.     Lance Kendricks – Wisconsin
6’3’’ – 243 lbs – 4.75
3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Kendricks is a nice receiver with much better quickness than speed.  He has soft hands and can be very reliable in the pass game.  Kendricks lacks great size, but gives great effort in blocking and has nice toughness.  I think Kendricks could deceptively attack the seem of an opposing defense.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Kendricks lacks elite size for a tight end which has led to many nagging injuries.  Kendricks has shown a tendancy to drop some very catchable balls.

Impact on the Bucs:  This is the type of tight end I could see the Bucs target in the 3rd or 4th round.  Kendricks is a solid tight end who would add nice depth for the Bucs.

Comparison:  Fred Davis – Washington Redskins

4.     DJ Williams – Arkansas
6’2’’ – 245 lbs – 4.67

3rd/4th Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Williams is a threat in the passing game.  Arkansas used him in many ways at tight end and split out as a receiver.  Williams can definitely stretch the seem and add a dimension to an offense that might not be there.  Williams has a great work ethic and was a leader for the Razorbacks.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Williams does not have very good size.  He also does not bring much as a blocker.

Impact on the Bucs:  I could definitely see the Bucs targeting Williams in the middle rounds.  He fits the mold of the type of player the Bucs look for and would give them the depth they need at the position.

Comparison:  Aaron Hernandez – New England Patriots

5.     Virgil Green – Nevada
6’3’’ – 249 lbs – 4.64
3rd/4th Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I really like Green as a receiver.  He has great speed and showed great explosion at the combine.  Green had the highest vertical and longest broad jump by far of any tight end at the combine. His film shows him with excellent speed in the pass game and long arms with big hands. 

Why The Commish would stay away:  Blocking is not Green’s strong suit.  He can get in the way of defenders and position himself well, but struggles to hold the block for any period of time.  I also would like him to become a better route runner.  He tends to rely on his athleticism to get open, which won’t work in the pros.

Impact on the Bucs:  I like what I’ve seen on Green.  I think he could be a very solid developmental tight end and add needed depth for the Bucs.  I think it is realistic to think that the Bucs could target him in the 4th round and be able to get him.

Comparison:  Vernon Davis – San Francisco 49ers

Commish’s Inbox: Houston, Wilson, Moch & More

Thursday, March 3rd, 2011

You got draft questions? NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, the Commish of WDAE-AM 620, has answers.

Pawlowski takes on all things draft from Joe’s readers in his weekly mailbag. Fun stuff.

Today he gets into all kinds of defensive players the Bucs could be sniffing intensely and more.

Click the arrow below or download here.

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To get a question to The Commish, fire it off to commish@620wdae.com or via Facebook.com/fairandjust.

Top 5 Picks By Position

Wednesday, March 2nd, 2011

Joe wonders who new Bucs defensive line coach Keith Millard likes among this year's crop of defensive ends. Will he have a voice in the Bucs' process?

As a preview to his detailed position-by-position breakdowns, NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, The Commish of WDAE-AM 620, serves up his top five potential draftees by position following the NFL Scouting combine. It’s all part of Joe’s exclusive daily draft coverage.

Joe’s got an idea. Pick up a pile of the best wings in Pinellas County from Mugs Grill & Bar in Clearwater, grab a cold one and enjoy. Pawlowski also answers your draft questions later today here in the Commish’s Inbox podcast.

By JUSTIN PAWLOWSKI

Quarterbacks
1. Cam Newton – Auburn
2. Blaine Gabbert – Missouri
3. Christian Ponder – FSU
4. Jake Locker – Washington
5. Ryan Mallett – Arkansas
5. Colin Kaepernick – Nevada

Despite poor throwing at the combine, I still think Newton has the most potential.  This class of QBs has a ton of questions.  An interesting stat on Gabbert was that his completion percentage on throws more than 20 yards down the field was 30%.  Yuck.  Ponder and Locker were great at the combine.  Locker’s lack of accuracy and Ponder’s elbow still have me concerned. Mallett and Kaepernick have the strongest arms, but Mallet’s character issues are too much for me to ignore.

Running Backs
1. Mark Ingram – Alabama
2. Mikel Leshoure – Illinois
3. Ryan Williams – Va. Tech
4. Daniel Thomas – Kansas St.
5. Demarco Murray – Oklahoma

Ingram did not show very good speed at the combine, but that wasn’t really his strength. Leshoure is a big back with great vision.  Ryan Williams consistent health worries me.  With all that being said, I think the gap between these three RBs has narrowed. Thomas is another big back who will have a lot riding on his pro day, since he did not work out at the combine.  Murray had a nice combine and is a nice balanced back that can do a lot of things well.

Wide Receivers
1. AJ Green – Georgia
2. Julio Jones – Alabama
3. Jonathon Baldwin – Pitt.
4. Titus Young – Boise St.
5. Torrey Smith – Maryland

Green is still tops on this list because of his outstanding production and hands while at Georgia. Julio Jones was simply outstanding at the combine and might have done it all on a broken foot.  He will have surgery and not work out again before the draft.  Baldwin’s size and ability to be a go-to receiver separates him from the speed receivers in Titus Young and Torrey Smith.

Tight Ends
1. Kyle Rudolph – Notre Dame
2. Luke Stocker – Tennessee
3. Lance Kendricks – Wisconsin
4. DJ Williams – Arkansas
5. Virgil Green – Nevada

Kyle Rudolph didn’t workout in Indy, but he still keeps his status as the top tight end in this class.  Stocker and Kendricks are balanced tight ends that can block and catch the football.  DJ Williams had a nice combine and can stretch the middle of the field, but Green’s combine was outstanding and could start to see his stock really rise as people go back and watch his film.

Offensive Tackles
1. Tyron Smith – USC
2. Gabe Carimi – Wisconsin
3. Nate Solder – Colorado
4. Anthony Castonzo – Boston College

5.Derek Sherrod – Miss. St.
5. Marcus Cannon – TCU (OG)

There wasn’t much separation at offensive tackle at the combine.  I thought all the top choices were good, but no one was outstanding.  Smith showing up at 307 lbs after playing at 285 lbs was maybe the biggest positive for any lineman, especially with his extremely long arms.  Castonzo was great in drills and still probably projects as the best potential left tackle in this class.  I like Carimi’s toughness and strength.  I really think he could be very solid at right tackle in the NFL for a number of years.

Offensive Guards/Centers
1. Mike Pouncey – Florida
2. Danny Watkins – Baylor
3. Rodney Hudson – FSU
4. Stefan Wisniewski – Penn St.
5. Clint Boling – Georgia

This was another position where not much happened.  I don’t see Pouncey getting out of the 1st round.  I doubt the Steelers would pass at the opportunity to pair him up with his brother again.  Watkins was very solid and is tall enough to play guard or tackle.  Hudson and Wisniewski did enough to earn themselves 2nd round grades.

Defensive Ends
1. Robert Quinn – North Carolina
2. Da’Quan Bowers – Clemson
3. Aldon Smith – Missouri
4. JJ Watt – Wisconsin
5. Cameron Jordan – Cal.
5. Ryan Kerrigan – Purdue

I figured I would go ahead and make the switch.  I like Bowers and think he is a very good player, but there are as many questions with him as there is with any other defensive end.  Quinn is more explosive than Bowers and that might end up being the biggest difference between the 2.  Aldon Smith did not disappoint, and, as predicted, his stock is going up.  Another guy’s stock going up is JJ Watt.  He is a monster and could be the top 5-technique for a 3-4 defense in this draft. I thought Jordan and Kerrigan both tested very well.

Defensive Tackles
1. Marcell Dareus – Alabama
2. Nick Fairley – Auburn
3. Corey Liuget – Illinois
4. Muhammed Wilkerson – Temple
5. Stephen Paea – Oregon St.

Another tight race at this position.  This is also another reason the combine is important.  When you watch the film, both Fairly and Dareus are very good. When they line up at the combine, Dareus is 30 lbs heavier than Fairly, but just as fast and has better burst of the line of scrimmage. Dareus could now be in the mix for the 1st pick.  Paea was the strongest player at the combine, but I like the potential of Liuget and Wilkerson a little more than Paea.

Outside Linebackers
1. Von Miller – Texas A&M
2. Justin Houston – Georgia
3. Akeem Ayers – UCLA
4. Dontay Moch – Nevada
5. Bruce Carter – North Carolina

Von Miller was one of the top performers at the combine and will not get passed the Cardinals in the draft.  Justin Houston also confirmed what I thought before the combine that he was the 2nd best linebacker in this draft.  He was outstanding and can play end or outside linebacker.  Ayers’ times weren’t good, but his production is enough for a 1st round grade.  One of my favorite players form the combine was Dontay Moch with his 4.44 time in the 40 at 248 lbs.

Inside Linebackers
1. Martez Wilson – Illinois
2. Colin McCarthy – Miami
3. Nate Irving – NC St.
4. Greg Jones – Michigan St.
5. Kelvin Sheppard – LSU

Wilson confirmed what I thought of him and answered questions of his speed with an exclamation point. At 6’4’’ and 250 lbs, Wilson ran his 40 at 4.49.  Colin McCarthy is as safe at middle a]linebacker as anyone else in this draft.  He’s not the flashiest player, but does get the job done. The rest of this position is not very flashy.

Cornerbacks
1. Patrick Peterson – LSU
2. Prince Amukamara – Nebraska
3. Jimmy Smith – Colorado
4. Aaron Williams – Texas
5. Brandon Harris – Miami

The top of the corner class is big and fast.  Peterson is as safe a pick as anyone in this draft. The big surprise was Prince Amukamara, with questions of his speed, running in the 4.4 range.  Jimmy Smith has plenty of character questions, but at 6’2’’ and over 200 lbs he ran in the low 4.4 range as well. Aaron Williams has great bloodlines and could be in the mold of a physical corner like Aaron Ross.  Brandon Harris’ stock is starting to slip and there are plenty of candidates to take his slot in the top 5.

Safeties
1. Rahim Moore – UCLA
2. Quinton Carter – Oklahoma
3. DeAndre McDaniel – Clemson
4. Deunta Williams – North Carolina
5. Robert Sands – West Virginia

There wasn’t a more disappointing position this weekend than the safety position.  Yuck!  Moore is the best of a very mediocre class, but he ran his 40 at 4.62 and has just decent ball skills.  Carter and McDaniel both also ran in the 4.6’s, but both are decent tacklers.  Ahmad Black falls off my top 5 because of his size (5’9’’ 184 lbs) and his speed after he ran his 40-yard dashes at 4.78 and 4.74. That’s just not a good combination. Don’t be shocked if only one safety goes in the first two rounds of the draft this year.

“You Stupid People”

Tuesday, March 1st, 2011

Justin Houston helped himself at the combine. Did he catch Mark Dominik's eye? The Commish, Justin Pawlowski, NFL Draft guru extraordinaire, explains all this and more.

Before giving a great breakdown of defensive players’ performance and buzz coming out of the just completed NFL Scouting Combine, draft guru The Commish, Justin Pawlowski, explains why only clueless observers would find the combine meaningless.

The Commish is fiesty today.

If you didn’t pay attention to any defensive players at the combine, you’ll get up to speed fast in this podcast.

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Don’t forget all Pawlowski’s exclusive draft coverage on JoeBucsFan.com is archived here. He’ll also answer your draft questions here on Wednesday. Fire them off to him at commish@620wdae.com.

Draft Buzz: Offense In The Books At Combine

Monday, February 28th, 2011

Among many other topics, draft guru Justin Pawlowski says keep an eye out for speedy Delone Carter, if you're looking for a mid-round impact running back.

It’s all things combine in this draft buzz podcast from NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, of WDAE-AM 620.

If you weren’t paying attention to the NFL Scouting Combine on NFL Network or on NFL.com this weekend, then you can catch up quickly in this great breakdown.

Pawlowski’s been all over the combine, where every offensive player has completed their workouts.

Just click the arrow or download here. Joe hopes you’re enjoying the daily draft coverage on JoeBucsFan.com.

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Dominik: We’ll “Stay True To Our Board”

Sunday, February 27th, 2011

Ahh, the professional draft spin and posturing are in full swing. Joe loves all the gamesmanship.

Speaking before a gaggle of reporters at the NFL Scouting Combine the other day (shown on Buccaneers.com), Mark Dominik said many have wrongly “pigeonholed” the Bucs regarding their focus is entering the 2011 draft.

“I don’t think a lot of people thought we’d take two defensive tackles back to back. We’re going to use the draft and stay true to our board and make sure we can take the best player who can help us. And it may not be the position that everbody thinks we’re supposed to take first, but it’s going to be the best one that we think’s going to help our football team, not only in 2011 but going forward.”

So outside of quarterback and defensive tackle, Dominik would have Bucs fans believe he’ll take the best player available when the bell rings for Tampa Bay in the first round.

Maybe that’s true?

Combine Buzz: Corners And Safeties Arrive

Saturday, February 26th, 2011

How tall is Ahmad Black? The wrong answer could put him in a freefall.

Who needs the beach when you can watch football? Well, it’s not quite football, but it’s the NFL Scouting Combine on NFL Network. The drills kicked off today with offensive linemen.

Joe loves watching all the manbeasts do all kinds of things they’ll never have to do on the field.

Just arriving at the combine today are safeties and cornerbacks.

Do the Bucs need a safety? Might they grab a “luxury pick” at cornerback if the right guy is available?

NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, of WDAE-AM 620, shares some secondary names to watch combine in this podcast exclusively for JoeBucsFan.com.

Who says there’s no football this time of year!

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Draft Buzz: Watch Out For Greg Romeus

Friday, February 25th, 2011

Pay attention, Bucs fans, reporting to the NFL Scouting Combine today are linebackers and defensive linemen.

Boy, the Bucs could use a couple of blue chip studs from this crop.

NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowksi, of WDAE-AM 620, shares insight on a lot of these guys, including a chat he had with Dave Wannstadt about University of Pittsburgh end Greg Romeus. Pawlowski is a radio analyst for USF Football games and typically has incredible insight into Big East players long before anyone else.

About this time last year, Pawlowski was banging the drum on these here pages for Mike Williams.

Click the arrow below to enjoy, or click here to download. A must listen.

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And remember, Joe brings the Bucs/draft coverage every day. Keep coming back all weekend long.

Draft Buzz: QBs, RBs And WRs At Combine

Thursday, February 24th, 2011

Can Jake Locker rise up?

Real deal draft guru Justin Pawlowski, of WDAE-AM 620, gives you the lowdown on the skill position big guns as they show up in Indianapolis today to get scrutinized at the NFL Scouting combine in beautiful Indiana.

(When are they going to get that thing moved to the FruitDome?)

Pawlowski’s podcast is great stuff to get you fired up for all the combine coverage on the NFL Network.

Enjoy! Click the arrow below or click here to download.

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Commish’s Inbox: Will The Bucs Snatch A Safety?

Wednesday, February 23rd, 2011

You’ve got draft questions? NFL draft guru Justin Pawlowski takes them on with passion every Wednesday here at JoeBucsFan.com.

Everything draft is on the table. You can hit him up at commish@620WDAE.com.

In this mailbag, Pawlowski talks about the Bucs and the possibility of safeties Ahmad Black or Quinton Carter becoming Buccaneers, among other topics.

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