It’s a manbeast of a mock draft, and it’s intelligent, focused and full of great insight.

Here’s draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski’s latest mock draft — 4,500 words for the draft lover in need of a fix. All part of the exclusive draft coverage on JoeBucsFan.com.

1st Round

1. Carolina Panthers – Cam Newton – QB – Auburn
6’5’’ – 248 lbs – 4.59
Needs: CB, DT, DE, WR, QB

Commish’s Take: Despite how great Blaine Gabbert’s scripted pro day was, I’m ok sticking with Newton for the 1st overall pick. The Panthers have been rumored to be choosing among eight prospects for the No.1 pick, but I think it will ultimately come down to Cam Newton, Blaine Gabbert, Marcel Dareus, or trading down. Right now, the Panthers might be the most unpredictable team in this draft.

2. Denver Broncos – Marcell Dareus – DT – Alabama
6’3’’ – 319 lbs – 4.92
Needs: DT, DE, CB, S

Commish’s Take: Mike Mayock said that scouts “everywhere” would consider it an upset if the Broncos passed on Marcell Dareus. I would have to agree with that. First, the Broncos seem ok with their defensive ends. Also, John Fox tends to like bigger defensive tackles in the middle of his defense.

3. Buffalo Bills – Von Miller – OLB – Texas A&M
6’3’’ – 246 lbs – 4.49
Needs: DE, QB, WR, LB

Commish’s Take: Recent criticism of Aaron Maybin by head coach Chan Gailey might be foreshadowing what the Bills will do. I think quarterback and defensive end could also be under consideration, but Von Miller could be the terror off the edge that the Bills thought they had in Maybin.

4. Cincinnati Bengals – Julio Jones – WR – Alabama
6’3’’ – 220 lbs – 4.39
Needs: WR, QB, DT

Commish’s Take: Peter King has recently reported that the Bengals have Julio Jones rated higher on their board than AJ Green. This rumor has since been echoed by many others. The real question will be whether the Bengals take a receiver or a quarterback. I’m of the opinion that the quarterbacks in this draft have way more questions than the receivers. With the Bengals going to a Gruden-run west-coast offense, I think they could eye a Ponder, Kaepernick, or Andy Daulton in the 2nd round and get any of those QBs a receiver to throw to in the 1st.

5. Arizona Cardinals – Blaine Gabbert – QB – Missouri
6’4’’ – 234 lbs – 4.62
Needs: OLB, CB, OT, QB

Commish’s Take: I’ve never seen such an overreaction on Twitter than when Gabbert had his pro day. I think Gabbert is a good quarterback, but to say that his pro day was one of the best pro days ever and that he was a future elite QB because he threw to receivers without a defense is a little ridiculous. Gabbert was best at Missouri with a spread out offense and underneath passes. I see a lot of Missouri’s offense in Arizona’s offense. Downfield accuracy and handling the pressure of a defensive line are Gabbert’s two biggest weaknesses.

6. Cleveland Browns – AJ Green – WR – Georgia
6’4’’ – 211 lbs – 4.50
Needs: WR, DE, OLB, TE, NT

Commish’s Take: There have been a lot of rumblings of the Browns looking to a defensive lineman here because of their shift back to a 4-3 defense with defensive coordinator Dick Jauron. That said, how could two offensive-minded guys in Mike Holmgren and Pat Shurmur pass on a player many believe to be the top offensive player in the entire draft. Green can be an elite receiver very early in his career. As much as the Browns might need a defensive lineman, they could use a big time threat on offense as well.

7. San Francisco 49ers – Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU
6’0’’ – 219 lbs – 4.34
Needs: QB, DE, OLB, CB, S

Commish’s Take: As much as I think Peterson should go before this pick, every time I write out mock draft, I always have him falling to the 49ers lap. I don’t think corners are quite as valuable as they once were in the NFL as they are only involved in about 12-15 plays max a game. The 49ers have a need at corner, so I just can’t see any way that Peterson would get past this pick.

8. Tennessee Titans – Nick Fairley – DT – Auburn
6’4’’ – 291 – 4.87
Needs: DT, CB, QB, OG

Commish’s Take: After grabbing Derrick Morgan last year, the Titans need to address their interior defensive line this year. Fairley is now being labeled as a boom-or-bust prospect. I definitely think Fairley is worth a shot if he falls to the Titans here. If Fairley becomes a “boom,” he could have a similar impact that Albert Haynesworth had on the Titans defense a few years back.

9. Dallas Cowboys – Tyron Smith – OT – USC
6’5’’ – 307 lbs – DNP
Needs: DE, OT, OG, CB, S

Commish’s Take: I thought real hard about a defensive player with this pick, but with Jason Garrett as the head coach and Jerry Jones wanting excitement, I figured the Cowboys would look to protect Tony Romo and give this offense a chance to explode. Smith is a top tackle in this draft and should be able to step in right away and improve the Cowboys poor offensive line.

10. Washington Redskins – Robert Quinn – DE – North Carolina
6’4’’ – 265 lbs – 4.70
Needs: QB, WR, DE, OLB

Commish’s Take: The popular pick for the Redskins has been either a receiver or a quarterback, but the thought of Robert Quinn and Brian Orakpo coming off opposite corners is pretty exciting. Quinn is an outstanding pass rusher and is an immediate upgrade over the departed Andre Carter. There have been reports that some teams are scared of a benign tumor on Quinn’s brain. If both top receivers are off the board, I do think this pick comes down to reaching on a QB or picking a defensive lineman.

11. Houston Texans – Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska
6’0’’ – 206 lbs – 4.43
Needs: OLB, DE, CB, WR

Commish’s Take: When I consider options for the Texans, I just continuously go back to how poor their pass defense was in 2010 and the decision becomes quite clear. Sure, a pass rusher would be great, but at this point, Quinn and Miller are gone and one of the top corners is still on the board. Amukamara should be able to step in and start opposite of Kareem Jackson for years to come.

12. Minnesota Vikings – Jake Locker – QB – Washington
6’2’’ – 231 lbs – 4.59
Needs: QB, DE, OT, OG

Commish’s Take: I’m starting to think the Vikings have dug themselves into a little bit of a desperate mess with the 12th pick. I think they are starved for a quarterback, and unless they trade up for Newton or Gabbert, they’ll probably be reaching with the 12th pick. I think the decision comes down to Locker or Mallett. Really, the question is a lack of accuracy vs. bad character. With character being so important in the NFL, I have the Vikings leaning to Locker right now. In the end, I think Mallett might be a better fit for what new Vikings offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave wants to do on offense.

13. Detroit Lions – Da’Quan Bowers – DE – Clemson
6’3’’ – 280 lbs – DNP
Needs: OT, CB, OLB, DE

Commish’s Take: Defensive end isn’t a big need at all for the Lions, but if one of the top players in the draft falls to you with the 13th pick, you have to consider him. Rumors continue to swirl about Bowers’ knee and how he played through injury at the end of last year and was favoring the knee at time. I still point to Bowers’ pro day on April 1st as one of the most important pro days this year. A good and healthy pro day could vault Bowers back into the top 5. For now, I don’t think the Lions would mind putting Bowers on the same defensive line as Ndamukong Suh.

14 St. Louis Rams – Aldon Smith – DE – Missouri
6’4’’ – 263 lbs – 4.78
Needs: WR, TE, DE, DT

Commish’s Take: With the top 2 WRs off the board, I think the Rams will look to improve their defensive line. Corey Liuget or Muhammad Wilkerson make a lot of sense for the defensive tackle position. I have them taking Aldon Smith as a local product who really fits the type of defensive lineman Steve Spagnuolo seeks. If the receivers are gone, I do think this pick could come down to Aldon Smith at end vs. Muhammad Wilkerson inside.

15. Miami Dolphins – Mark Ingram – RB – Alabama
5’9’’ – 215 lbs – 4.62
Needs: RB, OT, NT, QB

Commish’s Take: I would’ve liked the idea of drafting an offensive tackle and moving Vernon Carey inside to guard, but the Dolphins have squashed that idea. Mike Pouncey could be a legitimate option to address the interior of the Dolphins offensive line, but with Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams as free agents, the Dolphins might not be able to wait to address their need at running back. Ingram would bring fresh legs, a great work ethic, and leadership to the Dolphins offense. Remember, the Dolphins do not have a 2nd round pick in this year’s draft.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars – JJ Watt – DE – Wisconsin
6’5’’ – 290 lbs – 4.82
Needs: DE, OLB, S, WR, OG

Commish’s Take: I think that Jack Del Rio has fallen into a trap in the past of taking defensive ends with potential as pass rushers rather than just taking the solid player. I think JJ Watt could be very good in the NFL. He is big, strong, and very athletic. I think Watt is a good fit for anyone’s defense, and I’d probably be pretty surprised if he lasted this long, but you never know.

17. N. E. Patriots (via OAK) – Mike Pouncey – OG – Florida
6’5’’ – 303 lbs – 5.28
Needs: DE, OLB, WR, RB, OL

Commish’s Take: You can never discount the connection between Bill Belichick and Urban Meyer. The Patriots have taken a lot of Gators the past few years, what’s one more? The Patriots have needs along their offensive line and Pouncey could help them at guard or center. There aren’t many players right now with more hype than Mike Pouncey.

18. San Diego Chargers – Ryan Kerrigan – DE – Purdue
6’4’’ – 267 lbs – 4.71
Needs: LB, DE, RT, WR

Commish’s Take: Supposedly, the Chargers are in love with Ryan Kerrigan. AJ Smith, their general manager, has only gone to three pro days so far, and Kerrigan’s was one of them. The Chargers have big needs at the linebacker positions, and all signs point to Kerrigan coming in and playing outside linebacker in the Chargers 3-4 defense.

19. New York Giants – Anthony Castonzo – OT – Boston College
6’7’’ – 311 lbs – 5.23
Needs: OT, MLB, OG, DT

Commish’s Take: Tom Coughlin loves his boys from Boston College. Castonzo has tremendous potential as a left tackle in the NFL. He has outstanding body movement and technique. He needs to get his legs stronger, but his work ethic will never be a question, so I have no doubt he’ll improve that strength. The Giants have to find a way to protect Eli Manning.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Cameron Jordan – DE – Cal.
6’4’’ – 287 lbs – 4.78
Needs: DE, LB, OT, OG, speed on offense

Commish’s Take: I think with the 20th pick, the Bucs are at a spot where they just need, and will probably get, one guy to fall to them. The way this mock draft fell out, Cameron Jordan ended up being that guy. What I like about Jordan is that he is big enough to play left defensive end and quick enough off the edge to play right end. The Bucs have always liked versatile defensive linemen and I think Jordan would be one of the ideal picks for the Bucs in this draft. The Bucs say that they aren’t locked into a defensive end, but it would be tough not to be in this draft and with how their ends played last year. With Quinn and Bowers slipping a bit, I wouldn’t be shocked if the Bucs targeted one of those guys, and traded up to ensure they get him. Who knows, Jordan might be that target and he fell right into the Bucs lap in this mock draft.

21. Kansas City Chiefs – Phil Taylor – NT – Baylor
6’3’’ – 334 lbs – 5.20
Needs: OLB, NT, OT, WR, OG

Commish’s Take: The Chiefs have really done a good job of piecing together their team. I love the additions they have made through the draft the past couple years. I think one main need the Chiefs need to address is at nose tackle for their 3-4 defense. They need their Casey Hampton in the middle. Phil Taylor is a mammoth defensive tackle who is also very athletic for his size. I was surprised when people said his stock might fall because he’s mean. I don’t know about you, but I want my 6-3, 334-pound nose tackle to be the meanest player on any field.

22. Indianapolis Colts – Derek Sherrod – OT – Miss. St.
6’5’’ – 321 lbs – 5.21
Needs: OL, CB, LB

Commish’s Take: The Colts have admitted to regretting on passing on an offensive tackle in last year’s draft. I can’t see them making that same mistake twice. The Colts need to do a better job of protecting Peyton Manning and opening holes in the run game. I think Sherrod could come in and start at left tackle for the Colts right away. Sherrod is big and physical, and also equally good in run blocking as he is in pass protection.

23. Philadelphia Eagles – Jimmy Smith – CB – Colorado
6’2’’ – 211 lbs – 4.46
Needs: CB, OT, OG, OLB

Commish’s Take: If we’re speaking of just talent, Jimmy Smith is a top 10 pick. Smith’s character will drop him a bit, but a team with a big need at corner like the Eagles will have to think long and hard about passing on him. Smith and Asante Samuel would give the Eagles a very nice pair of corners.

24. New Orleans Saints – Martez Wilson – LB – Illinois
6’4’’ – 250 lbs – 4.49
Needs: DE, OLB

Commish’s Take: Saints defensive coordinator Gregg Williams loves to blitz and attack with his linebackers. Martez Wilson might be at his best when asked to blitz. I think the first few rounds will be all about upgrading the defensive front-7 for the Saints. Wilson can play inside or outside linebacker for the Saints with Jonathon Vilma being able to do the same.

25. Seattle Seahawks – Christian Ponder – QB – FSU
6’2’’ – 229 lbs – 4.65
Needs: QB, OG, DE, DT, CB

Commish’s Take: The more I’ve thought about this pick for the Seahawks, the more I’ve realized that if they were to select a quarterback, the best fit would be Christian Ponder. Darrell Bevell has come in as the new offensive coordinator and is installing a west-coast style of offense. Even if Locker was available, I think the Seahawks might pass on the local product and turn towards Ponder. Ponder might be the best fit for a west-coast offense in this draft. He has above average arm strength and outstanding accuracy. He has command of the huddle, and should be able to step in right away and play for the Seahawks.

26. Baltimore Ravens – Justin Houston – DE – Georgia
6’3’’ – 270 lbs – 4.68
Needs: CB, WR(speed), OC, S

Commish’s Take: Sure, the Ravens don’t need a hybrid end/linebacker, but this is what makes the Ravens great. If anyone in this draft compares to Terrell Suggs, it’s Justin Houston. Sergio Kindle has been a problem since they drafted him last year, so why not move on with the big and athletic Houston instead. I think the corners, receivers, and safeties left here would all be reaches. Houston would just add another dynamic talent to the Ravens defense. The biggest concern with Houston is that he needs teachers to get the most out of his potential. I love the Ravens coaches, and what better coaches to have than Ray Lewis and Terrell Suggs?

27. Atlanta Falcons – Muhammad Wilkerson – DE – Temple
6’4’’ – 315 lbs – 4.96
Needs: DT, DE, WR, TE

Commish’s Take: I still view Wilkerson as somewhat of a project, but he has been gaining some steam as of late. I think he might just be one of those names that will go a lot earlier than most people think. For now, I have the Falcons finally getting their big body in the middle. Head coach Mike Smith had his best defense in Jacksonville when he had Marcus Stroud and John Henderson in their primes in the middle of his defensive line. I think Wilkerson compares to those players and would really give the Falcons a presence in the middle of their defensive line.

28. New England Patriots – Akeem Ayers – OLB – UCLA
6’2’’ – 254 lbs – 4.80
Needs: see above

Commish’s Take: The Patriots need to find a better rush off the edge. Akeem Ayers isn’t the fastest linebacker in the draft, but he was extremely productive at UCLA and really fits the Patriots 3-4 defense. I think Ayers could be a really solid outside linebacker and leader in the NFL. This is a great value pick for the Patriots at the end of the 1st round after already getting Pouncey earlier.

29. Chicago Bears – Gabe Carimi – OT – Wisconsin
6’7’’ – 314 lbs – 5.27
Needs: OT, OG, WR, DT

Commish’s Take: Is there any worse secret than the Bears needing an offensive tackle? Hell, they need any offensive lineman. Another one of my favorites is Gabe Carimi. The way this draft played out has Carimi falling to the team that could probably use him most. Carimi could step in right away at left or right tackle and be an upgrade for the Bears. I think Carimi will have a very solid career and reminds me a lot of Jon Runyan.

30. New York Jets – Corey Liuget – DT – Illinois
6’2’’ – 298 lbs – 4.99
Needs: NT, DE, CB, WR

Commish’s Take: I think the Jets approach their 1st round pick by trying to address their front 7 on defense. With Phil Taylor and most of the hybrid linebackers gone, this is a good slot for the Jets to bring in Luiget as an end in their 3-4 defense. Rex Ryan was present at Illinois’ pro day and showed a lot of attention to Martez Wilson and Luiget.

31. Pittsburgh Steelers – Danny Watkins – OG – Baylor
6’3’’ – 310 lbs – 5.40
Needs: CB, OT, OG

Commish’s Take: After hoping to reunite the Pouncey brothers, the Steelers still need to upgrade the interior of their offensive line. Danny Watkins is a great story. He was a firefighter who decided late to play football. He filled in for Jason Smith at left tackle after he was drafted and never lost his starting job. Watkins is 27, which might scare some teams off, but he is also ready to come in and contribute right away.

32. Green Bay Packers – Nate Solder – OT – Colorado
6’8’’ – 307 lbs – 5.05
Needs: OT, DE, OLB

Commish’s Take: Last year the Packers got Bryan Bulaga in the first round. With Nate Solder slipping, the Packers could have their two offensive tackles for the next 10 years in back to back drafts. Solder is a converted tight end who should be able to play right or left tackle in the NFL.

Round 2:
1 (33). N. E. Patriots (via CAR) – Mikel Leshoure – RB – Illinois
6’0’’ – 227 lbs – 4.59

Commish’s Take: Benjarvis Green-Ellis was nice last year, but the Patriots need a feature back. Leshoure can carry the ball 20-25 times a game. No more platoon.

2 (34). Buffalo Bills – Ryan Mallett – QB – Arkansas
6’7’’ – 253 lbs – 5.30

Commish’s Take: If the Bills pass ona quarterback in the 1st round, I like Mallett for them in the 2nd. Mallett’s strong arm can throw through the weather and there is nothing in Buffalo that can get him in trouble.

3 (35). Cincinnati Bengals – Colin Kaepernick – QB – Nevada
6’5’’ – 233 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: Jay Gruden gets his quarterback. Gruden should love Kaepernick’s size and athletic ability. If Jay is anything like his brother, Kaepernick will be high on his list.

4 (36). Denver Broncos – Kyle Rudolph – TE – Notre Dame
6’6’’ – 259 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take: It seemed like John Fox could never find his tight end in Carolina. He addresses that need immediately with Rudolph. Rudolph is a big tight end with great receiving ability.

5 (37). Cleveland Browns – Adrian Clayborn – DE – Iowa
6’4’’ – 281 lbs – 4.83

Commish’s Take: There are a lot of question marks with Clayborn, but he is still a good player with a great work ethic and great leadership skills.

6 (38). Arizona Cardinals – Brooks Reed – OLB – Arizona
6’2’’ – 263 lbs – 4.68

Commish’s Take: Reed has gotten a lot of hype as of late, but I still have him in the 2nd round. The Cardinals miss out on Miller in the 1st round, but still get a threat off the edge here.

7 (39). Tennessee Titans – Andy Daulton – QB – TCU
6’2’’ – 215 lbs – 4.83

Commish’s Take: Daulton might not be the flashiest quarterback, but he could fit just what Mike Munchak wants to do. Daulton could be a very solid pick for a Titans team that needs a quarterback.

8 (40). Dallas Cowboys – Cameron Heyward – DE – Ohio St.
6’5’’ – 294 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take: Heyward has some injury concerns, but when healthy can be great. He is a perfect fit for a Cowboys defense that might lose Marcus Spears to free agency.

9 (41). Washington Redskins – Jonathon Baldwin – WR – Pitt.
6’4’’ – 228 lbs – 4.50

Commish’s Take: The Redskins miss out on all the top quarterbacks, but still get their big receiver. Baldwin becomes Mike Shanahan’s next Brandon Marshall.

10 (42). Houston Texans – Rahim Moore – S – UCLA
6’0’’ – 202 lbs – 4.62

Commish’s Take: The Texans finish off their secondary with the draft’s top safety. Moore has good instincts and is good in coverage.

11 (43). Minnesota Vikings – Marvin Austin – DT – North Carolina
6’2’’ – 309 lbs – 4.90

Commish’s Take: With Pat Williams on the way out, I think Austin could step right in and the Vikings might not skip a beat on defense.

12 (44). Detroit Lions – Benjamin Ijalana – OT – Villanova
6’4’’ – 317 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take: With a need at both tackle positions, Ijalana has a good opportunity to step in and play right away for the Lions.

13(45). San Francisco 49ers – Leonard Hankerson – WR – Miami
6’2’’ – 209 lbs – 4.43

Commish’s Take: After missing on the QBs, I think the 49ers would like to get a bigger receiver opposite of Michael Crabtree. Hankerson is big with speed.

14 (46). Denver Broncos (via MIA) – Aaron Williams – CB – Texas
6’0’’ – 204 lbs – 4.52

Commish’s Take: Williams has been mentioned as a corner and a safety. With the Broncos having a need for both positions, Williams would be a nice fit.

15 (47). St. Louis Rams – Torrey Smith – WR – Maryland
6’1’’ – 204 lbs – 4.43

Commish’s Take: The Rams get their receiver in the speedy Torrey Smith. Smith has all the qualities to progress into a true number one receiver.

16 (48). Oakland Raiders – Dontay Moch – LB – Nevada
6’1’’ – 248 lbs – 4.44

Commish’s Take: The Raiders have a need at outside linebacker, and let’s face it, they’d love an outside linebacker at 248 lbs who runs a 4.4 40-yard dash.

17 (49). Jacksonville Jaguars – Stefan Wisniewski – OC/OG – Penn St.
6’3’’ – 313 lbs – 5.35

Commish’s Take: The Jaguars could use a leader at the center position. Wisniewski has the skill set to step in and solidify the Jaguars interior offensive line.

18 (50). San Diego Chargers – Christian Ballard – DE – Iowa
6’4’’ – 283 lbs – 4.80

Commish’s Take: Ballard was unblockable at the senior bowl and a solid late 2nd round pick. Ballard is a good fit at end in a 3-4 defense.

19 (51). Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Jabaal Sheard – DE – Pitt
6’3’’ – 264 lbs – 4.69

Commish’s Take: Following their lead from 2010, the Bucs go back-to-back defensive linemen again. A combination of Jordan and Sheard could be fun to watch. If they decide to grab another end later like Greg Romeus, the Bucs could look to address linebacker or get someone with speed for their offense. You’ll notice a run on speed receivers here to end the 2nd round.

20 52). New York Giants – Bruce Carter – LB – North Carolina
6’2’’ – 241 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take: Carter’s health is a big worry right now. Some say he might have to start his NFL career on the PUP list. When healthy, Carter is a top notch linebacker, but not many teams want damaged goods.

21 53). Indianapolis Colts – Brandon Harris – CB – Miami
5’9’’ – 191 lbs – 4.51

Commish’s Take: Harris is an excellent fit for a “Tampa 2” type defense. He is excellent in zone coverage and a very good tackler.

22 54). Philadelphia Eagles – Jason Pinkston – OT/OG – Pitt.
6’3’’ – 317 lbs – 5.47

Commish’s Take: You know Andy Reid is getting an offensive lineman, so why not someone close to home. Pinkston can play guard or tackle.

23 55). Kansas City Chiefs – Marcus Cannon – OT – TCU
6’5’’ – 358 lbs – 5.26

Commish’s Take: The Chiefs were one of the best teams running the football last year behind a patchwork offensive line. Cannon is a massive lineman that can play guard or tackle.

24 (56). New Orleans Saints – Stephen Paea – DT – Oregon St.
6’1’’ – 303 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take: Paea was the strongest player at the combine and would pair up nice with Sedrick Ellis.

25 (57). Seattle Seahawks – Ryan Williams – RB – Va. Tech
5’9’’ – 212 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: Williams is a special back that, when healthy, is as talented as any back in this draft. He should be an excellent fit for the Seahawks west coast offense.

26 (58). Baltimore Ravens – Titus Young – WR – Boise St.
5’11’’ – 174 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: The Ravens patience pays off. Recent reports have Young slipping. The Ravens need speed on offense and Young has plenty of that.

27 (59). Atlanta Falcons – Jerrel Jernigan – WR – Troy
5’9’’ – 185 lbs – 4.46

Commish’s Take: Harry Douglas has been a disappointment so the Falcons need an answer. The Falcons have shown extra attention to Troy university, so Jernigan seems to be a natural target.

28 (60). New England Patriots – Randall Cobb – WR – Kentucky
5’10’’ – 191 lbs – 4.46

Commish’s Take: Cobb’s a good fit for the Patriots with his good route running, shiftiness, and speed.

29 (61). San Diego Chargers (via NYJ) – Jordan Cameron – TE – USC
6’5’’ – 254 lbs – 4.59

Commish’s Take: I think the Chargers need some insurance in case Antonio Gates gets injured again. Cameron is a receiving tight end in the Gates mold.

30 (62). Chicago Bears – Greg Little – WR – North Carolina
6’3’’ – 231 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: Reports have Little dropping to the 4th round because of his attitude and character concerns, but he has a lot of talent. If teams saw what the Bucs got with Mike Williams in the 4th round last year, these teams might be more willing to take a chance earlier this year.

31 (63). Pittsburgh Steelers – Curtis Marsh – CB – Utah St.
6’0’’ – 197 lbs – 4.52

Commish’s Take: Curtis Marsh is a solid corner who could thrive in man coverage with the Steelers.

32 (64). Green Bay Packers – Drake Nevis – DT – LSU
6’1’’ – 294 lbs – 5.07

Commish’s Take: Justin Harrell never worked out and Cullin Jenkins is a free agent. Nevis is an underrated prospect that I think would be a very nice selection to close out the 2nd round.

Will Cadillac Williams return? Is Kregg Lumpkin a stud-in-waiting? Or do the Bucs need to snatch a running back in the draft to groom behind LeGarrette Blount?

NFL Draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski, of WDAE-AM. breaks down and ranks running backs below, and includes how the Bucs might consider these guys. It’s all part of the best Bucs-focused draft coverage around. Come back later for The Commish’s inbox podcast. And a new manbeast mock draft is lurking. 

Running Backs:

By JUSTIN PAWLOWSKI

Mark Ingram – Alabama
5’9’’ – 215 lbs – 4.62
1st Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Patience and vision are Ingram’s two best qualities.  He has proven to be a reliable back that can carry a full workload and be a leader on the offensive side of the ball.  Ingram also has a compact build and runs low to the ground which helps him to break tackles.

Why The Commish would stay away:  This is more about where I wouldn’t draft him than me just not wanting to draft Ingram.  I say that because I think Ingram has been a great college player and could very well be a very good player in the NFL, but I just don’t think Ingram is flashy enough to be a 1st round draft pick as a running back.  He does not have elite speed or elusiveness to warrant a 1st round selection when there have been numerous backs go undrafted who have gone on to lead the entire league in rushing.  Unless you’re Adrian Peterson or Chris Johnson, I just don’t see the value in drafting any running back in the 1st round.

Impact on the Bucs: The only way this happens is if Ingram falls to the Bucs pick in the 2nd round and they select him.  I think Ingram would be an awesome complement to LeGarrette Blount.  Blount proved he can carry a full work load, but Ingram has the leadership and understanding of an offense to provide the Bucs with a good 1-2 punch.  I also think Ingram could be an upgrade in blocking and receiving out of the backfield.

Comparison: Ray Rice – Baltimore Ravens

Mikel Leshoure – Illinois
6’0’’ – 227 lbs – 4.59
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Leshoure’s biggest strengths are power and vision.  I love a back that can find a crease and then plow his way through.  He’s also very patient for a big back as he allows his blocks to set up in front of him before hitting a hole.  Although Leshoure doesn’t have elite speed, he can hit another gear when he comes to daylight.

Why The Commish would stay away:  I like Leshoure, but he’s not a complete back.  He does lack elite speed.  He is also developing as a pass blocker, but is no where near where he needs to be.  He’s also not a real big threat in the passing game.

Impact on the Bucs:  Leshoure’s skill set reminds me a lot of Legarrette Blount.  I don’t think the Bucs are looking for that type of back again.  They need some speed to pair with Blount’s power.

Comparison:  Chris “Beanie” Wells – Arizona Cardinals

Ryan Williams – Virginia Tech
5’9’’ – 212 lbs – 4.61
2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  The best way to describe Williams’ running style is violent.  His cuts are violent, his yards after contact are violent, and his acceleration is violent.  Williams might end up having the most overall talent of any running back in this draft.

Why The Commish would stay away:  For as violent and flashy as Williams is, his speed is only just average.  Also, I’m weary of any player, but RBs particular, with hamstring issues, and that’s what Williams had last year.  His down year in 2010 due to injuries would probably push me in the direction of drafting another player if there was a debate.

Impact on the Bucs: I’ve actually seen a couple mock drafts that have the Bucs selecting Williams in the 2nd round.  I’m not sure that’s the approach the Bucs would want to take in the 2nd round, but Williams is a very talented back.  If drafted, Williams would be an excellent complement to Blount.  Also, with Williams’ violent running style, he would give the Bucs a legitimate short-yardage back if Blount can’t learn how to get 2 yards!!

Comparison: Joseph Addai – Indianapolis Colts

Shane Vereen – Cal
5’10’’ – 210 lbs – 4.50
3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Vereen is in the smaller and shiftier category of running backs, but has the toughness to run between the tackles.  From what I’ve seen, Vereen can be a real threat as a receiver out of the backfield.  He has great elusiveness which also makes him a threat in the return game and on screen passes.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Although Vereen has the toughness to run between the tackles, he does not really have the power or strength to carry the full load and break tackles.  He can also be a liability in the pass game as he’ll need a good coach to teach him proper technique in pass protection.

Impact on the Bucs: I think Vereen could be a legitimate candidate for the Buccaneers’ backfield.  He seems like the type of back the Bucs want and need.  Vereen will need to learn to be a better pass protector, but he can immediately add elusiveness in the backfield and become a threat as a returner for the Bucs.

Comparison: Leon Washington – Seattle Seahawks

Kendall Hunter – Oklahoma St.
5’7’’ – 199 lbs – 4.53
3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  What impresses me most about Hunter is that he is always moving forward.  Whether he takes a pitch outside or is making a cut between the tackles, Hunter is always moving towards the end zone.  Hunter also has tremendous character as he received numerous accolades academically and was a leader on his team.

Why The Commish would stay away:  I don’t think Hunter would be able to be a feature back in the NFL.  Sure, many teams run a 2-back system, but I view Hunter as more of a complement to a bigger feature back.  Hunter is also average as a blocker and needs to improve if he’ll become an elite 3rd down back.

Impact on the Bucs: This is the exact type of back the Bucs are looking for.  Hunter would be a great fit in Greg Olsen’s offense and present the Bucs with a very good 1-2 punch at running back when paired with Blount.  Hunter is elusive and a very good receiver out of the backfield.

Comparison: Lesean McCoy – Philadelphia Eagles

Daniel Thomas – Kansas St.
6’0’’ – 230 lbs – DNP
3rd/4th Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Thomas is a big back with a lot of power, but he is also very nimble with excellent balance.  Thomas is a classic between-the-tackles runner who excels in short-yardage and goal line situations.  Thomas is also a very good receiver out of the backfield and an excellent pass protector.

Why The Commish would stay away:  What worries me most of Thomas is that when I watch him run, I often see him holding the ball away from his body which will lead to many fumbles.  He also lacks elite speed.

Impact on the Bucs: As much as the Bucs want speed at the running back position, Thomas might not have that speed, but he does things well that Blount does not do well.  Thomas is a very good pass protector, has soft hands in the passing game, and is excellent in short-yardage situations.  With that said, I think the Bucs want a back with some speed and elusiveness, and that’s not Thomas.

Comparison:  Matt Forte – Chicago Bears

DeMarco Murray – Oklahoma
6’0’’ – 213 lbs – 4.41
3rd/4th Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  There is a lot to like about Murray.  I like his combination of size and speed.  I also like his vision and ability to work his way through a defense.  He is a very good receiver out of the backfield and could give an offense mismatches when split out wide like a receiver.  Going back to his speed, Murray can bust a long run at any time.  I love a threat like that.  I’ll end with Murray being as determined as any back in this class, having tremendous work ethic, and being a leader.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Before I get into his run style or durability concerns, what worries me most about Murray is that he doesn’t break near the amount of tackles as he should.  I can’t stand a running back that constantly gets tripped up on shoelace tackles.  Murray also has durability issues which might be caused by him running so tall and leaving himself vulnerable to big hits.

Impact on the Bucs: I do think Murray is a talented back and should be under consideration for the Bucs.  He has the speed they’re looking for while also being able to catch the ball and pass protect.  I think Murray is probably as good as any back for the Bucs in this draft.  With having Blount already, the Bucs just need a backup that can come in and do the things that Murray does do well.

Comparison: Jahvid Best – Detroit Lions

Jacquizz Rodgers – Oregon St.
5’6’’ – 196 lbs – 4.64
3rd/4th Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Rodgers is more quick than he is fast, but his shifty moves prevent him from taking big hits.  Rodgers is also a gifted receiver out of the backfield.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Rodgers lacks the size, bulk, and power to run between the tackles in the NFL.  His lack of strength with also hurt him in pass protection.  I’m also not thrilled about a back his size lacking the elite straight-line speed like he does.  Sure, I know that Dexter McCluster was the same way, but I’m just not sold that Rodgers is in the same category when it comes to shiftiness and playmaking ability.

Impact on the Bucs: Rodgers does fit the mold of the type of back the Bucs supposedly want.  He’s a smaller shiftier back who would complement the bigger Blount well.  The one thing that does concern me about Rodgers and the Bucs is that I don’t think he could shoulder the load if Blount were to go down with an injury.  Other backs like Vereen, Murray, and Hunter will be able to shoulder that load, while Rodgers seems to be a situational back only.

Comparison: Darren Sproles – San Diego Chargers

Delone Carter – Syracuse
5’9’’ – 222 lbs – 4.56
4th Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I’ve been on the Carter train for a while now.  I view him as Mr. Consistency.  He has good size and runs with good power between the tackles.  He also runs with good leverage and balance.  As a receiver out of the backfield, Carter has displayed soft hands, and with his patience, could be great in the screen game.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Carter is not the flashiest of backs in this draft.  He’s not the biggest, the fastest, or the quickest.  Carter also comes with some character issues including being suspended for spring practice in 2010 for punching a student over a snowball incident.

Impact on the Bucs: Although not what the Bucs are particularly looking for, I like Carter as a running back.  I don’t think he’ll be a target of the Bucs, but if he was drafted by them, Carter would be a very nice backup to Blount.

Comparison: Curtis Martin – New York Jets

Jordan Todman – UConn
5’9’’ – 203 lbs – 4.40
4th Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I really like Todman’s running style.  He has very good straight-line speed with the elusiveness and quickness to go with it.  He has good vision and does a good job with cut back runs.  Todman has good balance and runs low to the ground.

Why The Commish would stay away:  As much as I like Todman’s running style, I just wish he was a couple inches taller and about 10-15 lbs heavier.  He just doesn’t have the bulk or strength to be a feature back in the NFL.  I also have questions about his ability to be a good 3rd down back because he slightly above average catching the football and, again, doesn’t have good strength for pass protection.

Impact on the Bucs: Todman’s running style and speed are good, but he might not be the ideal fit for a 3rd down back.  As much as the Bucs would like speed at the running back position, I’m sure they’d love a good blocker and receiver there too.

Comparison: Ahmad Bradshaw – New York Giants

Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, The Commish of WDAE-AM 620, is a huge fan of the NFL Scouting combine. Oh yes, The Commish considers it an extraordinarily valuable exercise.

But pro days? Well, The Commish isn’t sold.

In today’s draft podcast, The Commish explains in great detail why pro days are stupid. Some great points, for sure. He also shares takes on pro days and Martez Wilson from the astute Chris Landry of FOX Sports.

Click the arrow below to listen, or download here.

Audio clip: Adobe Flash Player (version 9 or above) is required to play this audio clip. Download the latest version here. You also need to have JavaScript enabled in your browser.

Don’t forget to follow The Commish on Facebook, and shoot him your draft questions for Wednesday’s “inbox,” commish@620wdae.com.

Of course, Mark Dominik, Raheem Morris and members of the Bucs contingent interviewed loads of players at the NFL Scouting combine. But Joe’s always intrigued when a guy gets his share of extra time, especially when he’s a quarterback, and even more so when he’s been arrested for shopping mall shenanigans.

In this interview below, NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski chatted with quarterback Josh Portis, a Division II star who bounced from the University of Florida to the University of Maryland before landing at a no-name school in Pennsylvania.

Portis, a big-time athlete, detailed his interactions with the Bucs. “They interviewed me multiple times.” Click the arrow below or download here.  

Audio clip: Adobe Flash Player (version 9 or above) is required to play this audio clip. Download the latest version here. You also need to have JavaScript enabled in your browser.

Portis smells like a guy Dominik might jump on after the draft. 

With Josh Johnson a good bet to bolt in free agency after the 2011 season, and Rudy Carpenter being Rudy Carpenter, there’s no reason to think the Bucs aren’t doing some legitimate sniffing of quarterbacks this spring.

Ah, yes. It’s yet another episode of JoeBucFan TV.

Draft boards are moving and shaking everywhere as hopefuls have pro days, get fat, get fit and show their true character.

NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, The Commish of WDAE-AM 620, fires out his latest rankings, all part of the exclusive draft coverage on JoeBucsFan.com. Grab a cold one and catch up on everything right here.

By JUSTIN PAWLOWSKI

Quarterbacks
1. Cam Newton – Auburn
2. Blaine Gabbert – Missouri
3. Ryan Mallett – Arkansas
4. Christian Ponder – FSU
5. Jake Locker – Washington

The more we find out about this quarterback class, the more questions we have.  Newton has the most talent and upside, but could also be a colossal swing and miss.  Gabbert is starting to have many questions raised about his accuracy outside the hash marks and deep.  Locker, Ponder, and Mallett all have their own concerns, but now are all getting rumblings of possibly going in the first round.  Andy Daulton and Colin Kaepernick miss out on the top 5, but could become solid 2^nd round picks. 

Running Backs
1. Mark Ingram – Alabama
2. Mikel Leshoure – Illinois
3. Ryan Williams – Virginia Tech
4.Shane Vereen – Cal
5. Kendall Hunter – Oklahoma St.

I’m still not enamored with this year’s running backs.  Ingram is a solid back that could have a great career if he gets behind a big offensive line.  Leshoure has great vision with the power to make his own hole.  Williams might be the most talented back if he can stay healthy.  Vereen and Hunter are starting to rise up boards with good speed and the ability to run between the tackles.

Wide Receivers
1. AJ Green – Georgia
2. Julio Jones – Alabama
3. Titus Young – Boise St.
4.  Leonard Hankerson – Miami
5. Jonathon Baldwin – Pitt.

Jonathan Baldwin’s poor pro day has him slipping a bit.  He lacks explosion in and out of his breaks, but still has great size and soft hands.  Titus Young is a game breaker, while Hankerson is solid.  One name that I’m starting to consider in the top 5 is Greg Little from North Carolina.  He has some character concerns, but is as talented as any receiver in this draft.

Tight Ends
1. Kyle Rudolph – Notre Dame
2. Luke Stocker – Tennessee
3. Jordan Cameron – USC
4. DJ Williams – Arkansas
5. Virgil Green – Nevada

 The NFL is becoming all about receiving tight ends which is why four of my top-5 tight ends are receiving threats.  Cameron, Williams, and Green could all be interchangeable and should all be nice threats in the seem in the NFL.  Stocker’s the draft’s top balanced tight end with great ability in blocking.  If Rudolph stays healthy, he’s a 1^st round talent, but he hasn’t stayed healthy which should force him to drop.

Offensive Tackles
1. Tyron Smith – USC
2. Gabe Carimi – Wisconsin
3. Anthony Castonzo – Boston College
4. Nate Solder – Colorado
5.Derek Sherrod – Miss. St.

The only change here is Castonzo moving up to 3.  He does lack lower body strength, but does have a lot of potential as a left tackle in the NFL.  I like Carimi a lot as a right tackle and think a team like the Dolphins and Eagles make a lot of sense for him.  Sherrod just had his pro day and might have solidified a spot in the first round.

Offensive Guards/Centers
1. Mike Pouncey – Florida
2. Danny Watkins – Baylor
3. Stefan Wisniewski – Penn St.
4. Rodney Hudson – FSU
5. Clint Boling – Georgia

No change here, but Pouncey is starting to get a lot of attention.  We could end up seeing Pouncey go in the teens somewhere.

Defensive Ends
1. Rober Quinn – North Carolina
2. Da’Quan Bowers – Clemson
3. JJ Watt – Wisconsin
4. Cameron Jordan – Cal.
5. Aldon Smith – Missouri
5. Ryan Kerrigan – Purdue

I refuse to leave Kerrigan off this list.  He has done everything he can to be one of the top defensive ends.  Aldon Smith, in my opinion, is starting to slip a little because he hasn’t displayed dominant speed and quickness this offseason, and that’s supposed to be his game.  Da’Quan Bowers pro day is April 1^st.  On that day he’ll either become the top defensive end or he will slide down this list and the overall draft board.

Defensive Tackles
1. Marcell Dareus – Alabama
2. Nick Fairley – Auburn
3. Muhammed Wilkerson – Temple
4. Corey Liuget – Illinois
5. Stephen Paea – Oregon St.

Muhammed Wilkerson is starting to make some real noise.  He can play in either the 4-3 or 3-4 defense, which makes him valuable to every team.  Liuget and Paea will be solid late 1^st or early 2^nd round picks.  Dareus is getting more and more noise as a potential 1^st or 2^nd overall pick.

Outside Linebackers
1. Von Miller – Texas A&M
2. Brooks Reed – Arizona
3. Akeem Ayers – UCLA
4. Dontay Moch – Nevada
5. Bruce Carter – North Carolina
5. Mason Foster – Washington

I’m not sure anyone is getting as much attention and buzz right now as Brooks Reed is.  He is flying up draft boards and should find himself selected in the first round.  I have Moch over Carter due mainly to Carter’s health concerns.

Inside Linebackers
1. Martez Wilson – Illinois
2. Colin McCarthy – Miami
3. Nate Irving – NC St.
4. Greg Jones – Michigan St.
5. Kelvin Sheppard – LSU

Not much has changed with the middle linebackers so far.  Wilson is by far the top middle linebacker in this class, but could also play outside.  Greg Jones had a solid pro day and should end up as a solid pro, but I don’t think he’ll be an impact player.  Sheppard is big, but lacks elite speed.

Cornerbacks
1. Patrick Peterson – LSU
2. Prince Amukamara – Nebraska
3. Jimmy Smith – Colorado
4. Aaron Williams – Texas
5. Brandon Harris – Miami

Jimmy Smith has special talent, but his character issues might be too much for teams to ignore.  Brandon Harris is small, but tough and should be a solid 2^nd round pick.  Williams has versatility to play corner or safety.

Safeties
1. Rahim Moore – UCLA
2. Quinton Carter – Oklahoma
3. DeAndre McDaniel – Clemson
4. Deunta Williams – North Carolina
5. Chris Culliver – South Carolina

I do not like this safety class. Quinton Carter is one name to keep an eye on.  He’s a big hitter with great character.  Rahim Moore is very good in coverage, but not a complete player.

The looming and likely rookie salary cap that would come with a new NFL labor agreement has some wondering whether that could tempt the Bucs to trade up in the draft?

Obviously, those first-round picks become much more valuable if they’d be guaranteed, say, 75 percent less than what they got last year.

Draft guru/TV star Justin Pawlowski, The Commish of WDAE-AM 620, explores this and more of your draft and Bucs questions in his Commish’s Inbox podcast. He even takes on the notion that drunks are scaring away Bucs fans from the C.I.T.S.

Just click the arrow below or download here. All part of the unmatched draft coverage on JoeBucsFan.com.

Audio clip: Adobe Flash Player (version 9 or above) is required to play this audio clip. Download the latest version here. You also need to have JavaScript enabled in your browser.

Joe gets crazy with this look at defensive ends in the 2011 draft from the always unpredictable JoeBucsFan TV studios.

There are even special effects in this must-watch video! You must watch it to the end.

There’s one thing NFL owners and players seem to agree on: the NFL Draft will go off as scheduled in late April.

Thank goodness.

And you can count on the best Bucs-focused draft coverage on the planet right here from NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowksi, The Commish of WDAE-AM 620.

Today, The Commish looks breaks down cornerbacks and safeties in his own unique Bucs-focused way. Look for more from The Commish every day this week, including his debut on JoeBucsFan TV.

By JUSTIN PAWLOWSKI

Cornerbacks:

1. Patrick Peterson – LSU
        6’0’’ – 219 lbs – 4.34
Top 5

Why The Commish would draft him:  Peterson’s one of the most complete corners to come out in a long time.  He has the size to match up with big receivers.  He has strength to play press coverage on the line.  He has the speed to run with the fastest receivers in the NFL.  He’s a very solid tackler.  Hell, Peterson is even an elite returner.

Why The Commish would stay away:  There just aren’t many flaws with Peterson.  While he’s a solid tackler, he is not an elite tackler. 

Impact on the Bucs: Peterson should have a great impact on whatever team selects him.  With there not being as much a need at corner with the teams at the top of the draft, Peterson could slip a bit, but I don’t see him getting past the 49ers at 7.

Comparison: Darrelle Revis – New York Jets

2. Prince Amukamara – Nebraska
        6’0’’ – 206 lbs – 4.43
        Top 10

Why The Commish would draft him:  I like a corner that can match up physically with any receiver across from him.  Amukamara has a good combination of size and speed, which he displayed at the combine.  I think Amukamara is at his best when up on the line of scrimmage in press coverage.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Although he displayed good speed at the combine, Amukamara might not play that fast as he tends to let receivers get behind him.  When this happens, he can make contact and draw flags on himself.

Impact on the Bucs:  I’m not sure Amukamara would slip to the Bucs, but he is a big physical corner that would fit the type of defense the Bucs run.

Comparison: Nate Clements – San Francisco 49ers

3. Jimmy Smith – Colorado
6’2’’ – 211 lbs – 4.46
1^st Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  When you’re mapping out the ideal corner, you’d probably describe Smith’s characteristics.  He’s big, fast, and aggressive.  Smith plays with a ton of confidence and consistently comes up to make a tackle. 

Why The Commish would stay away:  There are some major character flaws with Smith.  I’m still concerned about multiple failed drug tests and an underage alcohol arrest his freshman year.  He reportedly also turned off many teams with his attitude at the combine.  Some might be concerned that Smith is too aggressive at times, but I like my corners aggressive and going for the big play.

Impact on the Bucs:  I think Smith could be a late riser as we near the draft.  There is a lot to like about his ability.  If a team gets passed the character concerns, like the Bucs have in the past, that team could end up with a special player.  Yes, the Bucs have Ronde for another year and EJ Biggers and Myron Lewis waiting in the wings, but Smith opposite of Aqib Talib would be nice in what is becoming a quarterback heavy division.

Comparison: Aqib Talib – Buccaneers

4. Aaron Williams – Texas
6’0’’ – 204 lbs – 4.52
2^nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Williams already has good size, but probably plays bigger than he already is.  He’ll attack the line of scrimmage to support against the run.  Williams is at his best when he’s close to the line of scrimmage in coverage as well.  He has a lot of experience and football in his blood.

Why The Commish would stay away:  I worry of how Williams will consistently do in space.  He lacks elite speed and might see himself moving back to safety due to his liability in coverage.

Impact on the Bucs:  Williams could be destined for the safety position and might already be the top safety in this class, but for the time being, we’re keeping him at corner.  The only way I see Williams as an option for the Bucs is if he lasts to their pick in the 2^nd round.  I think the Bucs would view him as a safety if they drafted him.

Comparison: Michael Griffin – Tennessee Titans

5. Brandon Harris – Miami
5’9’’ – 191 lbs – 4.51
2^nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Harris is the type of corner that just gets the job done.  He’s probably best suited in the NFL for zone coverage.  Harris seems to have very good instincts in space and good closing speed.  Despite his lack of size, Harris is very tough and a very good tackler in space.

Why The Commish would stay away:  The first thing that stands out to me is Harris’ lack of ideal height.  Harris also lacks elite speed.  The performance Michael Floyd had in the Sun Bowl when matched up with Harris continues to haunt me.

Impact on the Bucs:  It seems like Harris would be a good fit for a “Tampa 2” defense, but I don’t think he’s a logical choice for the Bucs.  If the Bucs go with a corner early, it should be a flashy corner with potential to dominate.  I think Harris is solid, but not flashy.

Comparison: Ronde Barber – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

6. Curtis Marsh – Utah St.
6’0’’ – 197 lbs – 4.52
2^nd/3^rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I really like the upside with Marsh since he just started playing corner full time as a senior in 2010.  He switched from running back to corner in 2009 and started the final 4 games there.  Utah St. didn’t have the best competition, but against Boise St, Marsh played extremely well.  Marsh is also very tough and willing to support against the run.

Why The Commish would stay away:  As much as his lack of time playing corner gives Marsh upside, it also concerns me.  He does not have much experience at the position and will need time to develop.

Impact on the Bucs:  Marsh doesn’t seem like the most logical choice for the Bucs.  If the Bucs take a corner in the first couple rounds, it would have to be someone that could impact the team soon.  I don’t think Marsh is ready for an immediate impact in the NFL and will need some time to develop and get experience at the corner position.

Comparison: Vontae Davis – Miami Dolphins

7. Curtis Brown – Texas
6’0’’ – 185 lbs – 4.54
2^nd/3^rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I really like Brown in coverage.  I think he can play in both man and zone equally well.  I also like Brown’s height to match up with taller receivers.  Brown is also very good on special teams.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Despite his decent size, Brown is not very physical.  He is not very good in press coverage, and does not stick his head in against the run.

Impact on the Bucs:  I’m not sure this is the type of corner Raheem Morris looks for.  If the Bucs are going to draft a corner, that corner will have to be an upgrade over EJ Biggers and Myron Lewis.  I don’t think Brown would be.

Comparison: Mike Jenkins – Dallas Cowboys

8. Brandon Burton – Utah
6’0’’ – 190 lbs – 4.51
2^nd/3^rd Round 

      Why The Commish would draft him:  I really like how physical Burton can get.  It was impressive seeing him matched up with Jonathon Baldwin at the beginning of the season.  Baldwin scored on a botched coverage by the safety, but I thought Burton matched him physically.  Burton is also excellent in open-field tackling.  Burton adds extra value on special teams.

       Why The Commish would stay away:  Because of how physical he is, I think Burton is much better in press coverage, but I’m worried he could be a liability in regular zone or man coverage.  I also see Burton getting blocked fairly easy by bigger receivers that engulf him.

       Impact on the Bucs: I love the intensity Burton brings.  He seems like a high energy and charismatic player.  With that said, I wouldn’t draft him until the 3^rd round if I were the Bucs.  If he fell to my pick in the 3^rd round, I would at least think about him, but not before that.

       Comparison: Courtland Finnegan – Tennessee Titans

9. Johnny Patrick – Louisville
5’11’’ – 191 lbs – 4.55
3^rd Round

       Why The Commish would draft him:  I really like Patrick in zone coverage because he seems to have good vision of passes underneath, and has the ability to get to the ball carrier and tackle him.  Also, despite having 4 different defensive coordinators while at Louisville, he continued to show improvement which shows his personal work ethic.  He also has really good strength to match up in press coverage.

      Why The Commish would stay away:  There are some character concerns with Patrick with an arrest in 2010 for assault.  He’s also very raw and still has a lot to learn at the corner position.

      Impact on the Bucs: Coming in as a rookie, I don’t see Patrick as an upgrade to either EJ Biggers or Myron Lewis for where he’ll be drafted.  If drafted by the Bucs, he’ll compete with the aforementioned duo for the nickel corner job.

      Comparison: Charles Tillman – Chicago Bears

10. Ras-I Dowling – Virginia
6’1’’ – 198 lbs – 4.46
3^rd Round

       Why The Commish would draft him:  Dowling’s been up and down, but I wouldn’t mind having a player of his talents in a zone defense.  I think he has very good instincts and tackling ability.  He has a very nice blend of size and speed.

       Why The Commish would stay away:  Health is a concern with Dowling.  After struggling with a knee injury last season, he hurt is hamstring running his only 40-yard dash at the combine.  I’m also worried about Dowling in man coverage.  Even with his speed, it seems like receivers can beat him deep.

       Impact on the Bucs:  For the Bucs, I wouldn’t even consider Dowling until at least the 3^rd round.  With that being said, don’t be shocked if the Raiders draft him in the 2^nd round.  Dowling should be at his best in zone coverage which is why I wouldn’t count the Bucs out in either the 3^rd or 4^th round.  He’d compete with Biggers and Lewis if drafted.

       Comparison: Chris Cook – Minnesota Vikings

Safeties:

1. Rahim Moore – UCLA
6’0’’ – 202 lbs – 4.62
2^nd Round

      Why The Commish would draft him:  I like Rahim Moore in coverage.  He seems to have good ball skills and instincts.  Moore also takes good angles when getting to the ball.

      Why The Commish would stay away:  Moore doesn’t offer much of anything in stopping the run.  He will not lay the big hit.  If he does get a tackle, it’s a drag down tackle. Moore also does not have much speed if needed to get deep.

      Impact on the Bucs: There is uncertainty with Tanard Jackson, but I don’t think it’s enough of an uncertainty to reach on an average safety in this draft.  If drafted by the Bucs, Moore would take over the role left by Tanard Jackson.  The two are very similar.

      Comparison: Louis Delmas – Detroit Lions

2. Quinton Carter – Oklahoma
6’1’’ – 208 lbs – 4.62
2^nd/3^rd Round

     Why The Commish would draft him:  Plays so much bigger than he actually is.  Carter will come down in run support and lay big hits on the ball carrier.  He also seems to recognize what the offense is doing rather quickly including routes run by receivers.  As much as character hurts other players, it should help Carter.  He has been associated with numerous charities and even started his own non-profit organization.

      Why The Commish would stay away:  With how aggressive Carter is, he can tend to be overly aggressive at times.  He can get caught in double moves by receivers and get sucked in by playaction.  Carter also tends to go for the big hit when he should just make sure the ball carrier goes down.

      Impact on the Bucs: Carter’s over-aggression could drop him to the 3^rd round.  That would be the earliest I think the Bucs should even start to consider a safety.  Carter would be a nice fit in the Bucs defense.  The Bucs defense has struggled being strong up the middle, so a hard hitter at safety like Carter, might be a nice addition in the 3^rd round.

      Comparison: Donte Whitner – Buffalo Bills

3. DeAndre McDaniel – Clemson
6’0’’ – 217 lbs – 4.65
^3rd Round

       Why The Commish would draft him:  McDaniel is one of the more balanced safeties in this class.  He is excellent at reading a quarterback and in coverage down the field.  McDaniel is also very reliable as a tackler who will go for the knockout hit at the right time.  He played through a broken hand last season which showed his overall toughness.

       Why The Commish would stay away:  Character is a major concern.  McDaniel was arrested and charged with assault and battery after being accused of choking his girlfriend, punching her in the head and chest, and pushing her down a flight of stairs.  The case was resolved after McDaniel agreed to participate in a pre-trial intervention program.  Enough said.

       Impact on the Bucs:  I know the Bucs have looked the other way at times when it comes to character, but this is a little much.  Now, if a team, like the Bucs, does there homework and determine that there are no major long term concerns, then McDaniel could be a steal in this draft.

       Comparison: Brandon Meriweather – New England Patriots

4. Deunta Williams – North Carolina
6’2’’ – 205 lbs – DNP
3^rd Round

       Why The Commish would draft him:  Williams has good overall instincts in pass coverage and run support.  He matches up well in man coverage.  Williams seems to diagnose plays quickly.

      Why The Commish would stay away:  Zone coverage is a weakness for Williams.  Although he seems to diagnose plays quickly, he doesn’t react to them as quickly as he should.  Williams is also not an elite tackler and has to be more consistent in that area.

       Impact on the Bucs: Williams is a decent safety, but not really a great fit for the Bucs.  His inability to read and react in zone coverage is a concern.  Also, the Bucs need safeties that can tackle well.

       Comparison: Roman Harper – New Orleans Saints

5. Chris Culliver – South Carolina
6’0’’ – 199 lbs – 4.40
3^rd Round

      Why The Commish would draft him:  After moving from safety to corner last year at South Carolina, Culliver should return to his natural position in the NFL.  He is a great cover man and matches up well in man coverage either against the slot or a tight end.

      Why The Commish would stay away:  Culliver was moved to corner last season mainly to protect him from hurting his shoulder, which became a concern at South Carolina.  He’s also not the greatest tackler coming from the safety position.  Culliver can also take bad angles at times.

      Impact on the Bucs:  I view Culliver as a developmental player who will give a team depth until he’s ready to step in and play.  I don’t think this is what the Bucs need at the safety position.

       Comparison: Tanard Jackson – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Commish, Justin Pawlowski of WDAE-AM 620, has cranked out another one of his manbeast mock drafts. All part of the daily draft coverage on JoeBucsFan.com. Crack open a cold one or order some takeout from Mugs Grill & Bar and enjoy.

Feel free to tell The Commish what you think in the comments.

1^st Round

1.       Carolina Panthers – Cam Newton – QB – Auburn
                6’5’’ – 248 lbs – 4.59
                Needs: CB, DT, DE, WR, QB

                Commish’s Take: All indications point to the Panthers taking Newton.  Head coach Ron Rivera went to Auburn’s pro day and paid most of his attention to Newton and not Fairley. I wouldn’t discount a possible smokescreen here to try and get a team to pay a hefty price to trade up for Newton.

2.       Denver Broncos – Marcell Dareus – DT – Alabama

                6’3’’ – 319 lbs – 4.92
                Needs: DT, DE, CB, S

                Commish’s Take:  John Fox seems ok with Dumerville and Ayers as his ends in Denver’s revamped 4-3 defense.  Recent releases by the Broncos put a big red flag up at the defensive tackle position. Reports out now say that if the Broncos go with a defensive tackle, they’ll go with Dareus. I think Dareus is a good fit for Jon Fox’s defense and will be what Kris Jenkins was in Carolina.

3.       Buffalo Bills – JJ Watt – DE – Wisconsin

                6’5’’ – 290 lbs – 4.82
                Needs: DE, QB, WR, LB

                Commish’s Take: Surprised? You have to shake it up a bit. If my mock draft looked like everyone else’s, I’d be as bad as everyone else. Watt is a very good fit for the Bills if Newton is gone and they aren’t sold on Gabbert. The Bills had an absolutely terrible run defense in 2010. Watt should step right in and start for the Bills.

4.       Cincinnati Bengals – AJ Green – WR – Georgia

                6’4’’ – 211 lbs – 4.50
                Needs: WR, QB, DT

                Commish’s Take:  No change with this pick. I know the popular pick for the Bengals now is Blaine Gabbert, but I think the Bengals should still be able to get a good quarterback at the top of the 2^nd round.  Instead of risking it all with Gabbert, I thought the Bengals would be better of getting an outstanding receiver for their 2^nd round quarterback to throw to.

5.       Arizona Cardinals – Von Miller – OLB – Texas A&M

                6’3’’ – 246 lbs – 4.49
                Needs: OLB, CB, OT, QB

                Commish’s Take:  This is a pick that I just can’t change. The only way I see the Cardinals not getting Miller is if some team in the top-4 takes him, which could happen.  Miller is outstanding off the edge, and a great fit for the Cardinals 3-4 defense. 

6.       Cleveland Browns – Julio Jones – WR – Alabama

                6’3’’ – 220 lbs – 4.39
                Needs: WR, DE, OLB, TE, NT

                Commish’s Take: There have been rumblings that the Browns want a defensive lineman with this pick, but with Mike Holmgren in charge and the hiring of an offensive mind in Pat Shurmur as head coach, I find it hard for the Browns to pass on Jones.  Shurmur’s offense featured many quick passes with the Rams last year, which would be best suited for a big receiver like Jones.

7.       San Francisco 49ers – Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU

                6’0’’ – 219 lbs – 4.34
                Needs: QB, DE, OLB, CB, S

                Commish’s Take: With a lack of big need for a corner in the top-6 picks, the 49ers benefit from a falling Peterson. Peterson might be the safest pick in the draft. Not only could he be a shutdown corner for years, but he’ll be a nice contributor on special teams as well.

8.       Tennessee Titans – Nick Fairley – DT – Auburn

                6’4’’ – 291 – 4.87
                Needs: DT, CB, QB, OG

                Commish’s Take: The Titans have a big need at quarterback, but Fairley will be nice in the middle of the Titans’ defensive line that already has a huge hole. To beat the Colts, you must apply constant pressure on Peyton Manning.  The Titans will hope that Fairley and last year’s 1^st round pick, Derrick Morgan, give them that pressure.

9.       Dallas Cowboys – Da’Quan Bowers – DE – Clemson

                6’3’’ – 280 lbs – DNP
                Needs: DE, OT, OG, CB, S

                Commish’s Take: Bowers’ health is one of the biggest questions in the draft world right now. Other then being an unofficial Polish holiday, April Fool’s Day will be a huge day in the draft process as that is the day of Da’Quan Bowers pro day. If he’s healthy and performs the way he did all year, he’ll be in the running for the 1^st overall pick.  If not, he might start to plummet. Right now, I like him to the Cowboys to spice up their defensive line.

10.   Washington Redskins – Robert Quinn – DE – North Carolina

                6’4’’ – 265 lbs – 4.70
                Needs: QB, WR, DE, OLB

                Commish’s Take: The recent release of Andre Carter opened up a small enough crack for the Redskins to consider filling that void in the draft.  Brian Orakpo paired with Robert Quinn could end up being hell on opposing quarterbacks.  Speaking of quarterbacks, Mike Shanahan could still target QBs like Colin Kaepernick or Andy Daulton in the next couple rounds.

11.   Houston Texans – Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska

                6’0’’ – 206 lbs – 4.43
                Needs: OLB, DE, CB, WR

                Commish’s Take:  Aldon Smith would make a lot of sense here as an outside linebacker for the   Texans new 3-4 defense, but there wasn’t even close to a worse pass defense in the NFL last year.  Amukamara silenced critics of his speed at the combine by running in the 4.4’s. 

12.   Minnesota Vikings – Blaine Gabbert – QB – Missouri

                6’4’’ – 234 lbs – 4.62
                Needs: QB, DE, OT, OG

                Commish’s Take:  A little bit of a slide for Gabbert, but this seems about the right slot for him to  go.  He is a talented quarterback, but wouldn’t grade out as high in other years against other quarterbacks. The Vikings have an obvious need for a quarterback, and Gabbert would have an opportunity to start right away. Whatever QB the Vikings do draft will have an excellent chance to succeed right away with the weapons already in place.

13.   Detroit Lions – Tyron Smith – OT – USC

                6’5’’ – 307 lbs – DNP
                Needs: OT, CB, OLB, DE

                Commish’s Take: The Lions have big needs at both offensive tackle positions. Tyron Smith is starting to distance himself as the draft’s top offensive lineman. Smith has excellent technique, long arms, and bulked up to 307 lbs. The Lions need to start protecting their investment in Matthew Stafford and not allow him to get injured anymore.

14.   St. Louis Rams – Aldon Smith – DE – Missouri

                6’4’’ – 263 lbs – 4.78
                Needs: WR, TE, DE, DT

                Commish’s Take: Smith is the prototypical defensive lineman that Steve Spagnuolo has gone after since his days as the Giants defensive coordinator.  Smith is tall, lean, and with long arms. Much like Jason Pierre-Paul last year, Smith is a raw pass rusher with a ton of potential. Hell, he’s even a local product.

15.   Miami Dolphins – Gabe Carimi – OT – Wisconsin

                6’7’’ – 314 lbs – 5.27
Needs: RB, OT, NT, QB

                Commish’s Take: What?!?!? Where the hell is Mark Ingram? Well, Ingram has been the popular pick here, but when are teams going to wisen up and realize that running backs can be had later on in the draft. I know Bill Parcells is gone, but his mentality has not gone from the Dolphins front office or coaching staff.  They want big, mean, and nasty players who are willing to work hard.  Carimi could come right in and play right tackle while moving Vernon Carey inside to guard.  With Jake Long at left tackle, the Dolphins would have a very big and talented offensive line.

16.   Jacksonville Jaguars – Cameron Jordan – DE – Cal.

                6’4’’ – 287 lbs – 4.78
                Needs: DE, OLB, S, WR, OG

                Commish’s Take:  Last year, the Jaguars shocked everyone with their selection of Tyson Alualu  from Cal. This year, they could shock everyone by taking a quarterback like Christian Ponder here. Instead, I have them getting Alualu’s teammate from Cal, Cameron Jordan.  Jordan was great at the Senior Bowl and will finally give the Jaguars the end they’ve been looking for.

17.   N. E. Patriots (via OAK) – Muhammad Wilkerson – DE – Temple

                6’4’’ – 315 lbs – 4.93
                Needs: DE, OLB, WR, RB, OL

                Commish’s Take: The Patriots have a ton of picks, so they are going to be able to load up on positions that need some improving. Wilkerson’s stock is on the rise, and some scouts absolutely love him at end in a 3-4 defense.  Wilkerson should fit right into the rotation for the Patriots.  He has a similar body type to Richard Seymour and other ends the Patriots have had.

18.   San Diego Chargers – Akeem Ayers – OLB – UCLA

                6’2’’ – 254 lbs – 4.80
                Needs: LB, DE, RT, WR

                Commish’s Take: The Chargers have major questions at all their linebacker spots.  Ayers took some heat for a slow 40-yard dash at the combine, but he can play and is a good fit for a 3-4 defense. I think Ayers could play inside or outside linebacker right away for the Chargers’ defense.

19.   New York Giants – Anthony Castonzo – OT – Boston College

                6’7’’ – 311 lbs – 5.23
                Needs: OT, MLB, OG

                Commish’s Take:  David Diehl is better at guard, so the Giants need to find another tackle to pair with William Beatty.  Castonzo has great potential and the work ethic to reach that potential. He lacks in lower body strength, but his technique and quickness are great.  I think Castonzo will be a good fit at left tackle over time for the Giants.  Also, Tom Coughlin has a special place in his heart for players from Boston College.

20.   Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Martez Wilson – LB – Illinois

                6’4’’ – 250 lbs – 4.49
                Needs: DE, LB, CB, OT, OG

                Commish’s Take:  The bullets will be flying with this pick. How could I have the Bucs passing on a defensive end?  I absolutely think Ryan Kerrigan and Justin Houston will be in the discussion here along with players from other positions, but haven’t you seen enough mock drafts with the Bucs taking one of those players. Somebody needed the balls to give the Bucs someone different, and that someone is me! The overwhelming consensus is that Martez Wilson is the top middle linebacker in this class by far. Sure, it’s a poor group of middle linebackers, but the size and speed combination that Wilson has would look very nice to a lot of people in the middle of the Bucs defense. If Barrett Ruud, who’s a free agent, is indeed on his way out, who do you think will take over for him?  Adam Hayward?  Wilson is great at blitzing and obviously has the speed to get to the deep middle in the “Tampa 2.” As a bonus, Wilson could line up as an outside rush backer when the Bucs go to a 3-4 defense. Wilson’s probably rated as a late 1^st or  early 2^nd round player, but if the Bucs want a player like this, they’ll have to grab him here.

21.   Kansas City Chiefs – Brooks Reed – OLB – Arizona

                6’2’’ – 263 lbs – 4.68
                Needs: OLB, NT, OT,WR, OG

                Commish’s Take:  Reed is on the rise after a great combine and because he looks so much like Clay Matthews. I like Reed off the edge and a team like the Chiefs fits perfect for him. Some people might think that this is a little high for Reed, but I bet his stock continues to rise all the way till draft day.  This seems like a classic Scott Pioli pick.

22.   Indianapolis Colts – Mike Pouncey – OG – Florida

                6’5’’ – 303 lbs – 5.28
                Needs: OL, CB, LB

                Commish’s Take:  The Colts need to just take the best offensive lineman available. Pouncey can come in right away and play guard for the Colts. He could then eventually take over at center,  after learning how to shotgun snap, of course.

23.   Philadelphia Eagles – Jimmy Smith – CB – Colorado

                6’2’’ – 211 lbs – 4.46
                Needs: CB, OT, OG, OLB

                Commish’s Take:  Jimmy Smith reminds me a lot of Aqib Talib. He’s got all the talent in the world, but he also has a ton of baggage. The Eagles have a huge need at corner, so this seems like a good place for the Eagles to take a risk on a player that could give you a big reward.

24.   New Orleans Saints – Ryan Kerrigan – DE – Purdue

                6’4’’ – 267 lbs – 4.71
                Needs: DE, OLB

                Commish’s Take:  I really have little doubt that the Saints will look to improve their front 7 on defense in the first cuple rounds of this draft.  They already brought in Shaun Rogers this offseason, but they do have a need at end opposite of Will Smith.  Since Smith already plays right end, I eliminated Adrian Clayborn from this pick, since he can only play right end due to his right arm being smaller than his left arm. Kerrigan could come in and play wherever Gregg Williams wanted him to play.

25.   Seattle Seahawks – Jake Locker – QB – Washington

                6’2’’ – 231 lbs – 4.59
                Needs: QB, OG, DE, DT, CB

                Commish’s Take:  There have been recent reports that the Seahawks do not like Locker. Does anyone smell anything? It might be BS coming from the Seahawks. Why would you float a story like that out there?  Anyways, I’ll stick with the Seahawks keeping Locker home and taking over for the departing Matt Hasselbeck.

26.   Baltimore Ravens – Titus Young – WR – Boise St.

                5’11’’ – 174 lbs – 4.53
                Needs: CB, WR(speed), OC, S

                Commish’s Take:  The Ravens have a huge need for a speed receiver. Their receiving corps last year might have been one of the slowest groups the NFL has seen in years.  You can go ahead and pick your poison here.  Speed receivers in this draft include Young, Torrey Smith (from Maryland), Leonard Hankerson, Randall Cobb, and Jerel Jernigan. I like Jernigan a lot but think Young is the flashy player the Ravens are seeking. Any of the aforementioned receivers could go with this pick though.

27.   Atlanta Falcons – Justin Houston – DE – Georgia

                6’3’’ – 270 lbs – 4.68
                Needs: DT, DE, WR, TE

                Commish’s Take:  The Falcons need someone that can get to the quarterback other than John Abraham.  Justin Houston is a local product that can come in and contribute immediately. He needs to learn better technique and more moves as a pass rusher, but he has a lot of natural ability.  If Houston continues to think he can just win with speed off the edge, he’ll go on to be a bust from this draft.

28.   New England Patriots – Mark Ingram – RB – Alabama

                5’9’’ – 215 lbs – 4.62
                Needs: see above

                Commish’s Take: This seems like the right spot for a player like Ingram. Could we look back and  say, “wow, I can’t believe he lasted that long?”  Well, sure. However, in this day and age in the NFL, you can pick up a running back off the street, like Arian Foster, and he goes on to win the rushing title.  There just isn’t a high value on running backs in the draft anymore.  Ingram is a very good back with great vision. I think he’ll be a great addition for the Patriots. 

29.   Chicago Bears – Corey Liugett – DT – Illinois

                6’2’’ – 298 lbs – 4.99
                Needs: OT, OG, WR, DT

                Commish’s Take: The Bears have big needs along the offensive line, but instead replace the recently departed Tommie Harris with a local product. Liugett is very solid against the run and as pass rusher.

30.   New York Jets – Phil Taylor – NT – Baylor

                6’3’’ – 334 lbs – 5.20
                Needs: NT, DE, CB, WR

                Commish’s Take: Phil Taylor is big and mean. The Jets need more toughness and youth along their defensive line. Seems like a good fit to me. Taylor can play nose tackle or end.

31.   Pittsburgh Steelers – Marcus Cannon – OT – TCU

                6’5’’ – 358 lbs – 5.26
                Needs: CB, OT, OG

                Commish’s Take:  Cannon just has the look of a Steelers massive offensive lineman. Flozell Adams seems to be safe for another year, but Cannon could come in and play guard for a year before moving to right tackle.

32. Green Bay Packers – Nate Solder – OT – Colorado

                6’8’’ – 307 lbs – 5.05
                Needs: OT, DE, OLB

                Commish’s Take: After getting Bryan Bulaga after he fell last year, the Packers get another offensive tackle that fell this year. There are concerns that Solder might have a tough time keeping weight on his tall body, but that’s nothing beer and brats won’t fix!

Round 2:

1 (33). N. E. Patriots (via CAR) – Stefan Wisniewski – OC/OG – Penn St.

                Commish’s Take:  The Patriots have to start looking to their interior line. Wisniewski is ready to come in and play immediately.

2 (34). Buffalo Bills – Ryan Mallett – QB – Arkansas

                Commish’s Take:  The Bills need a quarterback with a strong enough arm to throw through the elements.

3 (35). Cincinnati Bengals – Christian Ponder – QB – FSU

                Commish’s Take: Ponder is ideal fit for Jay Gruden’s west-coast style of offense.  He also has a great receiver to throw to now in AJ Green.

4 (36). Denver Broncos – Mikel Leshoure – RB – Illinois

                Commish’s Take:  Yep, the Broncos have Knowshon Moreno, but John Fox has never been afraid to have two running backs.  Leshoure will be to Moreno what Jonathon Stewart was to DeAngelo Williams.

5 (37). Cleveland Browns – Cameron Heyward – DE – Ohio St.

                Commish’s Take:  The Browns stay local and get a big boost for their defensive line.  If he stays healthy, Heyward could become great for the Browns.

6 (38). Arizona Cardinals – Brandon Harris – CB – Miami

                Commish’s Take:  The Cardinals need a corner opposite of Rogers-Cromartie.  Harris is a man-to-man corner who should thrive in the Cardinals type of 3-4 defense.

7 (39). Tennessee Titans – Danny Watkins – OG – Baylor

                Commish’s Take:  Mike Munchak takes over as head coach and doesn’t get an offensive lineman?  Look for the Titans to target Andy Daulton in the 3^rd round.

8 (40). Dallas Cowboys – Derek Sherrod – OT – Miss. St.

                Commish’s Take:  The Cowboys get a gift with Sherrod falling to them in the 2^nd round.  Sherrod could come in and compete for a starting job right away.

9 (41). Washington Redskins – Colin Kaepernick – QB – Nevada

                Commish’s Take:  Mike Shanahan gets a quarterback with a ton of mobility and possibly the strongest arm in the draft. Kaepernick is a good quarterback for Shanahan to mold.

10 (42). Houston Texans – Dontay Moch – LB – Nevada

                Commish’s Take: The Texans need a threat off the edge. Moch played end at Nevada, but at 248 lbs, he’s best in the NFL at outside linebacker especially in a 3-4 defense.

11 (43). Minnesota Vikings – Marvin Austin – DT – North Carolina

                Commish’s Take: Austin wowed everyone at the combine. He’ll be a great replacement for Pat Williams.

12 (44). Detroit Lions – Adrian Clayborn – DE – Iowa

                Commish’s Take: Clayborn slides because of concerns, but continues to help the Lions build a great defensive line.

13 (45). San Francisco 49ers – Christian Ballard – DE – Iowa

                Commish’s Take: The 49ers failed with Kentwan Balmer, so they need someone to come in and man the end position in their 3-4 defense. Ballard was nearly unblockable at the Senior Bowl.

14 (46). Denver Broncos (via MIA) – Aaron Williams – CB – Texas

                Commish’s Take: With needs at corner and safety, why not grab a guy that could potentially play either.  Williams might slip because teams don’t know if he’s a corner or a safety, but a team that has needs for both will take a shot on him.

15 (47). St. Louis Rams – Jonathon Baldwin – WR – Pitt.

                Commish’s Take: The Rams get their big time receiver for Bradford. Baldwin has to fine tune his game, but this is great value for him.

16 (48). Oakland Raiders – Ras-I Dowling – CB – Virginia

                Commish’s Take:  What’s that you say?  Dowling is not worth a 2^nd round pick?  Well, when has the Raiders taken a player that was worth where they were drafted?  Dowling is big and fast. Enough said!

17 (49). Jacksonville Jaguars – Rodney Hudson – OC/OG – FSU

                Commish’s Take: Hudson could come in and play guard or center for the Jaguars.

18 (50). San Diego Chargers – Benjamin Ijalana – OT/OG – Villanova

                Commish’s Take: The Chargers get help along their offensive line. Ijalana would be a nice fit at right tackle.

19 (51). Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Jabaal Sheard – DE – Pitt

                Commish’s Take: Sheard is a technician as a pass rusher with many different moves to get to the quarterback. He should develop well. I think the Bucs should target his college teammate, Greg Romeus, in the 3^rd round.

20 (52). New York Giants – Bruce Carter – LB – North Carolina

                Commish’s Take:  The Giants get Carter who could come in and play outside or inside linebacker for them. Injuries are a concern with Carter.

21 (53). Indianapolis Colts – Rahim Moore – S – UCLA

                Commish’s Take: With Bob Sanders gone, the Colts get a chance to grab the draft’s top safety.  Unfortunately, with this class of safeties, that’s not saying much.

22 (54). Philadelphia Eagles – Jason Pinkston – OT/OG – Pitt.

                Commish’s Take: You knew Andy Reid had to get an offensive lineman. Pinkston can play guard or tackle.

23 (55). Kansas City Chiefs – Leonard Hankerson – WR – Miami

                Commish’s Take: The Chiefs get another regular wide out to play opposite of Dwayne Bowe.

24 (56). New Orleans Saints – Mason Foster – LB – Washington

                Commish’s Take: Continuing to bolster their front 7 on defense, Mason Foster is a sure tackler who’s also a good blitzer for Gregg Williams defense.

25 (57). Seattle Seahawks – Stephen Paea – DT – Oregon St.

                Commish’s Take: Paea set a record on the bench press at the combine. I’m sure many thought he’d go higher, but as you can see, this draft has better depth in the first three rounds than first anticipated.

26 (58). Baltimore Ravens – Curtis Marsh – CB – Utah St.

                Commish’s Take: The Ravens need a corner and Marsh has kind of flown under the radar so far. He has a good combination of size and speed.

27 (59). Atlanta Falcons – Kyle Rudolph – TE – Notre Dame

                Commish’s Take: If Rudolph checks out healthy at his pro day, his stock will rise. Right now, the Falcons get their heir to Tony Gonzalez.

28 (60). New England Patriots – Randall Cobb – WR – Kentucky

                Commish’s Take: The Patriots need to get Tom Brady some weapons to work with in the passing game. I picked Cobb for the Patriots here because he is a better route runner than the receivers left. He seems like a Patriots receiver already.

29 (61). San Diego Chargers (via NYJ) – Jerel Jernigan – WR – Troy

                Commish’s Take: I think the Chargers could use a little flash on offense and in special teams.  When I watch Jernigan on film, there is just something special about him. Don’t be shocked if he does end up going much earlier than this.

30 (62). Chicago Bears – Greg Little – WR – North Carolina

                Commish’s Take:  Little has some character concerns, but also has everything you want from a No. 1 receiver. This is exactly what the Bears need.

31 (63). Pittsburgh Steelers – Curtis Brown – CB – Texas

                Commish’s Take: The Steelers pass defense was a little shaky in 2010. Brown might have been  overshadowed at Texas by Aaron Williams, but he should be a good fit in man coverage run by Pittsburgh.

32 (64). Green Bay Packers – Torrey Smith – WR – Maryland

                Commish’s Take: The Packers are in a good position because they just don’t have many needs. What the hell, let’s give them one of the fastest receivers in the draft. I think the Packers might need a little more speed in their receiving corps.

Will Raheem go back to his roots on draft day?

NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, The Commish of WDAE-AM 620, answers your questions in the popular Commish’s inbox podcast. Lost of diversity in today’s mailbag, from Gaines Adams to potential picks with minor injuries to the Bucs’ options outside of the first round.

Click below to listen, or download here.

Audio clip: Adobe Flash Player (version 9 or above) is required to play this audio clip. Download the latest version here. You also need to have JavaScript enabled in your browser.

Y0u’re nuts if you’re not enjoying the versatile multimedia coverage from NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, aka The Commish of WDAE-AM 620. The Commish is ripping off all sorts of great stuff exclusively for JoeBucsFan.com – you’ll see him on JoeBucsFan TV soon — and he’s got his own great draft buzz page as well.

Below Pawlowski intelligently explores yet another plausible option for the Bucs in the first round.

By JUSTIN PAWLOWSKI
JoeBucsFan.com analyst

Mark Dominik recently listed his priorities to building a winning franchise.  Priority No. 1 was a franchise quarterback, which the Bucs have.  No. 2 was protecting that franchise quarterback.  And he finished by saying you have to “attack the other team’s quarterback.”

Before Bucs fans move on to Dominik’s third priority, we should ask if No. 2 has been fully addressed. 

The Bucs dealt with many issues along their offensive line last year and have many questions to answer this offseason. Davin Joseph and Jeremy Trueblood are destined for free agency. Center Jeff Faine has struggled with staying healthy and, although he’s been allegedly assured he’s coming back in 2011, is due $4.5 million in 2011 before seeing his salary jump to $6 million in 2012 and $7 million in 2013. 

Ted Larsen and Derek Hardman played decent at the end of 2010, but can they be counted on in 2011? 

Jeremy Zuttah was not great at guard at the beginning of 2010, but seemed at home when filling in for Faine at center. If Davin Joseph finds greener pastures in free agency, the Bucs would be forced to start Zuttah and Larsen at the guard positions and hope Faine can stay injury-free.

Only the Bucs and Mark Dominik know for sure whether they can afford to keep Joseph in a Bucs uniform.  If they feel it’s going to be a struggle once free agency does get underway, they might be proactive in finding his replacement in the first round of the 2011 draft.   

Sure, Mike Pouncey struggled with shotgun snaps at Florida in 2010, but his production as an overall lineman was very encouraging. He has been a very productive lineman from his days at Lakeland High School through his time with the Gators. 

Pouncey has the ability to step in and compete right away, which is what the Bucs might need if Joseph leaves.  Pouncey also has versatility, which is another attribute the Bucs like in their offensive linemen. 

We should not forget the connection Raheem Morris has with Mike Tomlin, either. Mike Pouncey’s brother, Maurkice, had one of the best years any rookie offensive lineman has ever had in the NFL with the Steelers last year.  There’s no doubt that Raheem has heard his buddy Tomlin talk about the luxury of having Maurkice on his lin. And raheem might view this as his opportunity to get his own Pouncey. 

It’s all speculation, but isn’t that what the draft’s all about?