First, let Joe say that he tries to avoid exposing himself to all the hype surrounding draft picks. Joe’s been around too long and been let down too many times. Let’s see a guy play in the NFL.

But Joe admits he did get sucked into this highlight reel of defensive end Cameron Jordan. Joe found it on the Chicago Bears website. Joe particularly liked Jordan playing without his helmet, and not in the way Antonio Cromartie does.

NFL Draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski talked to Jordan about all things draft recently, including his pre-draft experience with the Bucs. Fun stuff. And all part of the exlusive draft coverage on JoeBucsFan.com.

Click the arrow below to enjoy, or download here.

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Don’t forget to catch all the daily draft buzz from The Commish at 620wdae.com.

Here’s your chance to chat all things NFL Draft with the chief draft guru in the Tampa Bay area. Nothing’s off limits with The Commish, Justin Pawlowski of WDAE-AM 620, who commands the great draft coverage on JoeBucsFan.com.

See you at 2!

The Commish looks to the ACC and a dinged up yet talented linebacker for the Bucs second-round pick.

Here’s another manbeast of a mock draft from draft guru/WDAE-AM 620 radio personality Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski. It’s all part of the exclusive in-depth draft coverage at JoeBucsFan.com.

Feel free to debate The Commish’s picks with him today as he fills in for the dean of Tampa Bay sports radio, Steve Duemig, from 3 p.m to 6:30 p.m. on WDAE-AM 620. Those chained to a computer can listen online at 620wdae.com.

Grab a cold beverage and enjoy.

1st Round

1. Carolina Panthers – Cam Newton – QB – Auburn
6’5’’ – 248 lbs – 4.59
Needs: CB, DT, DE, WR, QB

Commish’s Take: It’s looking more and more clear that Cam Newton will be the first pick in the draft. He has all the ability, and if he does reach his potential, the NFC South would end up with the best collective group of starting quarterbacks in the NFL.

2. Denver Broncos – Marcell Dareus – DT – Alabama
6’3’’ – 319 lbs – 4.92
Needs: DT, DE, CB, S

Commish’s Take: Dareus is the top defensive tackle in the draft and the massive player John Fox likes in the middle of his defensive line. With a transition back to a 4-3 defense, it’s imperative that the Broncos find some defensive tackles since they currently only have two on their roster.

3. Buffalo Bills – Von Miller – OLB – Texas A&M
6’3’’ – 246 lbs – 4.49

Needs: DE, QB, WR, LB
Commish’s Take: I think the Bills would take Newton with this pick, but I think they’d pass on Gabbert. I don’t think Gabbert has the downfield accuracy to be successful in Chan Gailey’s offense. The Bills are desperate for help on the front 7 of their defense. Von Miller is the top hybrid linebacker in this draft and should make the Bills forget about Aaron Maybin.

4. Cincinnati Bengals – Blaine Gabbert – QB – Missouri
6’4’’ – 234 lbs – 4.62

Needs: WR, QB, DT
Commish’s Take: With Jay Gruden running the offense now in Cincinnati and the current quarterback not wanting to be there, I’m sure Gruden would want to get his own quarterback in as soon as possible. Gabbert is a good fit for Gruden’s west-coast style of offense.

5. Arizona Cardinals – Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU
6’0’’ – 219 lbs – 4.34

Needs: OLB, CB, OT, QB

Commish’s Take: There are a lot of rumors from every newspaper in Arizona that the Cardinals will be going defense in the 1st round. Well, with Gabbert off the board, there’s really no discussion. The big debate for the Cardinals is whether to draft a hybrid defensive end or maybe the best player in the draft. Peterson has been hyped as one of the best corners to come out in a long time. With Dominique Rogers-Cromartie on the other side, the Cardinals would be very tough to pass against.

6. Cleveland Browns – AJ Green – WR – Georgia
6’4’’ – 211 lbs – 4.50
Needs: WR, DE, OLB, TE, NT

Commish’s Take: I know the Browns need an end, but it’s just too hard to pass on AJ Green when you need a big time receiver. Green would immediately give the Browns a legit threat in the passing game. With this draft being so deep at defensive linemen, it might make sense to grab the best playmaker in the draft here.

7. San Francisco 49ers – Aldon Smith – DE – Missouri
6’4’’ – 263 lbs – 4.78
Needs: QB, DE, OLB, CB, S
Commish’s Take: With Peterson off the board, the 49ers could take Prince Amukamara or address their pass rush. Robert Quinn is a possibility, but Aldon Smith has been compared to Demarcus Ware and his stock is on the rise. The 49ers need something off the edge and Smith is one of the most dynamic pass rushers in the draft.

8. Tennessee Titans – Da’Quan Bowers – DE – Clemson
6’3’’ – 280 lbs – DNP
Needs: DT, CB, QB, OG

Commish’s Take: One of the hardest players to predict is Da’Quan Bowers. I don’t think he’ll fall past the early teens, but some people have him falling to the 20’s or beyond. The Titans want to revamp the type of defensive lineman they bring in. According to yahoo sports, the Titans have told Bowers that if he is there when they pick that they will select him. Nick Fairley is also a possibility, but if they feel Bowers is the better player, I have no doubts that they’ll select Bowers.

9. Dallas Cowboys – Tyron Smith – OT – USC
6’5’’ – 307 lbs – DNP

Needs: DE, OT, OG, CB, S
Commish’s Take: The Cowboys have a big need at offensive tackle and Smith is the top tackle in this class. At just 20 years old, Smith is one of the younger players in the draft, but he has superb technique and long arms which could help him become a very good left tackle in the NFL.

10. Washington Redskins – Julio Jones – WR – Alabama
6’3’’ – 220 lbs – 4.39
Needs: QB, WR, DE, OLB

Commish’s Take: The Redskins luck out a bit and get Jones to fall to their lap. Jones is a big receiver with skills similar to Terrell Owens. The Redskins need a receiver with Santana Moss heading to free agency. The Redskins could reach on a quarterback like Jake Locker here, but with Jones on the board, their pick got easy.

11. Houston Texans – Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska
6’0’’ – 206 lbs – 4.43
Needs: OLB, DE, CB, WR

Commish’s Take: The Texans pass defense was just awful last year. Prince Amukamara could come in and start immediately. Quinn could be a possibility here as an outside linebacker, but I think the Texans could address that position in the 2nd round.

12. Minnesota Vikings – Jake Locker – QB – Washington
6’2’’ – 231 lbs – 4.59
Needs: QB, DE, OT, OG

Commish’s Take: There is a lot of risk with Locker, but the Vikings are desperate for a franchise quarterback and might view Locker as a young Brett Favre. Locker is fiery, a leader, and has a strong arm. Accuracy is a major concern, but it might be too risky for the Vikings to wait on a quarterback until the 2nd round. They might miss completely on a quarterback entirely.

13. Detroit Lions – Robert Quinn – DE – North Carolina
6’4’’ – 265 lbs – 4.70
Needs: OT, CB, OLB, DE

Commish’s Take: Sure, the Lions need an offensive tackle, but I think it would be real tough to pass on Robert Quinn and pair him with Ndamukong Suh. The Lions would quickly be building one of the most electric defensive lines in the NFL.

14. St. Louis Rams – Nick Fairley – DT – Auburn
6’4’’ – 291 – 4.87
Needs: WR, TE, DE, DT

Commish’s Take: Once you get past the Titans, there just aren’t a lot of teams that need a defensive tackle until this pick. Fairley has some definite character issues that are also playing a factor. Everyone else’s mistake is the Rams gain. Fairley fits in very well with Steve Spagnuolo’s system and has the potential to thrive for a long time.

15. Miami Dolphins – Mike Pouncey – OG/OC – Florida
6’5’’ – 303 lbs – 5.28

Needs: RB, OT, NT, QB
Commish’s Take: Running bac has been the popular choice here, but I think the Dolphins can get running backs later in this draft and in free agency. I think the Dolphins will try like hell to trade down and acquire extra draft picks. If they can’t trade back, they will probably look to Improve the interior of their offensive line. Pouncey could step in and play guard or center for the Dolphins and help open lanes for whoever is running the ball.

16. Jacksonville Jaguars – Adrian Clayborn – DE – Iowa
6’3’’ – 281 lbs – 4.81

Needs: DE, OLB, S, WR, OG

Commish’s Take: I got to this pick with so many great defensive ends on the board, but something inside me kept telling me Adrian Clayborn here. Yes, I know it would be surprising, but the draft never goes smooth, and why wouldn’t the Jaguars be the team that really shakes things up. I was surprised to hear that Clayborn would be in NYC for the draft, and then a recent story said that Clayborn is expected to be a late teen or early 20’s pick. Jack Del Rio likes defensive players who are leaders and productive. Although his productivity fell off last year, Clayborn was dominant in 2009. Let’s try and this and see how it all plays out.

17. N. E. Patriots (via OAK) – Anthony Castonzo – OT – Boston College
6’7’’ – 311 lbs – 5.23

Needs: DE, OLB, WR, RB, OL
Commish’s Take: Castonzo has a lot of experience and potential as a stqarter at left tackle in the NFL. The Patriots need to address many areas of their team, and offensive line is near the top of the list. Castonzo should fit in well with the type of offense the Patriots run.

18. San Diego Chargers – JJ Watt – DE – Wisconsin
6’5’’ – 290 lbs – 4.82
Needs: LB, DE, RT, WR

Commish’s Take: I think the Chargers need linebackers, but taking one here would be a risk and possibly a reach. Watt could step right in and start at end in the Chargers 3-4 defense. Watt is big and very athletic. We can see the good depth in this draft when a player like Watt falls to the 18th pick.

19. New York Giants – Corey Liuget – DT – Illinois
6’2’’ – 298 lbs – 4.99
Needs: OT, MLB, OG

Commish’s Take: With Barry Coefield on the way out in free agency, the Giants need a disrupter in the middle of their defensive line for their “Tampa 2” defense. Liuget has been compared to Gerald McCoy and would be a nice fit as the under tackle for the Giants.

20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Cameron Jordan – DE – Cal.
6’4’’ – 287 lbs – 4.78
Needs: DE, LB, CB, OT, OG

Commish’s Take: Who would have thought that the Bucs would have their choice of Ryan Kerrigan and Cameron Jordan? I know that I wanted to give the Bucs Kerrigan, but the way this played out, I had to go with the more talented player. Jordan is bigger and stronger than Kerrigan and apparently a favorite of Raheem Morris. I also understand that Mark Dominik’s favorite might be Ryan Kerrigan. Most likely, their decision will be made by the teams in front of them, but in this case Jordan is the pick. If I’m Mark Dominik, I’m looking at Jordan as a left defensive end on 1st and 2nd down and end when the Bucs go to their 3-4 defense. I would then focus on getting another end to play the right side in the 2nd or 3rd round. Maybe that player could be Greg Romeus in the 3rd?

21. Kansas City Chiefs – Phil Taylor – NT – Baylor
6’3’’ – 334 lbs – 5.20

Needs: OLB, NT, OT, WR, OG
Commish’s Take: A great 3-4 defense starts with a big and nasty nose tackle in the middle of the defensive line. The Chiefs have not had that. Taylor is big and mean, and could take the Chiefs defense to the next level.

22. Indianapolis Colts – Derek Sherrod – OT – Miss. St.
6’5’’ – 321 lbs – 5.28

Needs: OL, CB, LB

Commish’s Take: Bill Polian said that he regretted not taking an offensive tackle in last year’s draft. He’s not making that mistake again. Sherrod can play tackle on either side of the line and is a very balanced offensive lineman. I’m not buying the talk that the Colts might draft the heir to Peyton Manning with this pick.

23. Philadelphia Eagles – Jimmy Smith – CB – Colorado
6’2’’ – 211 lbs – 4.46
Needs: CB, OT, OG, OLB

Commish’s Take: Sure, character is a concern, but Smith’s skills are awesome. He is very good in press and man coverage. If he keeps himself out of trouble, Smith could be a star for the Eagles.

24. New Orleans Saints – Cameron Heyward – DE – Ohio St.
6’5’’ – 294 lbs – DNP

Needs: DE, OLB, DT

Commish’s Take: The last time the Saints drafted a Heyward with the 24th pick in the draft was in 1988 when they selected Craig “Ironhead” Heyward who just happens to be Cameron Heyward’s father. The Saints have a big need at the end position opposite of Will Smith. Heyward is a great fit for Gregg Williams blitz scheme as he is strong enough to play the run, rush the passer, and take on multiple blockers.

25. Seattle Seahawks – Christian Ponder – QB – FSU
6’2’’ – 229 lbs – 4.65

Needs: QB, OG, DE, DT, CB

Commish’s Take: If the Seahawks are going to take a quarterback, the bezst fit for them is Christian Ponder. With Darrelle Bevel bringing his west-coast offense to the Seahawks, they need a quarterback with mobility and accuracy. Ponder has had issues with his throwing shoulder, but he has proved to have good accuracy and top intangibles. He would challenge Charlie Whitehurst immediately.

26. Baltimore Ravens – Muhammad Wilkerson – DE – Temple
6’4’’ – 315 lbs – 4.96
Needs: CB, WR(speed), OC, S, DE

Commish’s Take: The Ravens need some insurance for Corey Redding who will become a free agent next year. Wilkerson might be a project, but he has a ton of potential. Wilkerson’s big frame and athleticism should be a nice fit with the Ravens defense.

27. Atlanta Falcons – Ryan Kerrigan – DE – Purdue
6’4’’ – 267 lbs – 4.71
Needs: DT, DE, WR, TE

Commish’s Take: The Falcons need someone that can rush the passer other than John Abraham. Kerrigan slips a little in this mock draft, but don’t be fooled, he’s still an extremely good player. Kerrigan could step in for the Falcons and be a leader on their defense and team for 10 years.

28. New England Patriots – Akeem Ayers – OLB – UCLA
6’2’’ – 254 lbs – 4.80

Needs: see above

Commish’s Take: The Patriots need a rush off the edge. Ayers is a perfect fit for a 3-4 defense. He is big and shows good explosion. He is also a true linebacker, so there is no worry of his transitioning from end to a new position. He knows how to drop into coverage and how to play standing up.

29. Chicago Bears – Gabe Carimi – OT – Wisconsin
6’7’’ – 314 lbs – 5.27

Needs: OT, OG, WR, DT

Commish’s Take: There’s no secret that the Bears need offensive and defensive linemen. Carimi fits the mold of a Bears offensive lineman. He is big and physical. I think Carimi could play left tackle, but might be better suited for right tackle.

30. New York Jets – Justin Houston – DE – Georgia
6’3’’ – 270 lbs – 4.68
Needs: NT, DE, CB, WR

Commish’s Take: Some analysts have compared Justin Houston to Vernon Gholston, but if the Jets or any team worried about stuff like that, they would miss out on some great players. Houston has size, strength, and speed off the edge. Yes, he needs to learn other pass rushing moves, but he has talent. I think Houston is definitely worth the risk here.

31. Pittsburgh Steelers – Benjamin Ijalana – OT – Villanova
6’4’’ – 317 lbs – DNP

Needs: CB, OT, OG

Commish’s Take: I think the Steelers could use an upgrade over Flozell Adams at right tackle. Ijalana comes from lesser competition, but he has a lot of talent. Ijalana’s massive fram would be perfect at right tackle for the Steelers.

32. Green Bay Packers – Nate Solder – OT – Colorado
6’8’’ – 307 lbs – 5.05

Needs: OT, DE, OLB

Commish’s Take: After taking Bryan Bulaga last year, the Packers get his book end this year. For years, the Packers had Chad Clifton and Mark Tauscher, and they never had to worry about either position. With this selection, the Packers have set themselves up for another 10 years of not worrying about either tackle position.

Round 2:

1 (33). N. E. Patriots (via CAR) – Mark Ingram – RB – Alabama
5’9’’ – 215 lbs – 4.62

Commish’s Take: Running backs have lost their luster a bit, but the Patriots jump at the shot at Ingram at the top of round 2. Ingram instantly becomes the Patriots premier back and will eventually become a leader on the team.

2 (34). Buffalo Bills – Ryan Mallett – QB – Arkansas
6’7’’ – 253 lbs – 5.50

Commish’s Take: Mallett’s strong arm can cut through the harsh Buffalo winters. He is a great fit for Chan Gailey’s vertical pass game.

3 (35). Cincinnati Bengals – Jonathon Baldwin – WR – Pitt.
6’4’’ – 228 lbs – 4.43

Commish’s Take: Baldwin has a great combination of size and speed. He immediately becomes Gabbert’s number one target.

4 (36). Denver Broncos – Kyle Rudolph – TE – Notre Dame
6’6’’ – 260 lbs – 4.80

Commish’s Take: John Fox never got his tight end in Carolina. Rudolph brings a different dimension to an offense.

5 (37). Cleveland Browns – Marvin Austin – DT – North Carolina
6’2’’ – 309 lbs – 4.90

Commish’s Take: The Browns need defensive linemen desperately. Austin’s stock is on the rise and he could end up being dominant in the NFL.

6 (38). Arizona Cardinals – Brooks Reed – OLB – Arizona
6’2’’ – 263 lbs – 4.68

Commish’s Take: Reed stays home and addresses a huge need for the Cardinals. He is a great fit off the edge in the Cardinals 3-4 defense.

7 (39). Tennessee Titans – Andy Daulton – QB – TCU
6’2’’ – 215 lbs – 4.87

Commish’s Take: The Titans have a big need for a quarterback. Daulton is a very good leader with top intangibles and good accuracy. With Kerry Collins already under contract, Daulton does not need to step in and play right away.

8 (40). Dallas Cowboys – Christian Ballard – DE – Iowa
6’4’’ – 283 lbs – 4.80

Commish’s Take: With Marcus Spears set for free agency, the Cowboys need an end. Ballard is a great fit at end in a 3-4 and was unblockable at the senior bowl.

9 (41). Washington Redskins – Colin Kaepernick – QB – Nevada
6’5’’ – 233 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: Kaepernick is a little bit of a project, but a good fit for Mike Shanahan’s offense. Kaepernick is the fastest quarterback in the draft and might have the strongest arm.

10 (42). Houston Texans – Martez Wilson – LB – Illinois
6’4’’ – 250 lbs – 4.49

Commish’s Take: Martez Wilson will be moved from inside to outside linebacker and asked to do what he does best, and that’s rushing the passer.

11(43). Minnesota Vikings – Danny Watkins – OG – Baylor
6’3’’ – 310 lbs – 5.40

Commish’s Take: Watkins is one of the older players in the draft, but also one of the top guards as well.

12 (44). Detroit Lions – Brandon Harris – CB – Miami
5’10’’ – 191 lbs – 4.51

Commish’s Take: The Lions have big needs at corner. Harris has a lot of experience and would be an upgrade for the Lions.

13 (45). San Francisco 49ers – Ricky Stanzi – QB – Iowa
6’4’’ – 223 lbs – 4.93

Commish’s Take: This might be a reach, but it looks like the 49ers really like Stanzi and might reach on him in the 2nd round. Stanzi would compete for the 49ers starting job in year 1.

14 (46). Denver Broncos (via MIA) – Aaron Williams – CB – Texas
6’0’’ – 204 lbs – 4.51

Commish’s Take: Williams could play corner or safety. The good news is that the Broncos could use both.

15 (47). St. Louis Rams – Mikel Leshoure – RB – Illinois
6’0’’ – 227 lbs – 4.59

Commish’s Take: A wide receiver is definitely possible here, but insurance for Steven Jackson is also a priority. Leshoure’s running style has been compared to Jackson’s.

16 (48). Oakland Raiders – Ras-I Dowling – CB – Virginia
6’1’’ – 198 lbs – 4.46

Commish’s Take: Dowling is big and fast at the corner position. The Raiders lost Nnamdi Asomugha. It seems like this one has Al Davis written all over it.

17 (49). Jacksonville Jaguars – Stefan Wisniewski – OC/OG – Penn St.
6’3’’ – 313 lbs – 5.35

Commish’s Take: The Jaguars got their two offensive tackles a couple years ago, and now it’s time to get their future center. Wisniewski has good bloodlines and would give the Jaguars some really good offensive linemen.

18 (50). San Diego Chargers – Jabaal Sheard – DE – Pitt
6’3’’ – 264 lbs – 4.69

Commish’s Take: Sheard would move to outside linebacker with the Chargers and come off the edge opposite of Larry English. Sheard was a great pass rusher at Pitt.

19 (51). Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Bruce Carter – LB – North Carolina
6’2’’ – 241 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take: The Bucs continue to address their defensive front 7. Carter has some injury issues, but is a very talented linebacker. He can play inside or outside, and plays with a lot of speed. Keep an eye on his injury status.

20 (52). New York Giants – James Carpenter – OT – Alabama
6’4’’ – 321 lbs – 5.28

Commish’s Take: I saw reports that thought Carpenter was the top tackle in this year’s draft. I’m not that certain, but I am certain that his stock is going up.

21 (53). Indianapolis Colts – Rahim Moore – S – UCLA
6’0’’ – 202 lbs – 4.62

Commish’s Take: The Colts were finally forced to cut ties with Bob Sanders. Moore is the top safety in this class and has very good ball skills in coverage.

22 (54). Philadelphia Eagles – Marcus Cannon – OT – TCU
6’5’’ – 358 lbs – 5.26

Commish’s Take: You know the Eagles are bound to take an offensive lineman sometime. Cannon is a massive lineman that could play right tackle or move inside to guard. He’s a good fit in the NFC East.

23 (55). Kansas City Chiefs – Leonard Hankerson – WR – Miami
6’2’’ – 209 lbs – 4.43

Commish’s Take: Hankerson isn’t the most polished receiver, but would provide an excellent complement to Dwayne Bowe.

24 (56). New Orleans Saints – Stephen Paea – DT – Oregon St.
6’1’’ – 303 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take: Like Heyward, Paea is big and strong. He can take on multiple blockers allowing the linebackers and safeties to blitz the quarterback.

25 (57). Seattle Seahawks – Ryan Williams – RB – Va. Tech
5’9’’ – 212 lbs – 4.61

Commish’s Take: Williams might end up being the most talented back in this draft. If he stays healthy, he would be a great fit with his speed and excellent hands in the Seahawks new west- coast offense.

26 (58). Baltimore Ravens – Torrey Smith – WR – Maryland
5’11’’ – 174 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: The Ravens need speed at receiver. Smith has potential, but there just is not enough consistency in his game to take him any higher than this.

27 (59). Atlanta Falcons – Titus Young – WR – Boise St.
5’11’’ – 174 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: Young would bring a flash and an excitement to the Falcons offense.

28 (60). New England Patriots – Randall Cobb – WR – Kentucky
5’10’ – 191 lbs – 4.46

Commish’s Take: Cobb’s ability to run good routes and ability to run after the catch would fit in nicely with the Patriots offense.

29 (61). San Diego Chargers (via NYJ) – Jordan Cameron – TE – USC
6’5’’ – 254 lbs – 4.59

Commish’s Take: Antonio Gates has been banged up the past couple years, so it wouldn’t hurt to get a tight end who compares to him.

30 (62). Chicago Bears – Greg Little – WR – North Carolina
6’3’’ – 231 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: The Bears need a No. 1 receiver. Little has all the talent of a No. 1, but his character is a question. If he keeps his behavior in check, the Bears might get a steal here.

31 (63). Pittsburgh Steelers – Curtis Brown – CB – Texas
6’0’’ – 184 lbs – 4.54

Commish’s Take: Brown’s stock is on the rise. He is not very physical, but is good in man coverage.

32 (64). Green Bay Packers – Dontay Moch – LB – Nevada
6’1’’ – 248 lbs – 4.44

Commish’s Take: The Packers need another outside linebacker to rush the passer. Moch’s size and speed combination is very intriguing.

Renowned draft guru Justin Pawlowski, aka The Commish, continues to hammer out his intense draft analysis here and on the draft page at 620wdae.com. Might the Bucs be looking for a quarterback in the late rounds? Doubtful. But if they plan to move Josh Johnson? …

Quarterbacks:

By JUSTIN PAWLOWSKI

1. Cam Newton – Auburn
6’5’’ – 248 lbs – 4.59
Top 5

Why The Commish would take him: Well, it’s pretty easy to take a player who might be the best athlete to ever play the quarterback position. He’s Tim Tebow with a lot more talent. Newton’s strong arm allows him to make throws all over the field. Obviously, he’s bigger and faster than most quarterbacks to ever be in the NFL.  Finally, I find it extremely impressive how Newton dealt with as much adversity that was around him and still lead Auburn to a National Championship.

Why The Commish would stay away: There are plenty of issues swirling around Newton, but what he does on the field matters to me most.  My biggest question is how Newton will fair in a pro-style offense and having to read NFL defenses. As for his off-the-field antics, I would look at how he handled all that adversity in college and rely on the background work my department does. I think Newton’s character concerns are not as heavy as most people think.

Commish’s Final Say: Comparisons to Vince Young or JaMarcus Russell were unfair and just flat out wrong early in the draft process.  Newton has never once had his work ethic questioned. As for Vince Young, Newton has already handled 10 times more adversity than what Young couldn’t handle.  Newton is a great talent that will need to put his work ethic to use mainly in the classroom and film room in the NFL.

Comparison:   Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers

2. Blaine Gabbert – Missouri
6’4’’ – 234 lbs – 4.62
Top 15

Why The Commish would take him:  What I like most about Gabbert is his quick decision making. In Missouri’s spread offense, the quarterback has to make quick decisions on every pass play and get the ball out of his hands. Gabbert is also very accurate on the short quick passes. I also think Gabbert’s athleticism is underrated due to so many athletic quarterbacks already in this class. I think Gabbert ranks right up there with the rest when it comes to athleticism.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Two glaring weaknesses have me most concerned.  First, Gabbert’s accuracy on throws more than five yards down the field was awful.  Sure, many throws at Missouri were short and quick throws, but you got to have accuracy down the field to be considered an elite quarterback in my eyes. I also am very concerned about Gabbert’s ability to handle the rush.  It seemed as though Gabbert would lose his cool whenever the pressure would get to him. Being a high draft pick means your’re probably going to a bad team with what could be a poor offensive line.

Commish’s Final Say:  I’m not as high on Gabbert as others are. I also didn’t fall for his performance at his pro day.  Scouts and analysts were gushing about Gabbert after his pro day, but that enthusiasm has faded as scouts go back and watch film on Gabbert. His lack of down-field accuracy is most concerning and could drop him from the top 5 on draft day.

Comparison:   Kyle Orton – Denver Broncos

3. Christian Ponder – FSU
6’2’’ – 229 lbs – 4.65
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would take him: Ponder’s intangibles are off the chart. He’s a fantastic leader, great in the huddle, and has a great work ethic. Ponder is also a very accurate quarterback who might be best suited for a west-coast offense. Ponder is also comfortable under center in a pro-style offense. That means Ponder is experienced reading defenses and making reads in the pass game.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Health and arm strength are the major concerns surrounding Ponder. The last 2 seasons have been cut short for Ponder with a shoulder injury to his throwing arm in his junior season and an elbow injury to his throwing arm as a senior which required two in-season surgeries. 

Commish’s Final Say: Technology is a funny thing as I remember Drew Brees going down with a catastrophic shoulder injury before signing with the Saints and becoming one of the great passers in the game today. Ponder reminds me of Brees coming out of Purdue.  Ponder might not be the flashiest quarterback, but he might have the best intangibles, which NFL teams cherish in a quarterback.  I’m definitely not saying that Ponder will be just like Brees, but they do have similar qualities.

Comparison:   Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints

4. Ryan Mallett – Arkansas
6’7’’ – 253 lbs – 5.50
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would take him: Mallett is the best pure passer in this draft. He is also the most NFL-ready quarterback in this draft.  Mallett should be able to step into any offense and not have any issues throwing the football. Strictly by play on the field, Mallett is the best “quarterback” in this draft.

Why The Commish would stay away:  It’s no secret that Mallett has some questionable character. I’m still not sure if I believe the drug rumors that were floating about. Mallett has still proved to be a bit of an issue when it comes to his attitude. He has been compared to Eminem, which is not a good thing. Mallett also did not handle the media well at the combine.  I worry that if the going gets tough in the NFL, whether Mallett will be able to handle it.

Commish’s Final Say:  It takes just one team to fall in love with a player and draft him.  There have been many rumors surrounding Mallett, but the fact is Mallett is the quarterback that is most ready to step in and play right away in the NFL.  I think a quarterback like Mallett is worth  taking a risk on in the late 1st or early 2nd round.  I wouldn’t be shocked if Mallett went much higher or much lower than most people think.  His range is as big as any player’s in the draft.

Comparison:  Phillips Rivers – San Diego Chargers

5. Jake Locker – Washington
6’2’’ – 231 lbs – 4.59
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would take him: Locker has a ton of experience against top competition. I also like the fact that Locker played in a pro-style offense at Washington. Locker is an incredible athlete with a strong arm. Locker also has great intangibles. He’s a great leader, has a great work ethic, has lead his teams to wins late in games, and has played in horrible weather.

Why The Commish would stay away: Accuracy. Locker had seven or fewer completions in theree separate games last season.  He struggled with accuracy in games, at the senior bowl, and at the combine.  I’m the type that does not want my NFL quarterback without accuracy.

Commish’s Final Say:  I still think Locker could get drafted high, but I have major concerns about him ever developing his accuracy.  He does remind  me a lot of Jeff Garcia.  Garcia was a fiery quarterback who had control of the huddle and was a great athlete.  I laugh, though, when people call Garcia accurate.  If you saw how many open receivers he missed as quarterback for the Bucs and how off target his throws were, you’d be sick.  With that said, Garcia had a successful career, and Locker could have the same.

Comparison:  Jeff Garcia – San Francisco 49ers

6. Colin Kaepernick – Nevada
6’5’’ – 233 lbs – 4.53
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would take him:  There is a lot to like about Kaepernick. First, he’s a humble kid without any glaring or major concerns. That is really good for this QB class. Kaepernick is an unbelievable athlete with an incredibly strong arm. He was a four-year starter at Nevada, so he has a ton of good experience, including some in big games.  Kaepernick is a great leader and has fantastic work ethic.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Kaepernick did not play in a pro-style offense, so there are questions about him taking snaps from under center, reading a defense, and being able to go through a progression.

Commish’s Final Say:  I am concerned that Kaepernick is more of an athlete with a strong arm than a quarterback. He does possess some unique physical skills that are very intriguing.  With proper coaching and development, I think Kaepernick could be special.

Comparison:   Randall Cunningham – Philadelphia Eagles

7. Andy Daulton – TCU
6’2’’ – 215 lbs – 4.87
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would take him:  Intangibles are strong with Daulton. He won MVP in three separate Bowl games. Daulton is an outstanding leader with great work ethic. He is also very tough and durable. Daulton is also a very confident player with great mobility inside the pocket.

Why The Commish would stay away:  There’s nothing real flashy about Daulton.  In a QB class with so many questions, I’m thinking a majority of these prospects, including Daulton, will be over-drafted. Daulton doesn’t have elite arm strength and could be limited to a west-coast offense.

Commish’s Final Say: I think Daulton is a solid quarterback with great leadership skills. It’s tough to say whether he’ll become an elite   quarterback, but he has potential to become a very solid starter and leader on a football team.

Comparison:  Matt Hasselbeck – Seattle Seahawks

8. Ricky Stanzi – Iowa
6’4’’ – 223 lbs – 4.93
2nd/3rd Round

Why The Commish would take him: The first thing that should stand out is Stanzi’s success in the Big Ten while running a pro-style offense. He has good size, very good technique, and a great work ethic. Stanzi was also a  captain and leader for Iowa. 

Why The Commish would stay away:  Accuracy downfield is my first concern.  I also worry about how Stanzi will handle an NFL pass rush.  He seemed to get rattled at times. Stanzi also did not show up well in clutch situations.

Commish’s Final Say:  I think Stanzi might be one of the underrated quarterback prospects in this draft.  If Andy Daulton is getting as much run as he is, I’m surprised that Stanzi isn’t getting much at all.  It wouldn’t shock me at all if Stanzi went much higher than most people think.

Comparison:  Tony Romo – Dallas Cowboys

9. Greg McElroy – Alabama
6’2’’ – 220 lbs – 4.91
4th Round

Why The Commish would take him: McElroy is smart and a game manager.  He is very calm in the pocket and makes good decisions.   McElroy has only lost 3 games as a starting quarterback since the 8th grade. McElroy is a great leader, great in the community,

Why The Commish would stay away:  I think McElroy is destined to be the next Josh Johnson.  Yep, a career backup. McElroy does not have a strong arm and does not have the traits of a starting-caliber quarterback in the NFL.

Commish’s Final Say: If I’m a team in need of a backup quarterback, I would definitely target McElroy in the middle of the draft.  He could end up challenging for a starting job down the line, but will immediately bring a solid leader and stability to a team’s quarterback position.

Comparison:  Mike Kafka – Philadelphia Eagles

10. Tyrod Taylor – Va. Tech
6’1’’ – 217 lbs – 4.51
4th Round

Why The Commish would take him: Tyrod’s speed and athleticism is the most intriguing part about him. He is a great athlete with a very strong arm.

Why The Commish would stay away:  I have questions whether Taylor can be a true quarterback in the NFL.  I worry about his accuracy and reading defenses.

Commish’s Final Say:  Taylor is a hell of an athlete, but I’m not so sure I’d want him as a quarterback. He seems certain he’s staying as a quarterback. I view him as a Josh Johnson-type backup quarterback that can run the “Wildcat” offense.

Comparison: Seneca Wallace – Cleveland Browns

Always fine tuning and tweaking his big board (no, not that big board), NFL Draft guru Justin Pawlowski, aka The Commish of WDAE-AM 620, presents his latest top 5 by position for the 2011 draft.

We’re just 22 days from the opening round when the Bucs will be on the clock near the stroke of midnight. Come back tomorrow for another detailed position breakdown from The Commish.

By JUSTIN PAWLOWSKI

Quarterbacks
1. Cam Newton – Auburn
2. Blaine Gabbert – Missouri
3. Christian Ponder – FSU
4. Ryan Mallett – Arkansas
5. Colin Kaepernick – Nevada

I finally dropped Locker from  my top 5. He has top intangibles, but his accuracy is just too troubling. That’s not saying that Locker won’t be a 1st round pick, I just have too many concerns. There isn’t a quarterback on this list that doesn’t have a question mark, though. I still think Ryan Mallett is ready to step right in and play and has the best quarterback skills in this draft, but his character may remind people of Ryan Leaf. The safest QB on this list might be Ponder. Of course, that’s saying he stays healthy.

Running Backs
1. Mikel Leshoure – Illinois
2. Mark Ingram – Alabama
3. Ryan Williams – Va. Tech
4. Kendal Hunter – Oklahoma St.
5. Demarco Murray – Oklahoma

Mikel Leshoure just has better measurables than Ingram. Yes, Ingram is a great leader, has great vision, and runs violently, but he’s not very big and doesn’t have much speed. Leshoure’s running style has been compared to Steven Jackson. Williams has injury concerns, but has a ton of talent and has been invited to the draft, which might mean he gets drafted higher than people think. Kendal Hunter and Demarco Murray are the best of the speed backs.

Wide Receivers
1. AJ Green – Georgia
2. Julio Jones – Alabama
3. Jonathon Baldwin – Pitt.
4. Leonard Hankerson – Miami
5. Titus Young – Boise St.

While Julio Jones might have closed the gap a bit, AJ Green is still the top receiver in this class. Jones is fantastic athlete, but his film can be a little inconsistent at times.  After Jones, there is a huge drop off. I really hesitated with Baldwin, but he is a mismatch nightmare for defenses, and I think there will be some team in the 2nd round that takes a chance on him.  Hankerson has talent, but needs to put it all together on the field. Young is the best of the smaller and quicker receivers.  I think Jerrel Jernigan and Randall Cobb are not far behind, along with Torrey Smith.

Tight Ends
1. Kyle Rudolph – Notre Dame
2. Jordan Cameron – USC
3. Luke Stocker – Tennessee
4. DJ Williams – Arkansas
5. Virgil Green – Nevada

If he proves to be healthy at his pro day, Rudolph should be a mid to late 1st round pick. He has a massive frame, good vertical speed, and excellent hands. Cameron, Williams, and Green are all hybrid tight ends that are legitimate threats in the passing game. Stocker is the big blocking tight end in this draft.

Offensive Tackles
1. Tyron Smith – USC
2. Anthony Castonzo – Boston College
3. Gabe Carimi – Wisconsin
4. Derek Sherrod – Miss. St.

5. Nate Solder – Colorado

Smith might have solidified his status as a top 10 pick with a great pro day. He was able to put on weight and still keep his athleticism and technique.  Sherrod is also moving up and very balanced with the ability to play right or left tackle. Carimi is a physical tackle who might be limited to the right side.

Offensive Guards/Centers
1. Mike Pouncey – Florida
2. Danny Watkins – Baylor
3. Stefan Wisniewski – Penn St.
4. Jason Pinkston – Pitt

5. Will Rackley – Lehigh

Pouncey and Watkins are the top guards and both are very balanced and could go in the 1st round. Wisniewski is the top center in the draft and on the fringe of being a 1st-round pick. Pinkston has an offensive tackle’s athleticism with the body type of an offensive guard.  Rackley is the most versatile lineman in the draft.

Defensive Ends
1. Robert Quinn – North Carolina
2. JJ Watt – Wisconsin
3. Cameron Jordan – Cal.
4. Aldon Smith – Missouri
5. Da’Quan Bowers – Clemson
5. Ryan Kerrigan – Purdue

Bowers is falling due to so many questions about his knee.  I’m not gonna drop him from my top 5 completely because of his talent, but I do think he is falling. There really hasn’t been much talk of JJ Watt, but I love his size and athleticism combination. I think him and Cameron Jordan could crack the top 10. As predicted, Quinn has taken over as the top defensive end in this draft.  I still think Kerrigan might be one of the safer picks in the draft.  With him, it’s “what you see is what you get.”

Defensive Tackles
1. Marcell Dareus – Alabama
2. Nick Fairley – Auburn
3. Corey Liuget – Illinois
4. Phil Taylor – Baylor
5. Muhammed Wilkerson – Temple

Nick Fairley’s latest comparison to Albert Haynesworth both on and off the field does have me concerned a bit.  I’m also a little concerned with Dareus.  I don’t think he is as sure a prospect as people are making him out to be.  I like Taylor’s aggression, size, and strength. A 3-4 team with a need for a nose tackle should consider him immediately. I like Wilkerson’s potential, but I’m afraid he’s a little overrated and that Luiget might be the better “defensive tackle” right now.

Outside Linebackers
1. Von Miller – Texas A&M
2. Akeem Ayers – UCLA
3. Justin Houston – Georgia
4. Brooks Reed – Arizona
5. Bruce Carter – North Carolina

The big mover has been Brooks Reed.  His stock has been skyrocketing.  Von Miller’s also had a lot of good pub lately, but I already think he’s solidified a top 5 pick.  Houston might be better as a 4-3 end, but he can also slip back and play outside linebacker.  If Bruce Carter can stay healthy, he is very athletic and could be a very solid NFL linebacker.

Inside Linebackers
1. Martez Wilson – Illinois
2. Quan Sturdivant – UNC

3. Kelvin Sheppard – LSU
4. Nate Irving – NC St.
5. Colin McCarthy – Miami

Martez Wilson is the top inside linebacker with an incredible blend of size and speed.  There have been some rumblings of him moving to outside linebacker in a 3-4 defense, but I’m leaving him at inside linebacker because that’s where he excelled at Illinois.  Sturdivant has his positives and his negatives, but he is very good in coverage.

Cornerbacks
1. Patrick Peterson – LSU
2. Prince Amukamara – Nebraska
3. Jimmy Smith – Colorado
4. Aaron Williams – Texas
5. Brandon Harris – Miami

No changes here. I still like Jimmy Smith’s ability despite his major character concerns. Peterson is in a class by himself. Amukamara is definitely the 2nd corner. I took Aaron Williams over Brandon Harris because of his physical play and his ability to play either corner or safety. Look out for Ras-I Dowling to make a late push.

Safeties
1. Rahim Moore – UCLA
2. Quinton Carter – Oklahoma
3. DeAndre McDaniel – Clemson
4. Deunta Williams – North Carolina
5. Chris Culliver – South Carolina

If Aaron Williams stays at corner, Rahim Moore is the top safety in a weak class. Moore is a good centerfielder, but is not elite. Carter is a big hitter from the safety position and good in the run game. Williams and Culliver should be good against the pass.

Only 24 days until the Buccaneers write a new chapter at the NFL Draft in New York. Will rockstar Mark Dominik earn more NFL Network groupies or will he come down to earth?

Of course, Dominik says the Bucs will stay true to their draft board. (Yeah, right.)

NFL Draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski, of WDAE-AM 620, serves up the latest revisions to his draft board. Remember, this is a ranking of the top available players, not a mock draft. Enjoy.

1. Patrick Peterson – CB – LSU
6’1’’ – 219 lbs – 4.32
Commish’s Take: Peterson’s the most talented player in the draft. He’s big and fast. Peterson has potential as a shutdown corner and elite return man.

2. AJ Green – WR – Georgia
6’4’’ – 211 lbs – 4.50
Commish’s Take: Green is the most talented receiver to come out since Calvin Johnson. Green might be the safest pick in the draft.

3. Von Miller – OLB – Texas A&M
6’3’’ – 246 lbs – 4.53

Commish’s Take: Miller is explosive off the edge. He really has little concerns and has no character issues.

4. Marcell Dareus – DT – Alabama
6’3’’ – 319 lbs – 4.92

Commish’s Take: Dareus is big and physical. His athleticism is underrated.

5. Julio Jones – WR – Alabama
6’3’’ – 220 lbs – 4.39

Commish’s Take: Jones is a physical freak with great size and speed. He has potential to be a dominant receiver.

6. Robert Quinn – DE – North Carolina
6’4’’ – 265 lbs – 4.70

Commish’s Take: I love Quinn off the edge. Quinn should be able to play end or outside linebacker. He has some minor medical concerns.

7. Nick Fairley – DT – Auburn
6’4’’ – 291 lbs – 4.87

Commish’s Take: More and more questions are rising for Fairley regarding him being a one-year wonder and lacking an elite motor. With that said, we all watched Fairley dominate for most of the year including the national championship game.

8. Tyron Smith – OT – USC
6’5’’ – 307 lbs – 4.91

Commish’s Take: Smith is the top tackle in the draft. He has excellent technique, long arms, and great athleticism.

9. Prince Amukamara – CB – Nebraska
6’0’’ – 206 lbs – 4.43

Commish’s Take: Amukamara is a talented corner who could be a solid starter for a long time in the NFL.

10. Cam Newton – QB – Auburn
6’5’’ – 248 lbs – 4.59

Commish’s Take: By now you know about Newton’s strengths and weaknesses. His potential is just too big to ignore.

11. JJ Watt – DE – Wisconsin
6’5’’ – 290 lbs – 4.83

Commish’s Take: Watt is big and physical, but also has a lot of athletic ability. I’m not sure he’ll turn into an elite player, but Watt is a safe pick that will be very good and a starter for a long time.

12. Cameron Jordan – DE – Cal.
6’4’’ – 287 lbs – 4.78

Commish’s Take: Jordan’s talent and versatility to play in any type of defense makes him very valuable.

13. Ryan Kerrigan – DE – Purdue
6’4’’ – 267 lbs – 4.71

Commish’s Take: Kerrigan is another safe pick. He isn’t the flashiest player, but his production at Purdue speaks for itself.

14. Aldon Smith – DE – Missouri
6’4’’ – 263 lbs – 4.78

Commish’s Take: Smith has a long frame, long arms, and is considered one of the top pass rushers in the draft.

15. Blaine Gabbert – QB – Missouri
6’4’’ – 234 lbs – 4.62

Commish’s Take: I do not like quarterbacks that are not accurate. Gabbert’s accuracy for those 5 or more yards down the field is beginning to become more and more of a factor.

16. Anthony Castonzo – OT – Boston College
6’7’’ – 311 lbs – 5.23

Commish’s Take: Castonzo has great potential as a left tackle. He is very athletic and had a ton of experience at Boston College. I think Castonzo could be a 10 year starter in the NFL.

17. Da’Quan Bowers – DE – Clemson
6’3’’ – 280 lbs – 4.85

Commish’s Take: Injury concerns are beginning to mount surrounding Bowers knee. I still think he is a great player when healthy, but that is now the big question.

18. Muhammed Wilkerson – DT – Temple
6’4’’ – 315 lbs – 4.96

Commish’s Take: Wilkerson is a raw talent, but has a big frame and long arms. He has a lot of potential as either a defensive tackle in a 4-3 defense or as an end in a 3-4 defense.

19. Jimmy Smith – CB – Colorado
6’2’’ – 211 lbs – 4.46

Commish’s Take: This isn’t a good comparison for Smith, but he is very reminiscent of Aqib Talib. Smith has a ton of talent and athletic ability, but character is a major concern.

20. Gabe Carimi – OT – Wisconsin
6’7’’ – 314 lbs – 5.27

Commish’s Take: Carimi is a typical Wisconsin offensive tackle. He is big, physical, and great in the run game. Carimi might be limited to right tackle in the NFL.

21. Phil Taylor – DT – Baylor
6’3’’ – 334 lbs – 5.20

Commish’s Take: I really think Taylor is moving up boards. This is not a deep class for nose tackles and Taylor is massive and mean. A team like Kansas City would be a nice destination for him.

22. Derek Sherrod – OT – Mississippi St
6’5’’ – 321 lbs – 5.28

Commish’s Take: Sherrod’s a very balanced offensive tackle that saw his stock continuously rise since the combine. He can play right or left tackle right away.

23. Mike Pouncey – OG – Florida
6’5’’ – 303 lbs – 5.28

Commish’s Take: Pouncey is the top interior offensive lineman in this draft. Like his brother, Mike Pouncey could be a difference maker for an offensive line and offense.

24. Corey Liuget – DT – Illinois
6’2’’ – 298 lbs – 4.99

Commish’s Take: I’m not sure I see an elite player in Liuget, but I do see a solid player with good quickness off the ball.

25. Adrian Clayborn – DE – Iowa
6’3’’ – 281 lbs – 4.83

Commish’s Take: I’ve talked about the red flags with Clayborn, but he is still a talented player. He does have many limitations, but an invite to the draft in New York makes me think he’s going to get drafted higher than most think.

26. Akeem Ayers – OLB – UCLA
6’2’’ – 254 lbs – 4.80

Commish’s Take: Ayers should be high on draft boards of teams that run a 3-4 defense. I think he’d be a good fit inside or outside in a 3-4. I also think he could step into a 4-3 defense and excel due to his experience. His stock had fallen a little, but he’s moving back up.

27. Justin Houston – DE/OLB – Georgia
6’3’’ – 270 lbs – 4.68

Commish’s Take: Houston is a physical freak, but I have heard some rumblings comparing him to Vernon Gholston. Houston is big and fast. If he learns a move or 2 in the NFL, he could be a great pass rusher. Right now, he only tries to beat tackles with speed around the outside.

28. Danny Watkins – OG – Baylor
6’3’’ – 310 lbs – 5.40

Commish’s Take: At 27 years old, Watkins is older than an average prospect, but he is good. He has good technique, is very strong, and has an outstanding work ethic.

29. Mark Ingram – RB – Alabama
5’9’’ – 215 lbs – 4.62

Commish’s Take: Ingram is a very solid running back, but doesn’t have elite features. He should be successful in the NFL, but should fall due to a lack of importance for the position. Why take Ingram in the first round, when undrafted free agents are winning the rushing title?

30. Kyle Rudolph – TE – Notre Dame
6’6’’ – 260 lbs – DNP

Commish’s Take: Injuries have been a concern for Rudolph, but if he performs well at his upcoming pro day, his stock will skyrocket.

31. Mikel Leshoure – RB – Illinois
6’0’’ – 227 lbs – 4.59

Commish’s Take: I really think the gap between Leshoure and Ingram is very small. Leshoure is a power back with great athletic ability. The more I see of him, the more I see Steven Jackson.

32. Christian Ponder – QB – FSU
6’2’’ – 229 lbs – 4.65

Commish’s Take: Ponder’s an accurate passer with good leadership skills. His throwing arm is a concern, but he might be the safest quarterback in this class. That’s not saying much though.

Just Missed:

-Martez Wilson – LB – Illinois
-Ryan Mallett – QB – Arkansas
-Stephen Paea – DT – Oregon St.
-Nate Solder – OT – Colorado
-Jabaal Sheard – DE – Pitt
-Cameron Heyward – DE – Ohio St.
-Jake Locker – QB – Washington

The Commish points out the Bucs already had a scheduled visit with Texas cornerback Curtis Brown

NFL Draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski shares intriguing takes on the Bucs’ approach to addressing the cornerback position in light of the Aqib Talib criminal proceedings.

Not only does The Commish think the situation won’t cause a ripple on the Bucs’ draft board, he says the Bucs might make a decision on Talib only after assessing their roster following free agency, the draft and beyond.

Among other things, The Commish wags a finger of shame at the local columnists who already have run Talib out of town.

Click the arrow below to listen, or download here.

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The 2010 college sacks leader could fall into the Bucs lap, explains draft guru Justin Pawlowski.

You want a powerful defensive end with a multitude of moves? That’s Da’Quan Bowers, the one-year-wonder beast out of Clemson.

In this superior draft buzz podcast, NFL Draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski explains why Bowers might very well be in the Bucs’ range after his pro day today, and The Commish fires away at those who dare to compare Bowers to the late Gaines Adams.

Where the hell else do you get riveting draft coverage at midnight?

Click the arrow below or download here.

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Are the Bucs sniffing Will Rackley in the third round?

Let’s hear it for a welcome break, albeit a short one, from Aqib Talib chatter. Soon he’ll be arrested, and then the arrest affidavit will come out and there’ll be a fresh round of speculation and hype.

NFL Draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski serves up his latest position breakdown below: offensive linemen.

Enjoy the most comprehensive Bucs-focused and entertaining draft coverage around.

By JUSTIN PAWLOWSKI

Offensive Tackles

1. Tyron Smith – USC
6’5’’ – 307 lbs – DNP
1st Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  A huge part of being an elite offensive tackle is having excellent technique.  Smith has the best technique of any offensive tackle in this draft.  Smith also possesses some of the longest arms in the draft, which prevents defensive linemen from getting into his chest.  Smith has the most potential and upside of any offensive lineman in this draft.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Although Smith has bulked up this off-season, he has never played at a weight higher than 280 lbs.  First, I’d be concerned that he’ll be able to keep the weight on.  I’d also be worried that he might lose some of his quickness and good technique with the added weight.

Impact on the Bucs:  I don’t think the Bucs are sold on James Lee at right tackle.  Smith played right tackle at USC, so if the Bucs want to continue building the protection for Freeman, Smith would be a nice fit.  However, I would not trade up for him, and would have to think a long time before taking Smith over a defensive player.  The Bucs are bringing Smith in for a visit

Comparison: D’Brickashaw Ferguson – New York Jets

2. Gabe Carimi – Wisconsin
6’7’’ – 314 lbs – 5.27
1st Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Big, nasty, and physical are three reasons I’d take Carimi. 

Why The Commish would stay away:  Any time you have a big and physical tackle from the Big 10 conference, you wonder if he can handle the speed rusher off the edge.  If Carimi is going to play left tackle and protect the blindside of a franchise quarterback, he better be an elite pass protector, and I don’t think he is.

Impact on the Bucs:  I think Carimi could be destined for a 10-12 year career as a right tackle in the NFL.  With the Bucs having a possible need at right tackle, I would not mind one bit if they draft Carimi.  Carimi would probably be a better fit than any offensive tackle the Bucs could consider in the first round.  I doubt it would happen because of the Bucs need for defense, but if it did, the Bucs would have two offensive tackles to anchor their offensive line for years.

Comparison: Jon Runyan – Philadelphia Eagles

3. Anthony Castonzo – Boston College
6’7’’ – 311 lbs – 5.23
1st Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I have to love the 52 starts Castonzo has against top competition in college football.  Castonzo is another player with real good technique and measurables.  While Tyron Smith might have the most potential as an overall tackle, Castonzo has just as much potential as a left tackle to protect the blindside of a franchise quarterback. 

Why The Commish would stay away:  Castonzo’s lack of strength worries me.  He might be a developmental project because he might not be strong enough to handle some defensive ends in the NFL yet.  Lower body strength is lacking the most.

Impact on the Bucs:  I think Castonzo’s future lies at left tackle.  I always want my right tackles to be bigger and more physical.  Castonzo’s strength is his athleticism and technique.  I’m a believer that Donald Penn is one of the best left tackles in the NFL, so there is no need to even think of replacing him.

Comparison: Jake Long – Miami Dolphins

4. Derek Sherrod – Mississippi St.
6’5’’ – 321 lbs – 5.28
1st Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Sherrod’s intangibles stand out to me the most.  He’s a very smart player with outstanding instincts and awareness.  Sherrod was 2nd team all academic as well.  He has an outstanding work ethic and great leadership skills.  Sherrod’s also had a ton of experience in the SEC.  As for his talents, Sherrod is extremely balanced and nimble for a man his size.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Sherrod doesn’t dominate as much as I’d like to see from him.  Sherrod can also struggle with leverage at times, which takes away from his power.

Impact on the Bucs:  Sherrod is a candidate to play either right or left tackle in the NFL.  I think Sherrod is one of the more underrated prospects in this year’s draft.  Again, I don’t think tackle is a huge target area for the Bucs, but if he was selected, Sherrod would compete for the starting right tackle position immediately.

Comparison: Michael Oher – Baltimore Ravens

5. Benjamin Ijalana – Villanova
6’4’’ – 317 lbs – DNP
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I like an offensive lineman with a wrestling background like Ijalana.  He is a big boy who’s very nimble and plays with great leverage.  His violent punch can stifle an opposing player and stop him in his tracks.

Why The Commish would stay away:  The competition for Villanova wasn’t the best and I have concerns with how Ijalana will handle speed rushers off the edge in the NFL.  Ijalana also lacks the ideal height (6’5’’ – 6’7’’) of an NFL tackle.  I know it’s just one inch, but these scouts and front offices are very particular.  I think it’s pretty dumb.

Impact on the Bucs:  I think the 20th pick is too high for Ijalana, so the only way Ijalana is taken by the Bucs is if he falls to them in the 2nd round.  He compares favorably to Davin Joseph and could play guard or right tackle.

Comparison: Davin Joseph – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

6. Nate Solder – Colorado
6’8’’ – 319 lbs – 5.05
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I love the combination of size and athleticism with Solder.  He is a converted tight end, so you know he is athletic.  Solder is also very good in pass protection as he only gave up 5 sacks in 3 years as a starting offensive tackle.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Let’s start with his height.  Anytime you’re that tall, leverage is going to come into question.  Also, just a few weeks after the combine, Solder weighed in at 307 lbs at his pro day.  At 6’8’’, that is very light.  I wonder if Solder can keep the weight on.

Impact on the Bucs:  I’m not the biggest fan of Solder.  I do not think he would be a great fit for the Bucs.  I think Solder is a solid tackle with potential to start on the left side.

Comparison: Winston Justice – Philadelphia Eagles

7. Marcus Cannon – TCU
6’5’’ – 358 lbs – 5.28
2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Cannon fits the description for my ideal offensive lineman.  He is massive, physical, and mean.  Cannon could be great in run blocking and opening holes for a smash mouth offense.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Obviously, with a man this size, maintaining weight will always be an issue.  Also with a man this size, he’s not as nimble or quick in pass protection.  Cannon will be limited to right tackle, but might be forced to move down to guard.

Impact on the Bucs:  I think Cannon could end up as a star at the guard position.  With that said, Cannon really isn’t the type of lineman the Bucs typically go for.  If we were to slip to their pick in the 2nd round, I wouldn’t mind if he was under consideration.  A left side of Donald Penn and Marcus Cannon could be nice.  I’m not getting my hopes up.

Comparison: Leonard Davis – Dallas Cowboys

8. Marcus Gilbert – Florida
6’6’’ – 330 lbs – 5.46
2nd/3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I think I like Gilbert’s versatility the most.  He can play left or right tackle, and also move down to guard.  He has a lot of experience against top competition as well.  Gilbert has good leadership skills and a nasty demeanor.

Why The Commish would stay away:  It seems like Gilbert lives for the stalemate.  Gilbert just doesn’t do a great job at finishing off blocks or dominating in the run game.  Gilbert also seems to lose leverage at times.

Impact on the Bucs:  The Bucs have always had a thing for linemen with versatility.  Gilbert might be a nice mid round selection who could compete at right tackle or guard for the Bucs.

Comparison: Jonathon Scott – Pittsburh Steelers

9. James Carpenter – Alabama
6’4’’ – 321 lbs – 5.28
3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Carpenter was a 2-year starter at left tackle for Alabama, but is versatile enough to play right tackle or guard as well.  Another positive from playing at Alabama is that Carpenter played well against top competition.  He has very good body control for a man his size.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Carpenter isn’t quick enough or have long enough arms to play left tackle in the NFL.  Carpenter also is not as nasty as I want in my offensive linemen.  It seems like he might be lacking a killer instinct.

Impact on the Bucs:  Again, the Bucs like versatility in their linemen.  If selected, Carpenter could compete at right tackle or at guard.

Comparison: Vernon Carey – Miami Dolphins

10. James Brewer – Indiana
6’6’’ – 323 lbs – 5.27
3rd/ 4th Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Brewer is a tremendous athlete with a lot of raw ability.  He is very nimble and does a good job at pulling and getting to the 2nd level.  Brewer’s big frame and long arms allow him to potentially play left tackle in the NFL.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Brewer is very raw.  He just started playing football as a senior in high school.  By being inexperienced, Brewer lacks ideal technique and is not very powerful. 

Impact on the Bucs:  Brewer could be a big time boom or bust prospect in the middle rounds.  He is inexperienced and very raw, but also very talented.  For the Bucs, Brewer would add decent depth and an eventual contender for right tackle, but not immediately.

Comparison: Chris Williams – Chicago Bears

Interior Linemen

1. Mike Pouncey – OG/OC – Florida
6’5’’ – 303 lbs – 5.28

1st Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  I know he’s not his brother, but after what his brother did with the Steelers, it’s hard to ignore that.  Pouncey is tough, physical, and plays with great technique.  He is a very smart player who plays with excellent technique and has a ton of experience against the best competition in the country.

Why The Commish would stay away:  As much as people want to believe it, Mike Pouncey is not his brother.  He is not dominant in the run game and can get caught lunging at times.  Dare I even bring up shotgun snaps?

Impact on the Bucs:  I do think the Bucs have a legit interest in Pouncey.  He can play guard and be an eventual replacement for Jeff Faine.  Also, remember that Mike Tomlin has the other Pouncey and has probably been bragging to Raheem a lot.

Comparison: Maurkice Pouncey – Pittsburgh Steelers

2. Danny Watkins – OG – Baylor
6’3’’ – 310 lbs – 5.40
1st/2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  In a very short time, Watkins developed into a very good offensive lineman at Baylor.  Once Jason Smith was drafted in the top 5 a couple years back, Watkins stepped in at left tackle and never lost his job.  He is a late bloomer, 27 years old, but is very mature and can step in and start right away.  He decided to play football when preparing to become a firefighter.  Watkins is very tough and has a fantastic work ethic.

Why The Commish would stay away:  I’m a little weary because Watkins is already 27 years old and still has a lot to learn in terms of technique.  With not much experience, Watkins will most likely also deal with a position change to right tackle or guard in the NFL.

Impact on the Bucs:  I do not think Watkins is a great fit for the Bucs unless they trade back.  At 27 years old, Watkins is already older than half the Bucs team.  If drafted, he’d compete at right tackle and guard. 

Comparison: Logan Mankins – New England Patriots

3. Stefan Wisniewski – OC – Penn St.
6’3’’ – 313 lbs – 5.35
2nd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Intangibles are high with Wisniewski.  He is very smart with excellent instincts and great awareness.  Wisniewski was also fantastic in the classroom.  He is very tough and physical in the trenches.  Wisniewski could end up as a starter, leader, and captain for a long time.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Wisniewski is not as dominant in the run game as I’d like.  He’s also not the best athlete and lacks agility.

Impact on the Bucs:  The 20th pick might be a bit high, but Wisniewski has 10-year NFL starter written all over him.  Jeff Faine’s injuries and money should be concerns.  Much like Pouncey, Wisnieski could step in at guard before eventually sliding over to center.

Comparison: Alex Mack – Cleveland Browns

4. Jason Pinkston – OG – Pitt
6’3’’ – 317 lbs – 5.45
2nd/3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  As a 4-year starter at Pitt, Pinkston has a lot of experience vs. very good competition.  Let’s not forget, he went against Jabaal Sheard and Greg Romeus everyday at practice as well.  Pinkston is a compact lineman with good bulk and strength.  Pinkston should also have some versatility along the line.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Pinkston is not as physical as you’d like him to be.  Because of this, Pinkston does not get a good push and is not dominant in the run game.  Pinkston has also struggled with conditioning, and his work ethic has been questioned.

Impact on the Bucs:  I’m not sure Pinkston fits what the Bucs look for in a lineman.  His questionable work ethic stands out the most.  If he is selected by the Bucs, Pinkston would challenge for right tackle and guard.

Comparison: Shawn Andrews – New York Giants

5. Will Rackley – OG – Lehigh
6’3’’ – 309 lbs – DNP
3rd Round

Why The Commish would draft him:  Versatility is a huge word with Rackley.  He played left tackle at Lehigh, but should be able to play any position on the line in the NFL.  Rackley has very good technique and plays with very good leverage.

Why The Commish would stay away:  Obviously, the competition wasn’t the greatest for Lehigh, so that is a concern.  I’d also like to see Rackley play with and get more strength.

Impact on the Bucs:  Rackley seems like a guy the Bucs would go after.  He is very versatile and could fit anywhere they need him.  Rackley could be a very solid mid-round pick with potential to eventually start.

Comparison: Jeremy Zuttah – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

As loyal JoeBucsFan.com readers know, Joe often needs a barf bag when exposed to most things ESPN. But still, Joe is always sniffing out all things Bucs from all sources, including those of the Disney cartel.

In this BSPN video allegedly about the draft, Trent Dilfer, Chris Mortensen and some draft expert with motionless hair team up to make a bunch of love to the Bucs, among other tidbits. …Prepare to laugh out loud when Dilfer says no offensive coordinator in the league is better than Greg Olson.

NFL Draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski, of WDAE-AM 620, recently grabbed some one-on-one time with top defensive end prospect Ryan Kerrigan, the production machine out of Perdue.

And being a multimedia guru, as well, The Commish had his fancy recording equipment on the scene and passed on some fans’ questions to Kerrigan. The DE stud sounds like a mature dude, and we learn that he calls himself “relentless”  and his grandma lives in St. Pete, among other stuff.

Click the arrow to listen, or download here.

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Remember, Joe’s draft coverage is just heating up. More to come all week and The Commish will soon kick off the popular Draft Countdown. Also, shoot The Commish your draft questions for his inbox podcast, commish@620wdae.com.

NFL Draft guru Justin “The Commish” Pawlowski, of WDAE-AM 620, continues to work night and day on his must-read draft coverage on JoeBucsFan.com, and on the draft page at 620wdae.com.

The Commish talked to possible Bucs DE target Ryan Kerrigan yesterday, as well as tight end prospect Kyle Rudolph out of Notre Dame. Enjoy this story below, including audio of the Rudolph interview. (Kerrigan to come later.)

By JUSTIN PAWLOWSKI

One of the first moves Mark Dominik made as general manager of the Bucs was to trade for Kellen Winslow and make him the highest paid tight end in the NFL.  We’re not three years removed from that day, and the Bucs are interested in another highly touted tight end.

In my Friday interview with Rudolph, who is considered by many including myself to be the top tight end in the 2011 draft, said that the Buccaneers had genuine interest in him.

“I interviewed with the Bucs.  I really like coach Morris and our interview went really well,” Rudolph said.  “I loved his energy and enthusiasm for the game.  I would love to be a Buccaneer.”

Kellen Winslow Jr. is still under contract, but the depth behind Winslow is extremely shaky.  Jerramy Stevens finally wore out his welcome last season and was released, and John Gilmore is a free agent this off-season. Ryan Purvis could be the only depth behind Winslow. which is why the Bucs will be looking to add a tight end some time during this year’s draft.

Rudolph has the ability and talent to be an outstanding threat from the tight end position, but injuries have hurt him the past two seasons at Notre Dame.  He missed the second half of 2010 with a hamstring injury that required surgery. Rudolph says he is at 100 percent and will fully participate in Notre Dame’s April 7 pro day.

“It’s been a long time since I was able to go out and run around like my old self and I feel like I’m back to that point,” Rudolph said about his expectations for his pro day.  “I’m going to do every drill, run routes, and catch balls. I’m definitely excited for it.”

Rudolph’s pro day is as important as any pro day this offseason.  Without being able to workout at the combine, Rudolph has not been able to show off his full talent or show off that he is healthy.

Rudolph would not go into too much detail about future visits or workouts, saying that he is mainly focused on his pro day, and those arrangements would take place after that day.  However, he did confirm that the Bucs assured him they would be there.

Mark Dominik has warned that the Bucs might not be a lock for a defensive player in the first two rounds of this year’s draft. 

Continuing to gather more weapons for Josh Freeman will always be something this Buccaneer regime will look to do.  It should also be noted that Greg Olson, like Jon Gruden, runs a lot of 2-tight-end sets. Depth at that position is extremely important.

If the Bucs are indeed smitten with Rudolph, they might consider drafting him in the first round to secure him.  Waiting until the second round could be too late, considering that Rudolph should end up as a late first round or early second round pick.

Here’s the entire Kyle Rudolph interview:

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